Watery-Basin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.0%

Resolved

2,296

Trades

2,351

lifetime

Volume

$11.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 10-25 09:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 222 days

Categories

Other

81% 98% +$4

Sports

15% 100% +$2

Crypto

3% 97% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
cs2 aim1 100t 2026 02 25 game2	2	$10	5	5	+0	100 Thieves	+$0	03-13 15:28
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$10	5	5	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 00:55
cs2 bca inf6 2026 02 25 game1	2	$10	5	5	+0	Betclic Apogee Esports	+$0	03-06 16:23
cs2 rbls ursa 2026 02 25 game1	2	$10	5	5	+0	Ursa	+$0	03-06 09:46
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:15
cs2 all wb1 2026 02 26 map handicap home 1pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	WHITEBIRD	+$0	03-06 12:14
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-10 10:42
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 13:53
Will Mikes Evans play for New York Jets in 2026-27?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	03-10 06:11
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$10	5	5	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 16:02
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$10	5	5	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:36
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-01 01:24
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:11
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:36
cs2 aim1 100t 2026 02 25 map handicap home 1pt5	3	$10	5	5	+0	100 Thieves	+$0	03-14 15:49
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Paris Saint-Germain FC	+$0	03-11 21:59
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$10	5	5	+0	Mali	+$0	06-03 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-30 05:36
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$10	5	5	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	03-31 04:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 09:30:59	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa16aea…
10-24 13:22:09	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3cfb1e…
10-23 16:52:30	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdb1d12…
10-23 06:10:02	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6be672…
10-21 17:08:39	Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw	Corentin Moutet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8a82ec…
10-20 18:47:42	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x71ed54…
10-20 18:36:29	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x898d19…
10-18 03:35:41	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb07e55…
10-15 19:37:43	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3de31a…
10-14 20:56:43	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4685a2…
10-14 11:41:25	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x120ec2…
10-13 20:58:52	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x11ac54…
10-13 14:15:25	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3281a1…
10-12 09:05:09	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf0428f…
10-11 10:26:12	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1e1367…
10-10 11:14:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x608ec9…
10-09 02:09:59	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x85e0d0…
10-06 20:46:27	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x15331c…
10-06 16:07:32	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0a3e2e…
10-04 23:23:17	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x93fac4…
10-04 20:17:38	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x13c602…
10-03 14:50:27	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x96e11c…
10-03 02:53:02	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xafd9ae…
10-02 14:12:32	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x28cf99…
10-01 20:46:20	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc7762e…
10-01 14:40:00	China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik	Jakub Mensik	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa7edd0…
10-01 06:03:12	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbfbad3…
09-30 23:54:54	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd60204…
09-30 01:58:18	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x65c706…
09-29 13:59:00	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7783fe…
09-29 13:15:57	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdf7b4b…
09-28 20:43:08	atp zink krueger 2026 09 28	Mitchell Krueger	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb04577…
09-28 10:07:56	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf1e9f5…
09-27 20:20:38	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe03d1d…
09-27 20:12:27	nfl cin pit 2026 09 27	Steelers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcd3982…
09-27 13:31:17	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbe7810…
09-27 12:11:59	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x84fc17…
09-26 19:47:30	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1a6275…
09-26 12:18:26	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x71367e…
09-25 10:39:23	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7efb90…
09-24 20:45:12	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xacfc2a…
09-23 22:37:46	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0e63f3…
09-21 19:09:01	will msft dip to 495 by september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe8289c…
09-21 18:44:37	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xde8403…
09-21 08:37:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 14-20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x178a0c…
09-21 02:19:43	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x619796…
09-20 22:25:40	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf5ce99…
09-20 20:53:01	KKS Lech Poznan leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeb90a5…
