Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 17?
open
Total volume
$1,789
$778 in 24h
Trades
133
Unique wallets
48
Liquidity
$15,314
Latest YES mid
33¢
Latest NO mid
67¢
End date
2026-05-17
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-17 05:22
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $79 | $212 | $132 |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $41 | $222 | $180 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 35 | $362 | $94 | +$268 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $1 | $103 | $102 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $50 | $122 | $72 |
| Median | 9 | $7 | $63 | $56 |
| Below median | 8 | $3 | $17 | $14 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $5 | $5 | $0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $216 | $12 | +$204 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $88 | $197 | $109 |
| unranked | 9 | $113 | $9 | +$104 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Testy-Connection 0x726f…d8e7 | Yes | +405 | $166 | $166 | 3 | 05-16 16:41 |
| Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | No | +245 | $156 | $156 | 4 | 05-16 07:16 |
| Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | No | +202 | $122 | $122 | 3 | 05-17 02:33 |
| Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | +154 | $79 | $79 | 4 | 05-17 02:17 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +64 | $43 | $43 | 8 | 05-17 00:57 |
| Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00 | No | +40 | $34 | $34 | 2 | 05-15 22:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x00c8…9ccd | Yes | +36 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-17 00:29 |
| Weepy-Swordfish 0x77fa…a23d | Yes | +34 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 21:10 |
| Whimsical-Semantics 0x6c89…e8e6 | No | +29 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-16 04:39 |
| Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | No | +20 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 05-16 23:43 |
| Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | +17 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-14 14:51 |
| Parallel-Steppingstone 0x6189…d6eb | No | +15 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-16 00:00 |
| Alert-Resolve 0x7b36…8cb5 | No | +14 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-17 01:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x5240…0b4b | Yes | +13 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 20:52 |
| Burly-Puppy 0xe07f…a1d2 | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-16 06:31 |
| Imperturbable-Orchid 0x8113…288b | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-14 17:34 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-15 13:36 |
| Unhappy-Band 0x7fca…ac29 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 06:46 |
| Flickering-Champagne 0xf63a…eec2 | Yes | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-17 00:57 |
| Robust-Marten 0xd313…3823 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 11:30 |
| Studious-Transmission 0x1184…a836 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 10:40 |
| Unnatural-Ethnicity 0x34f6…e6c5 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-17 01:48 |
| Obedient-Fragrance 0x24ea…8665 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 13:46 |
| Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 14:36 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 16:47 |
| Fine-Flanker 0x0e7f…2015 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 13:32 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 13:31 |
| Livid-Television 0xc5da…5f86 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-16 21:47 |
| Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 15:54 |
| Best-Elver 0x39d4…f1f5 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-17 02:17 |
| Profuse-Mycoplasma 0x3c37…e209 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 06:09 |
| Best-Elver 0x39d4…f1f5 | No | +4 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-16 07:16 |
| Right-Buffer-Strobe 0xd995…e6e1 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-17 05:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xf7c6…82b6 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-16 07:16 |
| Menacing-Rhinoceros 0xd67b…bdb5 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 19:52 |
| Lined-Tutu 0xe5c7…4b1c | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 17:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x03d6…6e31 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 09:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a52…629a | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 05:24 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-17 05:22:53 | Right-Buffer-Strobe 0xd995…e6e1 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 35¢ | $1 | 0xca7952… |
| 05-17 04:42:47 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | BUY | 20 | 36¢ | $7 | 0x2ec320… |
| 05-17 04:37:28 | (anonymous) 0xf7c6…82b6 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 37¢ | $1 | 0xf7f158… |
