Round-Windchime — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.74K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$47

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 05-08 02:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

61% — —

Crypto

33% 100% +$2

Politics

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	2	$811	821	0	+821	open	—	04-30 00:23
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$250	264	0	+264	open	—	04-30 00:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	1	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	04-29 12:15
will mrbeast hit 465 million subscribers by january 31 316 216 943	3	$78	52	42	+11	open	—	01-31 06:02
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	2	$69	40	40	+0	open	—	01-31 05:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	3	$59	44	29	+15	open	—	05-04 16:04
Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	1	$44	0	46	-46	open	—	01-02 04:57
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$40	30	30	+0	open	—	01-30 12:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?	1	$35	0	35	-35	open	—	05-04 15:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?	1	$34	35	0	+35	No	+$1	05-08 02:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5?	1	$33	34	0	+34	Yes	+$1	05-05 03:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3?	1	$33	33	0	+33	open	—	05-03 03:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	1	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	05-02 01:41
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$27	28	0	+28	open	—	01-31 14:16
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	1	$22	24	0	+24	open	—	03-21 00:54
bitcoin above 72k on february 8	2	$21	13	13	+0	open	—	02-08 14:48
will trump talk to xi jinping in february	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	02-02 10:52
bitcoin up or down february 9 12am et	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	02-09 05:34
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	1	$10	24	0	+24	open	—	01-02 05:14
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	01-31 14:15
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	2	$5	34	34	+0	open	—	02-03 03:47
bitcoin above 68k on february 8	1	$1	143	0	+143	open	—	02-08 14:49
btc updown 15m 1770543900	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	02-08 09:47
will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on february 1	1	$1	26	0	+26	open	—	02-01 14:01
bitcoin above 70k on february 8	1	$1	21	0	+21	open	—	02-08 14:17
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	02-08 09:47
btc updown 15m 1770560100	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	02-08 14:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 02:17:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xf7d9a4…
05-05 03:53:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x5c0b47…
05-04 16:04:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x291aa0…
05-04 16:00:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x76f8d7…
05-04 15:56:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xfa90d5…
05-04 15:54:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x18cebc…
05-03 03:35:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xdf24a2…
05-02 01:41:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x39a0e7…
04-30 00:23:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	801	100¢	$797	0x1dc9ac…
04-30 00:20:58	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	205	98¢	$200	0x2de7cc…
04-29 12:15:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x6e1e0d…
04-29 09:47:08	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x61a7f8…
04-25 15:54:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x965eeb…
03-21 00:54:05	Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	91¢	$22	0xd7f51e…
02-09 05:34:33	bitcoin up or down february 9 12am et	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xc57a52…
02-08 14:49:41	bitcoin above 68k on february 8	No	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x599381…
02-08 14:48:45	bitcoin above 72k on february 8	No	SELL	13	89¢	$11	0xae40d8…
02-08 14:20:27	btc updown 15m 1770560100	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x7b7ca2…
02-08 14:17:37	bitcoin above 70k on february 8	No	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x54a5e5…
02-08 14:17:23	bitcoin above 72k on february 8	No	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0xf07432…
02-08 09:47:59	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x4dc436…
02-08 09:47:23	btc updown 15m 1770543900	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf8972b…
02-03 03:47:06	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	34	0¢	$0	0x9038f0…
02-02 10:52:48	will trump talk to xi jinping in february	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x7025a2…
02-01 14:01:04	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on february 1	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x03b225…
01-31 14:16:18	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	28	94¢	$27	0x89f9d0…
01-31 14:15:18	will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	No	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x4e119a…
01-31 06:02:14	will mrbeast hit 465 million subscribers by january 31 316 216 943	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x5a8ef6…
01-31 06:01:50	will mrbeast hit 465 million subscribers by january 31 316 216 943	Yes	SELL	42	91¢	$38	0x802afb…
01-31 06:00:36	will mrbeast hit 465 million subscribers by january 31 316 216 943	Yes	BUY	42	94¢	$39	0x973bd6…
01-31 05:26:22	will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0xe49fe1…
01-30 12:45:36	will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xbefef5…
01-30 12:22:12	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x19c480…
01-02 05:15:15	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x5d1805…
01-02 05:14:59	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x140fd6…
01-02 05:14:49	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x5f3bd5…
01-02 04:57:03	Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	Yes	SELL	46	95¢	$44	0xf5b08e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	18	$154.4K	3,509	05-08 14:27
Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389	14	$76.1K	10,024	03-20 18:00
Hideous-Package 0x21c5…3533	14	$31.9K	100	05-08 13:00
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	14	$8.03K	1,709	05-07 22:13
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	13	$3.00M	6,273	04-30 14:04
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	13	$15.0K	4,588	03-31 17:48
Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44	13	$894	448	05-02 21:37
Secondary-Maximum 0xa5c7…7e7b	12	$19.3K	833	05-05 05:01