Impolite-Load — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25.5K

Unrealized P&L

+$80

Hit rate

48.4%

Resolved

Trades

860

lifetime

Volume

$219.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$255

Open exposure

$443

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 06-20 16:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Politics

53% 60% -$26,362

Other

47% 57% +$1,158

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% 0% -$263

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-20).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?	No		+504	$392	84¢	$426	+$34	05-11 17:19
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes		-518	-$62	3¢	$-16	+$46	05-12 14:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	65	$39.4K	31,419	31,419	+0	No	-$6,352	04-30 17:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	70	$21.4K	177,461	179,857	-2,396	Yes	-$14,391	06-17 02:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	23	$19.9K	26,767	2,062	+24,705	No	+$7,856	05-23 21:17
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	73	$19.0K	57,317	57,317	+0	No	-$12,232	06-19 13:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	21	$14.9K	9,664	9,664	+0	No	+$2,345	05-13 14:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	148	$9.9K	6,072	6,404	-332	No	+$142	06-17 09:15
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	10	$9.0K	5,432	5,432	-0	No	+$1,568	04-26 15:16
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?	20	$7.2K	13,323	0	+13,323	Yes	+$6,096	04-30 17:32
will the dhs shutdown last 60 days or more 988 872 151 791 415 422	55	$7.1K	12,186	5,787	+6,399	Yes	-$3,918	04-13 00:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$6.5K	3,525	3,525	+0	No	+$453	05-11 16:36
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	11	$6.0K	5,621	5,603	+18	No	-$38	06-17 22:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	6	$5.5K	3,206	3,206	+0	No	+$461	04-22 17:29
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	7	$5.2K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$37	05-20 18:32
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	6	$4.9K	7,263	5,263	+2,000	Yes	+$380	06-13 01:18
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	25	$4.5K	199,957	199,957	-0	Yes	-$4,119	06-17 11:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	3	$3.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$152	04-26 15:17
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	17	$2.7K	52,406	52,406	+0	Yes	-$2,597	06-17 02:01
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	13	$2.5K	5,931	5,931	+0	Yes	-$759	03-09 00:11
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	19	$2.5K	1,980	1,980	+0	No	+$363	03-02 21:39
will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	3	$2.3K	3,349	674	+2,675	Yes	+$478	03-27 14:05
Will Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	8	$2.0K	1,980	1,980	+0	No	+$75	03-02 18:36
will the dhs shutdown last 30 days or more 945 663	18	$2.0K	2,773	209	+2,564	Yes	+$954	03-05 17:18
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	36	$2.0K	3,039	0	+3,039	No	-$1,982	05-18 21:17
will the dhs shutdown last 70 days or more 252	9	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$84	04-20 17:35
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	11	$1.7K	1,464	1,464	+0	Yes	+$1,106	03-01 16:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	17	$1.3K	88,203	88,203	-0	Yes	-$1,139	06-17 18:48
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	8	$1.2K	1,094	1,094	+0	Yes	-$254	06-17 07:06
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?	11	$1.2K	0	1,611	-1,611	Yes	-$417	05-27 03:56
will the dhs shutdown last 90 days or more 828 938	11	$1.0K	1,916	927	+989	No	-$253	04-30 12:31
us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	9	$919	39,650	39,650	+0	Yes	-$840	06-17 18:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 16:23:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	SELL	128	82¢	$104	0xeb531a…
06-19 13:20:16	Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	SELL	405	98¢	$398	0x322f84…
06-19 13:20:02	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	1,484	100¢	$1,482	0x20f1f4…
06-17 23:00:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x387d44…
06-17 22:53:02	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	Yes	BUY	382	95¢	$362	0x4c5639…
06-17 22:51:31	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	Yes	BUY	110	95¢	$104	0x6b7510…
06-17 22:51:13	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	Yes	BUY	69	94¢	$65	0xcb5a24…
06-17 22:44:44	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	981	96¢	$945	0x0c0787…
06-17 22:43:50	Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$11	0xf70715…
06-17 22:43:50	Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	363	96¢	$349	0xf25201…
06-17 22:43:17	Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x64d354…
06-17 22:39:29	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	18	41¢	$7	0xcb4f62…
06-17 22:36:23	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	100	58¢	$58	0xdf95f9…
06-17 22:35:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	2,549	58¢	$1,479	0x43ec54…
06-17 22:33:07	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	502	96¢	$480	0xd95d86…
06-17 20:50:25	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	101	5¢	$5	0xb27128…
06-17 20:41:43	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	250	5¢	$12	0x2d5d9d…
06-17 20:41:23	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0x88b2a2…
06-17 20:40:40	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0x6acb8f…
06-17 19:54:40	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	833	4¢	$34	0x3e154c…
06-17 19:54:38	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	31	4¢	$1	0xccbbde…
06-17 18:50:56	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	3,619	2¢	$72	0x305b45…
06-17 18:48:50	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	No	SELL	7,369	0¢	$7	0xf9e277…
06-17 18:48:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	87,150	0¢	$87	0x2e48d4…
06-17 18:42:13	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2,649	58¢	$1,541	0x3f0729…
06-17 18:38:19	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	5,131	2¢	$121	0xa0276a…
06-17 18:32:41	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	9,436	2¢	$179	0x944cd5…
06-17 18:31:20	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	2,457	2¢	$58	0x58789a…
06-17 18:20:11	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	5,206	2¢	$112	0xcdb867…