| 05-17 04:29:27 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | BUY | 12 | 41¢ | $5 | 0x913099… |
| 05-17 04:29:27 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | SELL | 3 | 59¢ | $2 | 0xb6c910… |
| 05-17 04:24:05 | Skinny-Spark 0xe9d1…4c84 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x5e947a… |
| 05-17 04:24:03 | Skinny-Spark 0xe9d1…4c84 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x8f03e9… |
| 05-17 03:02:22 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | SELL | 3 | 52¢ | $2 | 0xf7d286… |
| 05-17 02:33:52 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | No | BUY | 40 | 46¢ | $18 | 0x76d4ba… |
| 05-17 02:17:30 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 53¢ | $53 | 0x41d6fd… |
| 05-17 02:17:30 | Best-Elver 0x39d4…f1f5 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 54¢ | $1 | 0x0e6f05… |
| 05-17 01:58:52 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | BUY | 14 | 57¢ | $8 | 0x494744… |
| 05-17 01:48:34 | Unnatural-Ethnicity 0x34f6…e6c5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0x5e939f… |
| 05-17 01:48:27 | Alert-Resolve 0x7b36…8cb5 | No | BUY | 14 | 45¢ | $6 | 0xcac881… |
| 05-17 01:43:30 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | SELL | 4 | 60¢ | $2 | 0xb0fc39… |
| 05-17 01:43:30 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | SELL | 2 | 60¢ | $1 | 0xfba1ad… |
| 05-17 01:43:28 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | SELL | 2 | 60¢ | $1 | 0x0316e5… |
| 05-17 01:43:28 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0xa6c7ad… |
| 05-17 01:43:02 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | SELL | 2 | 60¢ | $1 | 0xb7602e… |
| 05-17 01:43:02 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | SELL | 2 | 60¢ | $1 | 0x8a8278… |
| 05-17 01:09:43 | Bewitched-Mandolin 0x85e0…3a93 | Yes | BUY | 107 | 47¢ | $50 | 0x913cc9… |
| 05-17 01:03:01 | Slimy-Coin 0x2b73…174e | Yes | SELL | 4 | 55¢ | $2 | 0x891366… |
| 05-17 01:00:46 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | SELL | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0xb4a669… |
| 05-17 01:00:46 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | SELL | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x33ea3b… |
| 05-17 00:59:48 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | SELL | 10 | 54¢ | $5 | 0x799ff5… |
| 05-17 00:59:48 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x7aa006… |
| 05-17 00:59:48 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | BUY | 3 | 46¢ | $1 | 0xa98b0d… |
| 05-17 00:59:46 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | SELL | 2 | 54¢ | $1 | 0x649019… |
| 05-17 00:58:01 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | No | SELL | 134 | 50¢ | $68 | 0x041a05… |
| 05-17 00:57:58 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 22 | 51¢ | $11 | 0x4211e8… |
| 05-17 00:57:58 | Super-Something 0x4709…f6c2 | No | SELL | 7 | 52¢ | $4 | 0xdb8a00… |
| 05-17 00:57:53 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | BUY | 30 | 46¢ | $14 | 0xb3fbe6… |
| 05-17 00:57:49 | Flickering-Champagne 0xf63a…eec2 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 45¢ | $3 | 0x9d4f65… |
| 05-17 00:57:49 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | BUY | 10 | 45¢ | $5 | 0x3283cc… |
| 05-17 00:43:04 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | BUY | 3 | 40¢ | $1 | 0x0afe0e… |
| 05-17 00:29:51 | (anonymous) 0x00c8…9ccd | Yes | BUY | 36 | 42¢ | $15 | 0xd90a44… |
| 05-17 00:21:43 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x4c7a31… |
| 05-17 00:21:43 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | SELL | 2 | 60¢ | $1 | 0xbc3340… |
| 05-17 00:04:27 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | No | BUY | 15 | 62¢ | $9 | 0x0668b9… |
| 05-16 23:43:00 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | No | BUY | 8 | 64¢ | $5 | 0x37ae21… |
| 05-16 23:38:01 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | No | BUY | 8 | 64¢ | $5 | 0x28ffef… |
| 05-16 23:17:59 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 10 | 62¢ | $6 | 0xd41e64… |
| 05-16 22:56:15 | Everlasting-Squeegee 0xb5ff…3fcd | No | SELL | 375 | 61¢ | $230 | 0xa09c99… |
| 05-16 21:47:41 | Livid-Television 0xc5da…5f86 | No | BUY | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0xd11ea3… |
| 05-16 20:52:28 | (anonymous) 0x5240…0b4b | Yes | BUY | 13 | 37¢ | $5 | 0x378ac0… |
| 05-16 20:42:17 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | No | BUY | 5 | 63¢ | $3 | 0x6c3191… |
| 05-16 19:52:20 | Menacing-Rhinoceros 0xd67b…bdb5 | No | BUY | 3 | 66¢ | $2 | 0x1fee25… |
| 05-16 19:47:05 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 6 | 65¢ | $4 | 0xe2265e… |
| 05-16 16:49:34 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | No | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0xf5a7ca… |
| 05-16 16:41:56 | Testy-Connection 0x726f…d8e7 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 39¢ | $78 | 0xc958a9… |
| 05-16 16:16:24 | Testy-Connection 0x726f…d8e7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x4fd952… |
| 05-16 15:26:35 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | No | BUY | 132 | 59¢ | $78 | 0xf1da60… |
