(anonymous) 0xceae15…0c7a2d Create alert
whale
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Realized P&L (7d)
+$5
Unrealized P&L
-$798
Hit rate
87.5%
Resolved (7d)
5
Trades (7d)
382
7,975 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$3.95K
$205.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$3.11K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-05 23:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 89 days
Categories
Other
48% 86% +$253
Politics
26% 93% -$124
Sports
22% 94% +$394
Tech
2% 60% +$10
Pop-Culture
1% 80% +$14
Crypto
1% 67% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 249 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +1,506 $809 41¢ $618 -$191 11-05 21:24
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +307 $301 100¢ $307 +$6 11-04 22:08
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +425 $294 66¢ $278 -$16 11-05 15:53
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +778 $227 32¢ $252 +$25 11-05 14:22
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +1,506 $398 16¢ $233 -$165 11-05 19:32
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +1,553 $318 13¢ $202 -$116 11-05 20:01
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting? Yes +150 $131 88¢ $133 +$2 11-05 00:01
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +4,063 $276 3¢ $116 -$160 11-05 16:22
Will Bad Bunny be featured on GTA VI: The Album? Yes +216 $115 54¢ $115 +$0 11-05 21:05
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +271 $111 42¢ $114 +$3 11-05 14:45
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +4,006 $225 3¢ $104 -$121 11-05 23:20
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +4,000 $123 2¢ $88 -$35 11-05 15:34
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +3,764 $115 2¢ $83 -$32 11-05 15:33
Will Mississippi be the closest Senate race in 2026? Yes +85 $79 95¢ $81 +$2 11-05 23:31
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%? No +136 $72 58¢ $79 +$7 11-05 17:57
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +147 $64 42¢ $62 -$3 11-06 00:01
Will Drake be featured on GTA VI: The Album? No +54 $40 75¢ $41 +$0 11-05 23:45
Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +202 $36 17¢ $34 -$2 11-05 20:42
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes +113 $16 21¢ $24 +$9 11-05 22:30
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -343 -$1 7¢ $-23 -$21 10-05 21:28
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +143 $23 16¢ $22 $0 11-06 00:03
Will Alaska be the closest Senate race in 2026? Yes +313 $18 5¢ $16 -$2 11-06 00:14
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +47 $13 34¢ $16 +$3 11-05 11:26
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes +217 $15 7¢ $15 +$1 11-06 00:35
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting? No +37 $9 36¢ $13 +$4 11-04 21:58
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting? No +18 $12 66¢ $12 $0 11-05 12:12
Will Kodak Black be featured on GTA VI: The Album? Yes +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 11-05 22:44
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%? Yes +206 $4 4¢ $8 +$4 11-05 17:45
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +44 $6 16¢ $7 +$2 11-05 18:30
Will Sexyy Red be featured on GTA VI: The Album? Yes +19 $9 37¢ $7 -$2 11-05 05:04