Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 10?
open
Total volume
$3,451
$5,084 in 24h
Trades
30
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$2,501
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-10 00:57
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $3.3K | $3.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $8 | $161 | $153 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $47 | $47 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $5 | $10 | $5 |
| Median | 4 | — | $20 | $20 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $20 | $20 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $94 | $94 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $1 | $3.2K | $3.2K |
| unranked | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | +3,316 | $3,250 | $3,250 | 7 | 05-08 08:40 |
| Bold-Draft 0xa276…3584 | Yes | +195 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 20:49 |
| Fumbling-Affect 0xec25…dec6 | No | +90 | $89 | $89 | 1 | 05-10 00:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x0287…5cc5 | Yes | +80 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 12:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x258b…db84 | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 12:13 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-09 18:31 |
| Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | No | +19 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 05-09 10:45 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-09 18:31 |
| Pristine-Soul 0x5edc…bbad | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-09 18:37 |
| Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-09 21:09 |
| Fruitful-Tweet 0x3074…106a | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 10:34 |
| Plastic-Orchard 0x26c1…98fd | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 20:44 |
| Absolute-Snake 0x3c68…daa6 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 14:28 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 00:57:51 | Fumbling-Affect 0xec25…dec6 | No | BUY | 90 | 99¢ | $89 | 0xa858d5… |
| 05-09 21:09:27 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xc06fdd… |
| 05-09 21:09:27 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x34a276… |
| 05-09 21:09:27 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd7239c… |
| 05-09 20:49:52 | Bold-Draft 0xa276…3584 | Yes | BUY | 195 | 3¢ | $5 | 0x29fc97… |
| 05-09 20:44:29 | Plastic-Orchard 0x26c1…98fd | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x4dc45b… |
| 05-09 18:37:06 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x24701b… |
| 05-09 18:37:06 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9c237f… |
| 05-09 18:37:06 | Pristine-Soul 0x5edc…bbad | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x4dc6ab… |
| 05-09 18:31:55 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4aef0d… |
| 05-09 18:31:55 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xb37ebd… |
| 05-09 18:31:55 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8214a1… |
| 05-09 18:31:53 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 18 | 99¢ | $18 | 0x39830a… |
| 05-09 18:31:53 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xec4996… |
| 05-09 14:28:54 | Absolute-Snake 0x3c68…daa6 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x3c33fe… |
| 05-09 12:13:50 | (anonymous) 0x0287…5cc5 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x0b0bf4… |
| 05-09 12:13:48 | (anonymous) 0x258b…db84 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xc51434… |
| 05-09 10:45:13 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x75c5ed… |
| 05-09 10:45:10 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xa0c21c… |
| 05-09 10:45:03 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2719f7… |
| 05-08 10:34:27 | Fruitful-Tweet 0x3074…106a | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xd5479f… |
| 05-08 08:40:23 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 111 | 98¢ | $109 | 0x1fbc96… |
| 05-08 08:40:16 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 900 | 98¢ | $882 | 0x95e292… |
| 05-08 08:40:11 | Impractical-Fund 0xd393…0744 | Yes | SELL | 95 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x417999… |
| 05-08 08:40:09 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 600 | 98¢ | $588 | 0x4b85d8… |
| 05-08 08:39:53 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 600 | 98¢ | $588 | 0xa91448… |
| 05-08 08:39:43 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 500 | 98¢ | $490 | 0x7ce683… |
| 05-08 08:39:34 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 500 | 98¢ | $490 | 0xd9cc1c… |
| 05-08 08:39:32 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x22c211… |
| 05-08 08:39:30 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 105 | 98¢ | $103 | 0x71d476… |