| 05-16 15:02:49 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | SELL | 2 | 40¢ | $1 | 0xaff529… |
| 05-16 14:36:13 | Worried-Boxer 0xde93…9e8c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 41¢ | $4 | 0xe6cdac… |
| 05-16 14:35:00 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | SELL | 7 | 45¢ | $3 | 0x998cdb… |
| 05-16 14:34:58 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | SELL | 13 | 45¢ | $6 | 0xd5a69f… |
| 05-16 14:22:20 | Jaded-Manhunt-Stem 0xc8fd…3e24 | Yes | SELL | 211 | 47¢ | $98 | 0xc1574a… |
| 05-16 14:22:18 | Best-Elver 0x39d4…f1f5 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 48¢ | $1 | 0x8ca96d… |
| 05-16 14:11:15 | Jaded-Manhunt-Stem 0xc8fd…3e24 | Yes | BUY | 211 | 47¢ | $100 | 0x2aacc5… |
| 05-16 13:01:01 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | SELL | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x8c56cb… |
| 05-16 13:00:59 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | SELL | 17 | 55¢ | $9 | 0x5d1688… |
| 05-16 13:00:59 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | SELL | 25 | 55¢ | $14 | 0xf957cc… |
| 05-16 13:00:58 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | SELL | 25 | 56¢ | $14 | 0x4604f7… |
| 05-16 12:31:13 | Worried-Boxer 0xde93…9e8c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 42¢ | $4 | 0x634f1c… |
| 05-16 12:26:29 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | SELL | 8 | 45¢ | $4 | 0x4f8aa0… |
| 05-16 11:00:49 | Worried-Boxer 0xde93…9e8c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 41¢ | $4 | 0x7284c0… |
| 05-16 10:40:31 | Studious-Transmission 0x1184…a836 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0x7ebdf5… |
| 05-16 10:40:30 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | SELL | 85 | 46¢ | $39 | 0x0b90e7… |
| 05-16 10:31:32 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | BUY | 50 | 49¢ | $24 | 0x4861b8… |
| 05-16 10:16:36 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | SELL | 15 | 45¢ | $7 | 0x573b0b… |
| 05-16 10:15:28 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | SELL | 141 | 45¢ | $64 | 0x823a4f… |
| 05-16 09:55:28 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | SELL | 20 | 40¢ | $8 | 0x59a4d6… |
| 05-16 09:51:37 | (anonymous) 0x03d6…6e31 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 42¢ | $1 | 0xff3080… |
| 05-16 09:51:23 | Worried-Boxer 0xde93…9e8c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 42¢ | $4 | 0x93d9a0… |
| 05-16 09:31:40 | Tall-Heating 0x1f00…e8db | Yes | SELL | 15 | 41¢ | $6 | 0x620201… |
| 05-16 09:20:28 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | SELL | 10 | 45¢ | $5 | 0xebd50d… |
| 05-16 09:18:16 | Testy-Connection 0x726f…d8e7 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 43¢ | $86 | 0x512b51… |
| 05-16 07:16:28 | (anonymous) 0xf7c6…82b6 | No | BUY | 2 | 60¢ | $1 | 0xd32289… |
| 05-16 07:16:28 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | No | BUY | 100 | 60¢ | $60 | 0x364748… |
| 05-16 07:16:28 | Best-Elver 0x39d4…f1f5 | No | BUY | 2 | 60¢ | $1 | 0x323bd0… |
| 05-16 07:16:27 | (anonymous) 0xf7c6…82b6 | No | BUY | 2 | 60¢ | $1 | 0xf7a3ee… |
| 05-16 07:16:25 | Best-Elver 0x39d4…f1f5 | No | BUY | 2 | 60¢ | $1 | 0x05c4c5… |
| 05-16 07:16:25 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | No | BUY | 100 | 59¢ | $59 | 0x240d7c… |
| 05-16 06:49:52 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xe52c1a… |
| 05-16 06:46:15 | Unhappy-Band 0x7fca…ac29 | No | BUY | 7 | 78¢ | $5 | 0x7cfd4c… |
| 05-16 06:31:19 | Bewitched-Mandolin 0x85e0…3a93 | Yes | SELL | 541 | 19¢ | $102 | 0x0b3dbb… |
| 05-16 06:31:12 | Burly-Puppy 0xe07f…a1d2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x63e8bc… |
| 05-16 04:39:12 | Whimsical-Semantics 0x6c89…e8e6 | No | BUY | 29 | 86¢ | $25 | 0xd25941… |
| 05-16 01:30:46 | Burly-Puppy 0xe07f…a1d2 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x26c93b… |
| 05-16 00:00:40 | Parallel-Steppingstone 0x6189…d6eb | No | BUY | 15 | 87¢ | $13 | 0x7f6c13… |
| 05-15 22:43:57 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0xda4741… |
| 05-15 22:43:57 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0x42dedd… |
| 05-15 22:43:56 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | BUY | 3 | 86¢ | $3 | 0x601dcb… |
| 05-15 22:43:56 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | SELL | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x24ba01… |
| 05-15 22:43:56 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | SELL | 9 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x98a3d7… |
| 05-15 22:43:49 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | SELL | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x4f353b… |
| 05-15 22:38:44 | Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00 | No | BUY | 13 | 86¢ | $12 | 0x5aa181… |
| 05-15 21:50:40 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | SELL | 32 | 86¢ | $28 | 0x38edfa… |
| 05-15 21:13:43 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | No | BUY | 31 | 85¢ | $26 | 0xf7a418… |
| 05-15 21:13:43 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | No | BUY | 33 | 86¢ | $28 | 0x10c997… |