Round-Windchime — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

+$10

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$59

Open exposure

$50

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-29 19:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

64% — —

Crypto

23% 100% +$2

Sports

5% — —

Tech

5% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	+56	$20	54¢	$30	+$10	06-27 02:49
Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	+10	$10	98¢	$10	+$0	06-13 03:13
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	+45	$10	22¢	$10	$-0	06-27 02:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	2	$811	821	0	+821	open	—	04-30 00:23
fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 spread home 2pt5	1	$500	516	0	+516	open	—	06-17 21:44
fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 spread home 3pt5	1	$500	502	0	+502	open	—	06-17 05:48
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$250	264	0	+264	open	—	04-30 00:20
bitcoin above 65800 on june 16 2026 10am et	2	$206	118	118	+0	open	—	06-16 13:45
fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 spread home 5pt5	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	06-20 18:47
will the announcers say yellow card during the usa vs paraguay fifa world cup match 20260609202955338	1	$140	143	0	+143	open	—	06-12 08:52
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	3	$111	115	0	+115	open	—	06-27 02:51
fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 spread home 2pt5	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	06-18 17:50
fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	1	$100	122	0	+122	open	—	06-17 20:54
fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 spread away 2pt5	1	$100	115	0	+115	open	—	06-18 03:35
bitcoin above 63600 on june 20 2026 11pm et	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	06-21 02:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	1	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	04-29 12:15
will mrbeast hit 465 million subscribers by january 31 316 216 943	3	$78	52	42	+11	open	—	01-31 06:02
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	2	$69	40	40	+0	open	—	01-31 05:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	3	$59	44	29	+15	open	—	05-04 16:04
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	4	$48	29	29	+0	open	—	06-29 19:22
Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	1	$44	0	46	-46	open	—	01-02 04:57
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$40	30	30	+0	open	—	01-30 12:22
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	2	$38	49	0	+49	open	—	06-28 21:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?	1	$35	0	35	-35	open	—	05-04 15:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?	1	$34	35	0	+35	No	+$1	05-08 02:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5?	1	$33	34	0	+34	Yes	+$1	05-05 03:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3?	1	$33	33	0	+33	open	—	05-03 03:35
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$30	33	0	+33	open	—	06-13 03:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	1	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	05-02 01:41
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$27	28	0	+28	open	—	01-31 14:16
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	1	$22	24	0	+24	open	—	03-21 00:54
bitcoin above 72k on february 8	2	$21	13	13	+0	open	—	02-08 14:48
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	1	$20	56	0	+56	open	—	06-27 02:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 19:22:32	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	SELL	24	98¢	$23	0x4b885c…
06-29 19:16:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd81a3d…
06-28 21:24:13	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	39	84¢	$33	0x4c0648…
06-28 15:39:55	fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 spread home 1pt5	Ghana	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xaca7e5…
06-27 02:51:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x229e30…
06-27 02:50:47	Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x6ef63c…
06-27 02:49:59	Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xe0ea77…
06-27 02:49:53	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xcbfe73…
06-26 23:35:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x694c77…
06-25 03:50:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x6e139f…
06-25 03:50:16	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x3c6e0c…
06-25 03:50:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x7f13f2…
06-23 04:55:23	fifwc jor alg 2026 06 22 spread away 1pt5	Jordan	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xc4f8a7…
06-22 03:07:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x6fb0cb…
06-21 20:10:53	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 spread home 2pt5	IR Iran	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x8b923e…
06-21 02:34:41	bitcoin above 63600 on june 20 2026 11pm et	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x347c85…
06-20 18:54:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x04dada…
06-20 18:54:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x955e08…
06-20 18:47:46	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 spread home 5pt5	Sweden	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x7ccd04…
06-18 17:50:07	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 spread home 2pt5	South Africa	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x590bf7…
06-18 03:35:25	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 spread away 2pt5	Uzbekistan	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x255178…
06-17 21:44:29	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 spread home 2pt5	Croatia	BUY	516	97¢	$500	0xa7202e…
06-17 20:54:20	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	Croatia	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xabb0b7…
06-17 05:48:11	fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 spread home 3pt5	Jordan	BUY	502	100¢	$500	0x6ad877…
06-16 14:07:59	bitcoin above 65800 on june 16 2026 11am et	Yes	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x02d77b…
06-16 14:06:16	btc updown 5m 1781618700	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x7933c1…
06-16 13:45:55	bitcoin above 65800 on june 16 2026 10am et	Yes	SELL	118	90¢	$106	0xc220ce…
06-16 13:31:35	bitcoin above 65800 on june 16 2026 10am et	Yes	BUY	118	84¢	$100	0x54579f…
06-16 13:04:01	bitcoin above 66000 on june 16 2026 10am et	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xd54073…
06-13 03:14:01	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x9947b3…
06-13 03:13:48	Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x003667…
06-12 08:52:58	will the announcers say yellow card during the usa vs paraguay fifa world cup match 20260609202955338	Yes	BUY	143	98¢	$140	0x02bf90…
05-08 02:17:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xf7d9a4…
05-05 03:53:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x5c0b47…
05-04 16:04:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x291aa0…
05-04 16:00:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x76f8d7…
05-04 15:56:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xfa90d5…
05-04 15:54:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x18cebc…
05-03 03:35:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xdf24a2…
05-02 01:41:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x39a0e7…
04-30 00:23:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	801	100¢	$797	0x1dc9ac…
04-30 00:20:58	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	205	98¢	$200	0x2de7cc…
04-29 12:15:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x6e1e0d…
04-29 09:47:08	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x61a7f8…
04-25 15:54:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x965eeb…
03-21 00:54:05	Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	91¢	$22	0xd7f51e…
02-09 05:34:33	bitcoin up or down february 9 12am et	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xc57a52…
02-08 14:49:41	bitcoin above 68k on february 8	No	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x599381…
02-08 14:48:45	bitcoin above 72k on february 8	No	SELL	13	89¢	$11	0xae40d8…
02-08 14:20:27	btc updown 15m 1770560100	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x7b7ca2…
02-08 14:17:37	bitcoin above 70k on february 8	No	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x54a5e5…
02-08 14:17:23	bitcoin above 72k on february 8	No	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0xf07432…
02-08 09:47:59	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x4dc436…
02-08 09:47:23	btc updown 15m 1770543900	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf8972b…
02-03 03:47:06	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	34	0¢	$0	0x9038f0…
02-02 10:52:48	will trump talk to xi jinping in february	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x7025a2…
02-01 14:01:04	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on february 1	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x03b225…
01-31 14:16:18	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	28	94¢	$27	0x89f9d0…
01-31 14:15:18	will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	No	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x4e119a…
01-31 06:02:14	will mrbeast hit 465 million subscribers by january 31 316 216 943	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x5a8ef6…
01-31 06:01:50	will mrbeast hit 465 million subscribers by january 31 316 216 943	Yes	SELL	42	91¢	$38	0x802afb…
01-31 06:00:36	will mrbeast hit 465 million subscribers by january 31 316 216 943	Yes	BUY	42	94¢	$39	0x973bd6…
01-31 05:26:22	will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0xe49fe1…
01-30 12:45:36	will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xbefef5…
01-30 12:22:12	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x19c480…
01-02 05:15:15	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x5d1805…
01-02 05:14:59	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x140fd6…
01-02 05:14:49	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x5f3bd5…
01-02 04:57:03	Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	Yes	SELL	46	95¢	$44	0xf5b08e…