Realized P&L
+$159
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
75.4%
Resolved
61
Trades
154
lifetime
Volume
$1.22K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$354
30 positions
First seen
2026-11-01
last 11-15 03:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
48% 80% +$142
Other
33% 59% +$14
Crypto
11% 75% +$6
Sports
7% 56% -$7
Tech
1% 100% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +59 $40 68¢ $40 $0 11-07 22:50
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? No +26 $20 86¢ $22 +$2 11-07 23:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +22 $20 92¢ $21 +$1 11-07 23:02
Another candidate is the 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30? Yes +22 $15 90¢ $20 +$5 11-07 22:41
Russia coup attempt by December 31, 2027? No +22 $20 85¢ $19 -$1 11-07 23:07
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +120 $15 15¢ $18 +$3 11-07 22:37
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on November 15? No +19 $15 86¢ $17 +$2 11-14 21:48
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? No +51 $20 32¢ $16 -$4 11-07 22:47
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028? Yes +25 $15 62¢ $15 +$0 11-10 02:06
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2027? No +20 $15 74¢ $15 $0 11-07 23:06
will adele appear at the 2026 nfl christmas day halftime show No +14 $10 94¢ $14 +$4 11-13 03:05
Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2028? Yes +14 $10 76¢ $11 +$1 11-10 02:05
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2028? Yes +16 $10 66¢ $11 +$1 11-10 02:01
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? Yes +11 $10 92¢ $10 +$0 11-07 23:33
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +16 $10 64¢ $10 +$0 11-10 16:16
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +71 $10 14¢ $10 $0 11-07 23:12
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2028? Yes +14 $10 68¢ $9 -$1 11-10 02:05
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +56 $10 17¢ $9 -$1 11-13 02:55
Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026? No +9 $8 86¢ $8 +$0 11-14 03:42
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $15 19¢ $8 -$7 11-07 23:38
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%? Yes +16 $10 45¢ $7 -$3 11-07 23:15
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +207 $6 3¢ $6 $0 11-13 02:57
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +14 $5 37¢ $5 +$0 11-07 22:39
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +96 $5 5¢ $5 +$0 11-07 22:26
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +30 $10 16¢ $5 -$5 11-07 22:34
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +179 $5 3¢ $5 +$0 11-07 23:09
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +11 $5 47¢ $5 $0 11-14 13:32
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +68 $5 7¢ $5 $0 11-08 17:49
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +6 $5 76¢ $5 $0 11-10 22:07
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +46 $5 10¢ $5 $0 11-07 22:31