Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$155

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

29.2%

Resolved

295

Trades

657

lifetime

Volume

$1.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-17

last 08-15 07:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Other

92% 26% -$146

Crypto

4% 67% -$6

Politics

3% 40% -$3

Sports

1% 0% -$1

Tech

0% 50% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-15).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	Yes		-100	-$3	6¢	$-6	-$3	08-15 07:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$40	25	25	+0	No	+$1	03-27 01:56
highest temperature in beijing on april 10 2026 25c	6	$27	18	18	+0	No	-$2	04-09 23:51
highest temperature in shanghai on april 22 2026 17c	4	$19	12	12	+0	No	-$1	04-21 13:41
highest temperature in wellington on april 24 2026 14c	4	$18	12	12	+0	Yes	-$2	04-23 23:09
highest temperature in wellington on april 10 2026 17c	4	$18	12	12	+0	Yes	-$2	04-09 18:44
highest temperature in chicago on april 10 2026 56forhigher	6	$17	16	16	+0	No	-$2	04-10 04:11
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 71°F or below on May 8?	3	$15	10	5	+5	No	+$0	05-08 00:05
highest temperature in seoul on march 18 2026 6c	2	$14	8	8	+0	No	-$2	03-18 01:36
will trumps approval rating be between 41pt0 and 41pt4 on march 20 2026	2	$14	8	8	+0	No	-$1	03-17 17:53
highest temperature in lucknow on march 18 2026 36c	2	$10	6	6	+0	No	-$1	03-17 11:46
highest temperature in houston on april 13 2026 80forhigher	2	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	+$1	04-13 08:04
highest temperature in shanghai on april 11 2026 17c	3	$10	6	6	+0	No	$0	04-11 02:39
highest temperature in paris on april 11 2026 19c	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	04-10 10:03
highest temperature in milan on april 17 2026 23c	2	$10	7	7	+0	No	$0	04-16 12:42
highest temperature in seoul on april 11 2026 13c	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	04-10 10:59
highest temperature in paris on april 18 2026 22c	2	$10	6	6	+0	Yes	$0	04-17 19:26
highest temperature in wellington on april 22 2026 11c	2	$10	6	6	+0	No	$0	04-21 00:31
highest temperature in seoul on april 12 2026 16c	2	$10	6	6	+0	No	$0	04-11 15:56
highest temperature in singapore on april 11 2026 31c	2	$10	6	6	+0	No	$0	04-10 06:34
highest temperature in beijing on april 18 2026 27c	2	$10	6	6	+0	Yes	$0	04-17 09:47
highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 18corhigher	5	$10	7	7	+0	No	$0	04-20 16:47
highest temperature in shanghai on april 18 2026 18c	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	04-17 17:03
highest temperature in paris on april 21 2026 16c	2	$10	8	8	+0	No	$0	04-20 20:46
highest temperature in paris on april 21 2026 17c	2	$10	6	6	+0	No	$0	04-20 22:21
highest temperature in atlanta on april 11 2026 86 87f	3	$10	6	6	+0	No	$0	04-10 23:18
highest temperature in seattle on april 10 2026 66 67f	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	04-10 18:10
highest temperature in toronto on april 18 2026 18c	3	$10	6	6	+0	No	$0	04-17 23:11
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 7?	2	$10	6	6	+0	Yes	$0	05-06 10:33
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 6?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	05-05 21:10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 8?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	05-07 22:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-15 07:59:42	Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x9e9cd2…
05-08 03:36:49	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on May 8?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd9f659…
05-08 02:24:53	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on May 8?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x420de2…
05-08 00:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 71°F or below on May 8?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x879b09…
05-07 23:22:34	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 71°F or below on May 8?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x56009e…
05-07 23:05:09	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 71°F or below on May 8?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8d5597…
05-07 22:28:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 8?	No	SELL	5	87¢	$5	0x8ddfaa…
05-07 16:24:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 8?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x335e5a…
05-07 14:50:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 8?	No	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0xd8b517…
05-07 13:55:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 8?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xbafaf9…
05-07 13:50:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 8?	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x3accb1…
05-07 13:30:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 8?	No	BUY	0	68¢	$0	0x60d193…
05-06 17:39:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 7?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x14907a…
05-06 17:30:32	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 7?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xa58ecd…
05-06 10:33:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 7?	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x51f35f…
05-06 10:24:28	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on May 6?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x794081…
05-06 10:23:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 7?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x3f1691…
05-06 10:16:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 7?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x73a1f9…
05-06 07:00:02	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 6?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x68b615…
05-06 06:02:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 6?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x77ec94…
05-05 21:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 6?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$5	0xe86bbb…
05-05 17:22:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 6?	No	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0x5e333c…
05-05 16:20:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 6?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x1d49e1…
05-05 16:05:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 6?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x487782…
05-01 06:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 1?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x41a51b…
05-01 05:45:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 1?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$0	0xa9e6ec…
05-01 04:25:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on May 1?	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xe19469…
05-01 03:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 1?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xa953d6…
05-01 01:47:44	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on May 1?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$4	0x9a2299…
05-01 01:47:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on May 1?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x4cbc1b…
05-01 00:37:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 1?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbe1a77…
04-30 23:12:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 1?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x8f572f…
04-30 22:53:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 1?	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x341ef1…
04-30 22:53:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 1?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x232dcb…
04-30 18:37:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 1?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xcffc24…
04-26 09:11:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 27?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa7462b…
