Golden-Adaptation 0xcfeac3…40182a Create alert
bot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$299
Unrealized P&L
-$42
Hit rate
42.3%
Resolved
1,867
Trades
3,159
lifetime
Volume
$7.40K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$24
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-02
last 11-11 23:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 149 days
Categories
Other
60% 14% -$341
Politics
36% 15% +$70
Sports
2% 19% -$20
Crypto
2% 49% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 106 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will voter turnout be less than 76% in the 2026 New Zealand general election? Yes +7 -$6 55¢ $4 +$10 11-10 21:57
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 0.3%-0.6%? Yes +8 $2 46¢ $4 +$1 11-11 19:36
Will the Opportunity Party win 13 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +180 $1 2¢ $3 +$2 11-06 16:26
Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 5-10%? Yes +148 $1 1¢ $2 +$1 11-06 10:06
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on November 12? Yes +10 $1 15¢ $2 +$1 11-12 00:02
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on November 12? Yes +16 $1 9¢ $1 +$0 11-11 23:38
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on November 12? Yes +18 $1 6¢ $1 $0 11-12 00:22
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on November 12? Yes +43 $1 2¢ $1 $0 11-12 00:11
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on November 12? Yes +8 $1 11¢ $1 $0 11-12 00:05
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on November 12? Yes +29 $1 3¢ $1 $0 11-11 23:38
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on November 12? Yes +51 $1 2¢ $1 $0 11-11 23:47
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on November 12? Yes +17 $1 4¢ $1 $0 11-11 23:41
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on November 12? Yes +20 $1 4¢ $1 $0 11-11 23:26
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on November 12? Yes +14 $1 5¢ $1 $0 11-11 23:59
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on November 12? Yes +16 $1 4¢ $1 -$1 11-11 23:34
Will the National Party win 25-29 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +360 $5 0¢ $0 -$5 11-06 09:58
Will the National Party win fewer than 25 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +198 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 11-06 16:17
Will the Labour Party win fewer than 30 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +190 $7 0¢ $0 -$6 11-06 16:19
Will the Labour Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +157 $4 0¢ $0 -$4 11-06 16:20
Will the National Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +186 $5 0¢ $0 -$4 11-06 09:58
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +12 $2 1¢ $0 -$2 11-06 10:08
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on November 11? Yes +48 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 11-10 21:57
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 5-10%? Yes +63 $4 0¢ $0 -$4 11-06 16:15
Will the Opportunity Party win 10-12 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +48 $4 0¢ $0 -$4 11-06 09:46
Will the Labour Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +2 $6 1¢ $0 -$6 11-07 20:09
Will Xolani Khumalo be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni? Yes +0 -$2 42¢ $0 +$2 11-05 13:37
Will Kristina Loewen win the next Kelowna Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? No +0 $1 39¢ $0 -$1 10-26 10:30
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 25%-30%? Yes +0 $4 1¢ $0 -$4 11-04 14:31
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 25%-30%? Yes +0 $5 4¢ $0 -$5 11-04 15:34
Will the Opportunity Party win 4-6 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +0 $8 0¢ $0 -$8 11-07 20:11