Golden-Adaptation 0xcfeac3…40182a Create alert
bot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$269
Unrealized P&L
-$57
Hit rate
42.4%
Resolved
1,836
Trades
3,124
lifetime
Volume
$7.32K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$20
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-02
last 11-09 08:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 146 days
Categories
Other
60% 14% -$321
Politics
36% 15% +$80
Sports
2% 19% -$20
Crypto
2% 49% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 106 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will voter turnout be less than 76% in the 2026 New Zealand general election? Yes +25 $1 50¢ $13 +$11 11-06 20:47
Will the Opportunity Party win 13 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +180 $1 2¢ $3 +$2 11-06 16:26
Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 5-10%? Yes +148 $1 1¢ $2 +$1 11-06 10:06
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on November 9? Yes +326 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 11-08 20:18
Will the National Party win 25-29 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +360 $5 0¢ $0 -$5 11-06 09:58
Will the National Party win fewer than 25 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +198 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 11-06 16:17
Will the Labour Party win fewer than 30 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +190 $7 0¢ $0 -$6 11-06 16:19
Will the Labour Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +157 $4 0¢ $0 -$4 11-06 16:20
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C or higher on November 9? Yes +26 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 11-08 19:17
Will the National Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +186 $5 0¢ $0 -$4 11-06 09:58
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +12 $2 1¢ $0 -$2 11-06 10:08
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on November 9? Yes +33 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 11-08 20:35
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 5-10%? Yes +63 $4 0¢ $0 -$4 11-06 16:15
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on November 9? Yes +59 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 11-08 18:25
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on November 9? Yes +32 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 11-08 20:21
Will the Opportunity Party win 10-12 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +48 $4 0¢ $0 -$4 11-06 09:46
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on November 9? Yes +44 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 11-08 18:03
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on November 9? Yes +21 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 11-08 18:25
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on November 9? Yes +21 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 11-08 18:35
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on November 9? Yes +18 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 11-08 18:34
Will the Labour Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +2 $6 1¢ $0 -$6 11-07 20:09
Will Xolani Khumalo be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni? Yes +0 -$2 42¢ $0 +$2 11-05 13:37
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 25%-30%? Yes +0 $4 1¢ $0 -$4 11-04 14:31
Will Kristina Loewen win the next Kelowna Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? No +0 $1 30¢ $0 -$1 10-26 10:30
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 25%-30%? Yes +0 $5 4¢ $0 -$5 11-04 15:34
Will the Opportunity Party win 4-6 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +0 $8 0¢ $0 -$8 11-07 20:11
Will voter turnout be between 80% and 82% in the 2026 New Zealand general election? Yes +0 $1 5¢ $0 -$1 11-07 20:51
Will ACT New Zealand win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +0 $0 1¢ $0 +$1 11-07 11:04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 20%-25%? Yes +0 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 11-04 14:49
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +0 $5 0¢ $0 -$5 11-07 11:04