04-26 07:42:24	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 26?	No	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0xe4a88a…
04-26 00:56:48	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 26?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xe210c9…
04-25 22:33:16	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on April 26?	No	SELL	8	55¢	$5	0xb5a381…
04-25 22:28:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on April 26?	No	SELL	9	51¢	$4	0x71f6ab…
04-25 21:41:58	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on April 26?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xd2ee10…
04-25 20:21:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on April 26?	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x332dc4…
04-25 18:12:56	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 26?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x542583…
04-25 13:38:00	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on April 25?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xd3b37c…
04-25 13:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 25?	No	SELL	6	74¢	$4	0x79b7bd…
04-25 12:52:22	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 25?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x68eb20…
04-24 05:28:20	highest temperature in nyc on april 24 2026 62 63f	No	SELL	7	62¢	$4	0x9a5fbb…
04-24 00:14:14	highest temperature in nyc on april 24 2026 62 63f	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa896e8…
04-23 23:09:18	highest temperature in wellington on april 24 2026 14c	No	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0xc7e2d1…
04-23 21:29:20	highest temperature in wellington on april 24 2026 14c	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x7807d5…
04-23 16:30:14	highest temperature in denver on april 23 2026 66 67f	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x44346a…
04-23 12:49:08	highest temperature in wellington on april 24 2026 14c	No	SELL	6	74¢	$5	0xd6c5a4…
04-23 10:06:30	highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 17c	No	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x029245…
04-23 09:37:10	highest temperature in denver on april 23 2026 68forhigher	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xfaa95e…
04-23 09:37:10	highest temperature in denver on april 23 2026 68forhigher	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x27a1c0…
04-23 07:28:46	highest temperature in toronto on april 23 2026 15c	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x3f6a05…
04-23 06:49:16	highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 17c	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x046605…
04-23 02:49:26	highest temperature in wellington on april 24 2026 14c	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x5e7d47…
04-21 15:31:40	highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 19corhigher	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x08b221…
04-21 15:26:38	highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 19corhigher	Yes	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0x93b05c…
04-21 13:41:14	highest temperature in shanghai on april 22 2026 17c	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x657b70…
04-21 04:47:50	highest temperature in shanghai on april 22 2026 17c	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x692bb9…
04-21 03:56:04	highest temperature in shanghai on april 22 2026 17c	No	SELL	6	75¢	$5	0x015494…
04-21 03:31:12	highest temperature in shanghai on april 22 2026 17c	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xa9ade0…
04-21 00:31:18	highest temperature in wellington on april 22 2026 11c	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x6a4865…
04-20 23:23:28	highest temperature in wellington on april 22 2026 11c	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x5f1d8d…
04-20 22:21:40	highest temperature in paris on april 21 2026 17c	No	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0x40e44d…
04-20 22:07:40	highest temperature in atlanta on april 21 2026 82 83f	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc88b59…
04-20 20:46:32	highest temperature in paris on april 21 2026 16c	No	SELL	8	57¢	$5	0xbdd2ef…
04-20 19:22:06	highest temperature in paris on april 21 2026 16c	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x5b27bc…
04-20 16:47:08	highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 18corhigher	No	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0xb1f319…
04-20 16:43:10	highest temperature in ankara on april 21 2026 16c	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x5e5a9c…
04-20 16:32:34	highest temperature in ankara on april 21 2026 16c	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xd154aa…
04-20 14:37:08	highest temperature in paris on april 21 2026 17c	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xd86ed2…
04-20 10:21:04	highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 12c	No	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0x5ee1e9…
04-20 09:20:34	highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 13c	No	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0x803ae4…
04-20 09:16:44	highest temperature in warsaw on april 21 2026 12c	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x03c8b7…
04-20 06:35:56	highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 13c	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x45295a…
04-20 06:34:22	highest temperature in singapore on april 21 2026 33c	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x926cd0…
04-20 06:19:32	highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 12c	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x038ce9…
04-20 04:03:58	highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 18corhigher	No	BUY	0	76¢	$0	0x63485e…
04-20 04:01:18	highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 18corhigher	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xb62a88…
04-20 04:01:18	highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 18corhigher	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x1ae24a…
04-20 03:59:56	highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 18corhigher	No	BUY	0	76¢	$0	0x83a7de…
04-20 03:06:16	highest temperature in singapore on april 21 2026 34corhigher	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6612f7…
04-18 11:03:32	highest temperature in atlanta on april 18 2026 88 89f	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x257913…
04-18 10:34:06	highest temperature in toronto on april 18 2026 16c	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x1bc39d…
04-17 23:11:02	highest temperature in toronto on april 18 2026 18c	No	SELL	6	73¢	$5	0xc34ec9…
04-17 20:42:18	highest temperature in toronto on april 18 2026 18c	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xaee477…
04-17 20:33:24	highest temperature in toronto on april 18 2026 18c	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x9f3462…
04-17 19:26:38	highest temperature in paris on april 18 2026 22c	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xe49925…
04-17 18:20:12	highest temperature in toronto on april 18 2026 16c	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xabff81…
04-17 17:03:30	highest temperature in shanghai on april 18 2026 18c	No	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0xa06ec6…
04-17 15:15:16	highest temperature in paris on april 18 2026 22c	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x677a8a…
04-17 13:11:12	highest temperature in london on april 17 2026 17c	No	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0x2ce723…
04-17 13:08:28	highest temperature in paris on april 18 2026 23corhigher	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1b66fc…
04-17 12:04:00	highest temperature in toronto on april 17 2026 15corbelow	No	SELL	5	66¢	$4	0x5524c5…
04-17 10:04:14	highest temperature in beijing on april 18 2026 25corbelow	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd264dd…
04-17 09:57:22	highest temperature in shanghai on april 18 2026 18c	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc07e39…
04-17 09:47:00	highest temperature in beijing on april 18 2026 27c	No	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0x31f47f…