Trusting-Tensor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

23.4%

Resolved

Trades

135

lifetime

Volume

$809

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$42

6 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 07-04 10:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

74% 33% $-0

Politics

21% — —

Sports

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	No	+11	$10	96¢	$10	+$0	05-31 16:48
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	+11	$10	96¢	$10	+$0	06-06 15:58
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	+10	$10	100¢	$10	+$0	07-01 15:37
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	+5	$5	95¢	$5	+$0	06-07 01:51
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	+5	$5	92¢	$5	+$0	06-27 14:59
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	+11	$2	12¢	$1	$-0	06-24 00:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	17	$173	89	89	+0	open	—	04-24 21:00
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	7	$90	48	48	+0	open	—	04-25 06:00
Córdoba CF vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 3.5	15	$65	80	79	+1	open	—	05-15 20:53
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	10	$57	29	29	+0	No	$-0	04-24 10:00
FC Cajamarca vs. CS Cristal: O/U 3.5	9	$37	31	31	+0	open	—	05-15 21:02
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner	5	$27	35	0	+35	open	—	05-15 16:57
Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$0	04-25 06:00
FC Cajamarca vs. CS Cristal: O/U 1.5	6	$22	79	0	+79	open	—	05-15 21:17
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-23 07:52
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	04-23 07:52
FC Cajamarca vs. CS Cristal: O/U 2.5	7	$19	20	20	+0	open	—	05-15 21:02
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	3	$19	13	13	+0	open	—	05-15 20:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	05-06 06:17
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	2	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	04-24 16:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$18	9	9	+0	No	$-0	04-25 06:00
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	2	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	04-23 07:52
Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	04-25 16:24
UFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Adrian Luna Martinetti (Bantamweight, Main Card)	6	$12	24	0	+24	open	—	04-25 19:32
UFC Fight Night: Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Michelle Montague (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	3	$11	13	0	+13	open	—	04-25 19:36
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	2	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-31 16:48
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	2	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	06-06 15:58
us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-26 18:14
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-22 13:36
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	07-01 15:37
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5	2	$9	8	8	+0	open	—	05-15 20:48
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-26 08:55
ufc pri che3 2026 06 06	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	06-06 16:33
Trump out as President before 2027?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-27 14:59
iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	07-03 03:24
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-07 01:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 10:27:07	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbb4624…
07-03 03:24:25	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xaf3116…
07-01 15:37:13	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x677601…
07-01 14:27:08	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3c2326…
06-27 14:59:19	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x99bc16…
06-26 18:24:41	ufc tbergg dan59 2026 06 27	Daniil Donchenko	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x9a4c07…
06-26 18:14:44	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xef0e53…
06-24 00:11:23	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0xed4145…
06-22 17:50:52	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x319798…
06-22 13:36:52	Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x7d975a…
06-07 02:09:30	Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x93becb…
06-07 01:51:57	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xefbcc8…
06-06 22:25:36	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xec760a…
06-06 16:33:33	ufc pri che3 2026 06 06	Chelsea Chandler	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xb652f3…
06-06 16:01:27	ufc ari1 ket1 2026 06 06	Ketlen Souza	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xaa6da0…
06-06 15:58:03	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5cc840…
06-06 13:56:25	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xbe5e29…
06-01 01:26:05	Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb84a60…
05-31 16:48:47	Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xdb5869…
05-31 10:05:47	Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa50220…
05-28 03:41:59	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc921cb…
05-16 06:25:49	UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Polyana Viana	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xcc5d14…
05-16 06:25:49	UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Polyana Viana	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x2e13c8…
05-15 21:17:15	FC Cajamarca vs. CS Cristal: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0xb5c369…
05-15 21:08:30	FC Cajamarca vs. CS Cristal: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x612281…
05-15 21:08:30	FC Cajamarca vs. CS Cristal: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x03e658…
05-15 21:06:27	FC Cajamarca vs. CS Cristal: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x3a6070…
05-15 21:06:20	FC Cajamarca vs. CS Cristal: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0xf1699b…
05-15 21:04:16	FC Cajamarca vs. CS Cristal: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x703378…
05-15 21:02:12	FC Cajamarca vs. CS Cristal: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0xb35f3f…
05-15 21:02:12	FC Cajamarca vs. CS Cristal: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	21	77¢	$16	0x717163…
05-15 21:02:12	FC Cajamarca vs. CS Cristal: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0x4959ec…
05-15 20:55:59	FC Cajamarca vs. CS Cristal: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x55fd0f…
05-15 20:55:55	FC Cajamarca vs. CS Cristal: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x811bf2…
05-15 20:53:48	FC Cajamarca vs. CS Cristal: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xdf8e84…
05-15 20:53:41	FC Cajamarca vs. CS Cristal: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0x765aa3…
05-15 20:53:37	FC Cajamarca vs. CS Cristal: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xb2bf39…