06-17 18:15:50	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	3,695	3¢	$98	0x6c334d…
06-17 18:10:23	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	9,303	4¢	$334	0x5c880e…
06-17 18:05:53	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	12,853	5¢	$691	0xe78db6…
06-17 18:04:35	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	2,677	7¢	$195	0x250825…
06-17 17:44:28	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	1,848	13¢	$243	0xe25d04…
06-17 17:23:58	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	2,925	24¢	$689	0xd7338b…
06-17 17:20:13	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	2,158	31¢	$666	0xbfde31…
06-17 17:19:41	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	2,066	18¢	$371	0xc78cd4…
06-17 17:18:53	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	2,804	16¢	$455	0x32bcc8…
06-17 17:16:43	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	4,195	10¢	$436	0x834b61…
06-17 16:23:05	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	604	9¢	$54	0x310337…
06-17 16:19:38	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	2,546	10¢	$255	0xffb970…
06-17 16:14:38	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	854	10¢	$81	0xab421c…
06-17 16:13:32	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	146	10¢	$14	0xd94191…
06-17 16:12:35	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	4,007	9¢	$376	0x033584…
06-17 15:54:46	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	6,527	10¢	$647	0x0865b6…
06-17 15:54:05	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x0a2c58…
06-17 11:27:59	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	360	12¢	$43	0x135336…
06-17 11:20:59	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	1,000	15¢	$150	0x26f52b…
06-17 11:20:32	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	199,957	0¢	$200	0xf34651…
06-17 11:14:16	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	180	16¢	$29	0x7502ad…
06-17 10:37:49	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	1,100	26¢	$286	0xf54c0a…
06-17 10:37:31	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	431	26¢	$112	0x5090db…
06-17 10:36:35	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	200	24¢	$48	0x31b260…
06-17 10:36:11	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	14	24¢	$3	0xa59bcb…
06-17 10:36:04	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	243	24¢	$58	0xaf82db…
06-17 10:33:05	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	1,100	33¢	$363	0xe06b32…
06-17 09:35:13	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	900	47¢	$423	0x92c708…
06-17 09:24:37	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	814	41¢	$334	0xc25ec4…
06-17 09:20:07	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	1,054	43¢	$452	0x0334e6…
06-17 09:17:46	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	1,398	47¢	$657	0x30b48f…
06-17 09:16:37	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x209819…
06-17 09:15:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2,702	81¢	$2,189	0x1424c5…
06-17 09:15:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1,139	52¢	$593	0xcf02aa…
06-17 08:39:01	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	340	55¢	$187	0xe7408f…
06-17 08:33:14	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	2,264	75¢	$1,691	0x52304d…
06-17 08:31:02	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	890	65¢	$576	0xce8fcc…
06-17 08:29:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	3,000	81¢	$2,430	0x132cba…
06-17 08:12:26	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	3,000	30¢	$900	0xcc4eac…
06-17 08:10:07	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	986	31¢	$305	0xcb075c…
06-17 07:54:56	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	430	53¢	$228	0x21b6b4…
06-17 07:45:08	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	200	24¢	$48	0x0c6dde…
06-17 07:20:25	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	400	32¢	$128	0xf0f1e4…
06-17 07:07:11	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	709	32¢	$228	0x30968d…
06-17 07:06:32	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	SELL	307	45¢	$140	0xf925a4…
06-17 07:05:47	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	1,114	33¢	$366	0x5738fa…
06-17 07:05:20	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	SELL	786	45¢	$350	0x19c50a…
06-17 06:55:58	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	498	29¢	$144	0x1f300f…
06-17 06:55:38	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	358	29¢	$103	0x9b279f…
06-17 06:54:19	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	704	30¢	$211	0xf11b99…
06-17 06:49:29	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	386	27¢	$104	0xb7b7cb…
06-17 06:35:43	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1,200	43¢	$516	0x1c5bed…
06-17 06:32:31	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	19	28¢	$5	0xe3cf1f…
06-17 06:32:19	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x9c1390…
06-17 06:32:16	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x202768…
06-17 06:32:14	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	632	32¢	$201	0x9fec49…
06-17 06:25:13	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	720	29¢	$209	0x467739…
06-17 05:53:59	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	BUY	144	44¢	$64	0x548e68…
06-17 05:52:01	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0xce3c71…
06-17 05:45:10	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	412	27¢	$111	0x502e2e…
06-17 05:19:11	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	173	32¢	$55	0xca8395…
06-17 05:18:37	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	185	46¢	$85	0x9377b5…
06-17 05:14:32	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	300	36¢	$108	0xddc904…
06-17 05:05:28	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	55	36¢	$20	0x26230c…
06-17 05:05:02	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	BUY	25	54¢	$14	0xafdba0…
06-17 05:01:49	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	441	34¢	$149	0xc66aa7…
06-17 04:57:16	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	165	57¢	$94	0x4af246…
06-17 04:56:23	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	772	62¢	$476	0xd8a5cf…
06-17 04:56:22	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0x74c6ba…
06-17 04:48:34	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0x31f82e…
06-17 04:48:29	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	1,040	65¢	$676	0xa52877…