Oily-Memory — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$36

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.9%

Resolved

Trades

138

lifetime

Volume

$480

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 08-21 14:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Crypto

36% 46% +$103

Other

32% 22% -$52

Politics

19% 22% -$18

Sports

14% 50% +$3

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-21).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	5	$38	43	43	+0	Yes	-$6	06-29 19:05
iran closes its airspace by june 8	2	$29	25	25	+0	Yes	-$1	06-07 20:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 14:05 UTC	4	$23	17	17	+1	Up	+$10	04-24 14:10
Lakers vs. Rockets	2	$22	18	17	+0	Lakers	+$13	04-25 03:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 13:55 UTC	4	$21	15	15	+1	Up	+$8	04-24 14:00
iran closes its airspace by june 15	2	$20	24	24	+0	Yes	+$10	06-07 20:14
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	05-24 18:00
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	2	$13	17	17	+0	No	-$7	06-08 12:03
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	3	$12	155	0	+155	No	-$12	06-11 15:29
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	2	$12	12	12	+0	Spurs	+$6	04-26 21:06
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	1	$10	23	0	+23	Spurs	-$10	04-24 14:53
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?	1	$10	20	0	+20	Yes	+$10	05-24 15:42
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	1	$10	14	0	+14	No	-$10	06-29 14:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 17?	1	$10	17	0	+17	Yes	+$7	05-16 07:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$10	26	0	+26	Up	-$10	05-24 15:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	05-16 07:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	3	$10	7	7	+0	Up	+$4	04-26 20:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 03:35 UTC	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	04-24 03:40
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$7	20	20	+0	No	+$1	07-12 08:45
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?	2	$6	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	06-20 04:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?	1	$6	21	0	+21	Yes	-$6	05-01 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	05-01 16:22
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$5	119	0	+119	No	-$5	05-16 07:19
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 22	1	$5	119	0	+119	Yes	+$114	04-21 22:11
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	2	$5	142	0	+142	No	-$5	07-08 18:00
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	1	$5	10	0	+10	No	-$5	06-24 03:40
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$5	132	0	+132	No	-$5	05-16 07:19
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" at The Villages on May 1?	1	$5	98	0	+98	No	-$5	05-01 19:19
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-25?	1	$5	56	0	+56	No	-$5	04-25 16:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 17?	1	$5	16	0	+16	No	-$5	05-16 07:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-21 14:35:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	No	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x936fbe…
08-21 14:35:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	No	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xf6ce2b…
08-15 10:31:15	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xbc32fc…
07-12 08:48:52	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x2cd302…
07-12 08:48:49	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xd8ff2a…
07-12 08:48:40	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x2f2c0e…
07-12 08:48:32	mlb atl cws 2026 06 11	Atlanta Braves	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x25b11b…
07-12 08:45:38	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x7eac1a…
07-08 18:00:56	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	56	4¢	$2	0x8e99d7…
07-08 18:00:17	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	86	3¢	$3	0x7d2e95…
06-29 19:05:11	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x205fa7…
06-29 18:45:34	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x5aec16…
06-29 18:45:11	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	SELL	36	24¢	$9	0x99e592…
06-29 14:58:14	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xa429e1…
06-29 14:57:28	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xffe8c1…
06-29 14:55:35	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x3f85b0…
06-29 14:54:37	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x7418f7…
06-26 14:28:17	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x856ff1…
06-26 14:27:17	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	65	3¢	$2	0x8f4881…
06-24 05:30:04	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	4¢	$3	0x565832…
06-24 03:40:16	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x681d2f…
06-24 03:34:38	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd6e996…
06-24 03:34:25	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x258f3d…
06-20 16:23:37	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 spread home 3pt5	Germany	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xe28f12…
06-20 16:21:02	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x0c185d…
06-20 16:17:53	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 spread home 1pt5	Côte d'Ivoire	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x5d707e…
06-20 16:14:53	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 spread home 1pt5	Sweden	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x261bbd…
06-20 14:16:10	atp nakashi cerundo 2026 06 20	Francisco Cerundolo	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc944dc…
