Golden-Adaptation 0xcfeac3…40182a Create alert
bot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$263
Unrealized P&L
-$24
Hit rate
42.6%
Resolved
1,846
Trades
3,140
lifetime
Volume
$7.37K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$54
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-02
last 11-09 22:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 147 days
Categories
Other
60% 14% -$315
Politics
36% 15% +$80
Sports
2% 19% -$20
Crypto
2% 49% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 106 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on November 10? Yes +16 $2 88¢ $14 +$13 11-09 16:37
Will voter turnout be less than 76% in the 2026 New Zealand general election? Yes +19 -$2 65¢ $12 +$14 11-09 20:10
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 14°C on November 10? Yes +42 $2 12¢ $5 +$3 11-09 20:47
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on November 10? Yes +25 $4 19¢ $5 +$1 11-09 19:13
Will the Opportunity Party win 13 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +180 $1 2¢ $3 +$2 11-06 16:26
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 10? Yes +16 $2 18¢ $3 +$1 11-09 20:15
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on November 10? Yes +23 $2 10¢ $2 +$1 11-09 18:59
Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 5-10%? Yes +148 $1 1¢ $2 +$1 11-06 10:06
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on November 10? Yes +14 $1 10¢ $2 +$0 11-09 19:53
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 13°C on November 10? Yes +17 $1 5¢ $1 $0 11-09 19:41
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on November 10? Yes +21 $2 4¢ $1 -$2 11-09 19:30
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on November 10? Yes +21 $2 3¢ $1 -$1 11-09 18:50
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on November 10? Yes +13 $2 4¢ $1 -$1 11-09 19:01
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on November 10? Yes +22 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 11-09 19:37
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on November 10? Yes +26 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 11-09 19:48
Will the National Party win 25-29 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +360 $5 0¢ $0 -$5 11-06 09:58
Will the National Party win fewer than 25 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +198 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 11-06 16:17
Will the Labour Party win fewer than 30 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +190 $7 0¢ $0 -$6 11-06 16:19
Will the Labour Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +157 $4 0¢ $0 -$4 11-06 16:20
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on November 10? Yes +34 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 11-09 19:22
Will the National Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +186 $5 0¢ $0 -$4 11-06 09:58
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +12 $2 1¢ $0 -$2 11-06 10:08
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 5-10%? Yes +63 $4 0¢ $0 -$4 11-06 16:15
Will the Opportunity Party win 10-12 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +48 $4 0¢ $0 -$4 11-06 09:46
Will the Labour Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +2 $6 1¢ $0 -$6 11-07 20:09
Will Xolani Khumalo be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni? Yes +0 -$2 42¢ $0 +$2 11-05 13:37
Will Kristina Loewen win the next Kelowna Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? No +0 $1 36¢ $0 -$1 10-26 10:30
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 25%-30%? Yes +0 $4 1¢ $0 -$4 11-04 14:31
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 25%-30%? Yes +0 $5 4¢ $0 -$5 11-04 15:34
Will the Opportunity Party win 4-6 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +0 $8 0¢ $0 -$8 11-07 20:11