09-20 02:59:34	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa091dd…
09-20 01:26:39	Florida State vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaac4ac…
09-20 00:02:51	Southeastern Louisiana vs. Louisiana-Monroe	Southeastern Louisiana	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xee7d89…
09-19 01:33:06	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x544424…
09-17 20:00:09	Tread FDV above $400M one day after launch	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd2b2b4…
09-17 17:27:46	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdfa98a…
09-17 16:02:37	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on September 17?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2a5152…
09-17 14:00:49	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7abbb4…
09-16 12:24:48	atp canas lagutin 2026 09 16	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe15097…
09-16 11:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfd1d75…
09-15 09:42:03	Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov	Pavel Kotov	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa9977f…
09-14 19:48:04	cs2 drama zotix 2026 09 14 game2	Drama eSports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe0b1e2…
09-14 10:02:36	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group B	Team Nemesis	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x44f218…
09-14 04:36:54	atp peliwo ziegann 2026 09 13	Filip Peliwo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd5a709…
09-13 14:59:06	atp zhukov loof 2026 09 13	Thijmen Loof	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa29827…
09-13 07:36:42	Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on September 12?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3ef59b…
09-13 02:51:27	Iowa State vs. Iowa	Iowa	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa32eab…
09-13 01:58:43	Illinois State vs. Northern Illinois	Illinois State	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x218f36…
09-12 18:46:13	Noche UFC: JJ Aldrich vs. Regina Tarin (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)	Regina Tarin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9b8728…
09-12 17:29:18	European T20 Premier League: Dublin Guardians vs Glasgow Cosmic	Glasgow Cosmic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2a0e7f…
09-12 03:18:52	US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbdf1cc…
09-12 01:13:12	Next Kimi K model released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa883ad…
09-11 10:50:06	Cassis: Ugo Blanchet vs Daniel Masur	Daniel Masur	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd2785e…
09-11 02:58:33	Phan Thiet 3: Philip Sekulic vs Koki Matsuda	Philip Sekulic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x17ff0b…
09-10 18:48:22	LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 1 Winner	Aeterna Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x379a06…
09-10 17:31:48	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Fazilka Falcons vs Bathinda Royals	Fazilka Falcons	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6de5c0…
09-10 01:18:07	Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfc685c…
09-09 22:45:54	US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx	Karen Khachanov	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaa8bc9…
09-09 18:51:09	Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1a2993…
09-09 07:42:03	cs2 tyloo the9 2026 09 09	TYLOO	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb41bcb…
09-09 04:08:09	Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x50d365…
09-09 00:21:40	Barranquilla: Cadence Brace vs Sara Sorribes Tormo	Sara Sorribes Tormo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2b3a36…
09-08 23:12:19	atp tiafoe michels 2026 09 08	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcb9d8b…
09-08 20:57:15	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb43134…
09-08 14:36:42	Antalya 4: Federica Urgesi vs Miriam Bulgaru	Miriam Bulgaru	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3d8efc…
09-08 05:02:46	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics	Athletics	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3fcdd3…
09-07 21:25:42	wta osaka rybakin 2026 09 07	Elena Rybakina	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xce42fa…
09-07 19:01:09	Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs Blockx	Blockx	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6e78bf…
09-07 18:55:07	Seville: Petr Brunclik vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd52bba…
09-07 18:53:19	Will Asteras Tripolis win on 2026-09-07?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe8c153…
09-07 17:57:54	US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Qinwen Zheng	Qinwen Zheng	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2f8ac4…
09-04 15:07:30	cs2 fokus aim1 2026 09 04	FOKUS	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x68db7c…
09-03 10:13:07	itf jadou popovi 2026 09 03	Stevan Popovic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd85c66…
09-03 09:56:16	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 2?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x832d8e…
09-02 18:33:55	Will AEK vs. OFI end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfe6aa3…
09-02 18:29:34	Will OFI win on 2026-09-02?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0eaf11…
09-02 11:11:01	itf paque strakho 2026 09 02	Valeriya Strakhova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb5eec7…
09-01 16:36:49	Will Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic win on 2026-09-01?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x70a8a9…
09-01 14:41:15	Como: Raul Brancaccio vs Duje Ajdukovic	Duje Ajdukovic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x71c8dc…
09-01 13:27:27	Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	Infinite	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1464d5…
09-01 04:02:42	Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x68dc66…
09-01 04:02:40	Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc56525…