05-15 20:53:34	FC Cajamarca vs. CS Cristal: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x20c93d…
05-15 20:53:34	FC Cajamarca vs. CS Cristal: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x11c5d0…
05-15 20:53:32	Córdoba CF vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x49b443…
05-15 20:53:00	FC Cajamarca vs. CS Cristal: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x7f5bf8…
05-15 20:53:00	FC Cajamarca vs. CS Cristal: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x120fcf…
05-15 20:52:29	FC Cajamarca vs. CS Cristal: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x9cc5d9…
05-15 20:52:27	FC Cajamarca vs. CS Cristal: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x1887ca…
05-15 20:52:15	Córdoba CF vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	55	29¢	$16	0xf708f1…
05-15 20:52:10	Córdoba CF vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x64190d…
05-15 20:49:27	Córdoba CF vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x5e2521…
05-15 20:48:57	Córdoba CF vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0x002119…
05-15 20:48:06	Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x647420…
05-15 20:48:01	Córdoba CF vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x2150bf…
05-15 20:47:37	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Team Falcons	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xd4160d…
05-15 20:47:19	Córdoba CF vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc54e93…
05-15 20:46:48	Córdoba CF vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xf27bdc…
05-15 20:46:14	Córdoba CF vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0xcdda3d…
05-15 20:45:27	Córdoba CF vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xd7a558…
05-15 20:45:25	Córdoba CF vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	15	51¢	$8	0x09718f…
05-15 20:45:24	FC Cajamarca vs. CS Cristal: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x6d673b…
05-15 20:40:51	Córdoba CF vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x884846…
05-15 20:40:35	Córdoba CF vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2a9729…
05-15 20:39:48	Córdoba CF vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x677ee2…
05-15 20:39:46	Córdoba CF vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xb617c9…
05-15 20:38:45	FC Cajamarca vs. CS Cristal: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xbf42b2…
05-15 19:26:25	Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x41598e…
05-15 16:58:48	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x9ad92a…
05-15 16:58:13	Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xfcebe0…
05-15 16:57:59	Spread: Al Fayha Saudi Club (-2.5)	Al Fayha Saudi Club	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x9659b7…
05-15 16:57:27	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xcb8ca4…
05-15 16:57:12	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xf42510…
05-15 16:57:12	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x0abff2…
05-15 16:57:10	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xfad99a…
05-15 16:57:10	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xe408ea…
05-15 16:03:30	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x44b898…
05-15 12:55:24	Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 2 Winner	9z	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x74b5e4…
05-06 06:17:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x114aa0…
05-05 01:00:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x51fa0b…
04-26 08:55:20	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc71625…
04-25 19:36:02	UFC Fight Night: Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Michelle Montague (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Michelle Montague	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x714945…
04-25 19:32:36	UFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Adrian Luna Martinetti (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Adrian Luna Martinetti	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1910f4…
04-25 19:25:06	UFC Fight Night: Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Michelle Montague (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Michelle Montague	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xbcc8c5…
04-25 19:21:32	UFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Adrian Luna Martinetti (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Adrian Luna Martinetti	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x05e802…
04-25 19:20:08	UFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Adrian Luna Martinetti (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Adrian Luna Martinetti	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x613d32…
04-25 19:08:06	UFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Adrian Luna Martinetti (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Adrian Luna Martinetti	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd35b04…
04-25 18:49:38	UFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Adrian Luna Martinetti (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Adrian Luna Martinetti	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3184cf…
04-25 18:45:26	UFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Adrian Luna Martinetti (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Adrian Luna Martinetti	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x58aa68…
04-25 18:45:06	UFC Fight Night: Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Michelle Montague (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Michelle Montague	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x1cf7b4…
04-25 18:45:06	UFC Fight Night: Jafel Filho vs. Cody Durden (Flyweight, Prelims)	Jafel Filho	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0x10a550…
04-25 16:24:24	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x2269c3…
04-25 06:00:04	Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$11	0xc7d0ef…
04-25 06:00:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0xc60b23…
04-25 06:00:04	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x8938c9…
04-25 05:11:40	Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x2ee229…
04-25 05:03:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x124dba…
04-25 05:02:44	Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x0d5e35…
04-25 05:00:40	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x9505f8…
04-25 05:00:04	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	39	93¢	$36	0x50f3ea…
04-25 04:34:22	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x522f82…
04-25 04:33:50	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xae1e20…
04-25 04:33:50	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x666225…
04-25 04:33:50	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x29fd31…
04-24 21:00:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	28	98¢	$27	0xcdd59e…