Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

30.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$108

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$19

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 08-05 20:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Other

55% 19% -$31

Politics

34% 44% $0

Sports

9% 0% -$10

Crypto

1% 0% -$1

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+13	$8	68¢	$9	+$1	08-05 20:52
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	-4	-$4	94¢	$-4	$0	07-15 12:01
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	+6	$3	66¢	$4	+$1	04-28 18:26
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?	No	+2	$1	91¢	$1	+$0	04-28 18:24
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	Yes	+7	$1	4¢	$0	-$1	06-22 10:45
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?	Yes	+6	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	06-22 10:43
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	+3	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	04-28 18:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-05 20:52:35	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x74a365…
07-15 12:03:02	Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x39671e…
07-15 12:01:53	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xb62032…
07-15 12:01:32	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0x3565a9…
07-15 12:01:19	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0x4a0385…
07-01 11:09:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0xa2c285…
07-01 11:09:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x42cb59…
07-01 11:07:31	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by july 31	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xe2ab44…
07-01 11:06:55	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x98dbe3…
07-01 11:06:29	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0xba7e26…
07-01 11:04:55	Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc78325…
07-01 11:03:50	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xf7c77e…
07-01 11:01:55	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x43fbf9…
07-01 11:01:35	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xf50d40…
06-22 10:46:14	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	53	6¢	$3	0x3d3e98…
06-22 10:45:43	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xc429e0…
06-22 10:43:59	Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x928cdf…
06-22 10:42:31	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x51f062…
06-22 10:41:01	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xd23a51…
05-29 15:23:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x86bf65…
04-28 18:27:26	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xb4845d…
04-28 18:26:46	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x51b475…
04-28 18:26:20	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x757bb9…
04-28 18:25:44	Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x4f9eb5…
04-28 18:24:46	Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x8c60a8…
04-28 18:24:26	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x02c2ea…
04-28 18:24:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xe14906…
04-28 18:23:40	Kash Patel out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xae5e42…
03-21 19:41:27	Will the Charlotte Hornets win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0x857e77…
03-21 19:40:23	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by May 1?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x30a4b7…
03-21 19:40:07	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7a2010…
03-21 19:36:21	Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x805150…
02-14 13:30:11	will the us not strike iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x46585f…
02-14 13:28:55	Will Hillary Clinton Testify to Congress about Epstein?	No	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x615208…
02-14 13:24:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 13:20 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x75e9c0…
02-14 13:20:43	Don Lemon charges dropped?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5edaf1…
02-14 13:14:25	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x2e356d…
01-12 02:59:22	israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	Yes	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0xca6aa3…
01-12 02:58:58	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	SELL	14	20¢	$3	0x66d9a9…
01-12 02:58:34	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0x5935ee…
01-12 02:57:36	Will the US strike Somalia next?	No	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x5a28a9…
01-05 19:33:31	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x102783…
01-05 19:32:35	israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0788c4…
01-05 19:30:47	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	BUY	14	11¢	$1	0xf72dbd…
01-05 19:29:57	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe8476b…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US strike Somalia next?	1	$15	27	0	+27	Yes	-$15	01-12 02:57
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	1	$8	13	0	+13	open	—	08-05 20:52
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$7	9	9	+0	Yes	+$3	01-12 02:58
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	07-15 12:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$5	3	3	+0	No	+$1	05-29 15:23
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	1	$5	0	5	-5	Yes	$0	07-01 11:01
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$4	14	14	+0	No	+$1	01-12 02:58
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	1	$4	7	0	+7	No	-$4	07-15 12:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	1	$4	13	0	+13	No	-$4	07-01 11:09
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	1	$4	0	4	-4	open	—	07-15 12:01
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$3	53	0	+53	No	-$3	06-22 10:46
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	04-28 18:26
trump orders federal review of ai model releases by july 31	1	$3	13	0	+13	No	-$3	07-01 11:07
Will England win on 2026-07-15?	1	$3	8	0	+8	No	-$3	07-15 12:01
israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	2	$3	3	3	+0	Yes	+$1	01-12 02:59
Don Lemon charges dropped?	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	-$2	02-14 13:20
GTA VI released before June 2026?	1	$2	0	2	-2	No	$0	01-05 19:29
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	07-01 11:01
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	1	$2	43	0	+43	No	-$2	03-21 19:41
Kash Patel out by May 31?	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	-$2	04-28 18:23
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	+$2	04-28 18:25
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	04-28 18:24
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	07-01 11:04
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	1	$1	59	0	+59	No	-$1	07-01 11:06
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	07-01 11:09
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	1	$1	22	0	+22	No	-$1	07-01 11:03
Will Hillary Clinton Testify to Congress about Epstein?	1	$1	7	0	+7	Yes	-$1	02-14 13:28
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	1	$1	7	0	+7	open	—	06-22 10:45
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by May 1?	1	$1	11	0	+11	No	-$1	03-21 19:40
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	1	$1	22	0	+22	No	-$1	06-22 10:41