Golden-Adaptation 0xcfeac3…40182a Create alert
bot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$299
Unrealized P&L
-$24
Hit rate
42.3%
Resolved
1,867
Trades
3,172
lifetime
Volume
$7.42K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$25
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-02
last 11-12 00:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 149 days
Categories
Other
60% 14% -$341
Politics
36% 15% +$70
Sports
2% 19% -$20
Crypto
2% 49% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 106 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 0.3%-0.6%? Yes +8 $2 51¢ $4 +$2 11-11 19:36
Will voter turnout be less than 76% in the 2026 New Zealand general election? Yes +7 -$6 54¢ $4 +$10 11-10 21:57
Will the Opportunity Party win 13 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +180 $1 2¢ $3 +$2 11-06 16:26
Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 5-10%? Yes +148 $1 1¢ $2 +$1 11-06 10:06
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on November 12? Yes +10 $1 12¢ $1 +$0 11-12 00:02
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on November 13? Yes +22 $1 5¢ $1 $0 11-12 00:52
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on November 12? Yes +43 $1 2¢ $1 $0 11-12 00:11
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on November 12? Yes +25 $1 3¢ $1 $0 11-12 00:33
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on November 12? Yes +34 $1 2¢ $1 $0 11-12 00:33
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on November 12? Yes +25 $1 3¢ $1 $0 11-12 00:37
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on November 12? Yes +17 $1 4¢ $1 $0 11-11 23:41
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on November 12? Yes +16 $1 4¢ $1 -$1 11-11 23:38
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on November 12? Yes +20 $1 4¢ $1 $0 11-11 23:26
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on November 12? Yes +8 $1 9¢ $1 $0 11-12 00:05
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on November 12? Yes +333 $1 0¢ $1 $0 11-12 00:40
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on November 12? Yes +51 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 11-11 23:47
Will the National Party win 25-29 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +360 $5 0¢ $0 -$5 11-06 09:58
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on November 12? Yes +18 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 11-12 00:22
Will the National Party win fewer than 25 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +198 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 11-06 16:17
Will the Labour Party win fewer than 30 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +190 $7 0¢ $0 -$6 11-06 16:19
Will the Labour Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +157 $4 0¢ $0 -$4 11-06 16:20
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on November 12? Yes +43 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 11-12 00:38
Will the National Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +186 $5 0¢ $0 -$4 11-06 09:58
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +12 $2 1¢ $0 -$2 11-06 10:08
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on November 11? Yes +48 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 11-10 21:57
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 5-10%? Yes +63 $4 0¢ $0 -$4 11-06 16:15
Will the Opportunity Party win 10-12 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +48 $4 0¢ $0 -$4 11-06 09:46
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on November 12? Yes +29 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 11-11 23:38
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on November 12? Yes +16 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 11-11 23:34
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on November 12? Yes +14 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 11-11 23:59