Realized P&L (90d)
-$66
Unrealized P&L
-$27
Hit rate
42.3%
Resolved (90d)
1,208
Trades (90d)
1,941
3,092 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$4.59K
$7.25K lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$42
22 positions
First seen
2026-03-02
last 11-07 14:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 145 days
Categories
Other
60% 14% -$330
Politics
36% 15% +$80
Sports
2% 19% -$20
Crypto
2% 49% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 106 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will voter turnout be between 76% and 78% in the 2026 New Zealand general election? Yes +34 $4 44¢ $15 +$11 11-06 09:52
Will voter turnout be less than 76% in the 2026 New Zealand general election? Yes +25 $1 34¢ $8 +$7 11-06 20:47
Will the Opportunity Party win 4-6 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +106 $8 3¢ $4 -$5 11-06 16:27
Will voter turnout be between 82% and 84% in the 2026 New Zealand general election? Yes +42 $2 8¢ $3 +$1 11-06 20:50
Will the Opportunity Party win 13 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +180 $1 2¢ $3 +$2 11-06 16:26
Will voter turnout be between 80% and 82% in the 2026 New Zealand general election? Yes +20 $2 15¢ $3 +$1 11-07 14:30
Will the Labour Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +250 $6 1¢ $2 -$4 11-06 10:03
Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 5-10%? Yes +148 $1 1¢ $2 +$1 11-06 10:06
Will the National Party win 25-29 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +360 $5 0¢ $0 -$5 11-06 09:58
Will the National Party win fewer than 25 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +198 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 11-06 16:17
Will the Labour Party win fewer than 30 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +190 $7 0¢ $0 -$6 11-06 16:19
Will the Labour Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +157 $4 0¢ $0 -$4 11-06 16:20
Will the National Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +186 $5 0¢ $0 -$4 11-06 09:58
Will voter turnout be 84% or higher in the 2026 New Zealand general election? Yes +33 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 11-06 20:44
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 5-10%? Yes +63 $4 0¢ $0 -$4 11-06 16:15
Will the Opportunity Party win 10-12 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +48 $4 0¢ $0 -$4 11-06 09:46
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +12 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 11-06 10:08
Will Xolani Khumalo be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni? Yes +0 -$2 14¢ $0 +$2 11-05 13:37
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 25%-30%? Yes +0 $5 4¢ $0 -$5 11-04 15:34
Will ACT New Zealand win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +0 $0 1¢ $0 +$1 11-07 11:04
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +0 $5 0¢ $0 -$5 11-07 11:04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 20%-25%? Yes +0 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 11-04 14:49