06-20 14:14:26	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa36770…
06-20 14:14:22	Will Londrina EC vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x394140…
06-20 14:10:44	Uruguay leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xb6ca3c…
06-20 14:09:37	cs2 aur1 furia 2026 06 20	FURIA	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x1e0bc2…
06-20 14:08:20	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xa8704a…
06-20 14:08:14	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x254f6b…
06-20 08:31:43	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x4d343a…
06-20 08:26:17	cs2 ts7 fal2 2026 06 20	Team Falcons	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc5e187…
06-20 08:24:59	mlb atl cws 2026 06 11	Atlanta Braves	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x3b6a76…
06-20 07:57:56	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8af024…
06-20 07:57:53	Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x8ad837…
06-20 04:42:34	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x0bcfc3…
06-20 04:17:28	Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x0f2ae5…
06-20 04:17:22	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe55fca…
06-20 03:33:58	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xf3f6f1…
06-11 18:17:07	bitcoin above 70k on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x328acc…
06-11 18:14:45	bitcoin above 66k on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xb21c77…
06-11 15:29:18	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	101	7¢	$7	0x165e44…
06-11 15:27:15	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x237618…
06-08 12:03:42	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	17	17¢	$3	0x0ba226…
06-07 20:14:39	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	25	56¢	$14	0x783b0a…
06-07 20:14:15	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	24	63¢	$15	0xfe4d2f…
06-07 19:44:07	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0xf90251…
06-07 19:42:19	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xcc11a2…
05-28 17:57:02	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xa959c6…
05-24 18:00:24	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3e43e2…
05-24 15:43:52	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x52c6dd…
05-24 15:42:27	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xcfc847…
05-24 15:42:02	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x1dfc30…
05-24 15:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xe1c237…
05-24 15:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xa00f52…
05-23 08:26:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0x8e6a8e…
05-16 07:26:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xcc94c2…
05-16 07:25:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xbd7c53…
05-16 07:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x92c60d…
05-16 07:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x1cde34…
05-16 07:19:41	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	132	4¢	$5	0x57dfef…
05-16 07:19:25	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	119	4¢	$5	0x4c2285…
05-11 05:19:05	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa44616…
05-11 05:18:56	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x04f080…
05-09 11:42:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xdfd619…
05-09 11:31:16	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa9e72a…
05-09 11:30:59	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1c0e10…
05-09 11:30:48	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xf0ca9c…
05-09 11:23:54	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	118	1¢	$1	0x643348…
05-09 11:23:43	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	173	1¢	$1	0xa5a60e…
05-09 11:23:36	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C or below on May 10?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x417e02…
05-09 11:16:12	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3f78c7…
05-09 11:16:01	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	124	1¢	$1	0xe5a02b…
05-09 11:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	231	0¢	$1	0x8570ea…
05-09 11:15:00	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C or below on May 10?	Yes	BUY	259	0¢	$1	0xa50bb7…
05-03 18:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x6717a7…
05-02 11:10:20	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x62565a…
05-01 19:25:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0x746355…
05-01 19:19:24	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	98	5¢	$5	0x745c51…
05-01 16:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xc2aec2…
05-01 16:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x604589…
05-01 16:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0xfdfd7a…
05-01 16:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7e73cd…
05-01 16:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x469a70…
05-01 16:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xceb815…
05-01 05:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x516a85…
05-01 05:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x920ea8…
05-01 05:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x69359d…
05-01 05:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x339785…
05-01 05:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1ae7cc…
05-01 05:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x825d1d…
05-01 05:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0710b9…
05-01 05:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x412ac0…
05-01 05:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5a11ba…
05-01 05:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x20c328…
05-01 05:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2c050b…