Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$61

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

60.6%

Resolved

Trades

128

lifetime

Volume

$440

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-09-29

last 11-05 08:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Politics

62% 66% +$32

Other

38% 36% -$93

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+38	$6	12¢	$5	-$1	10-17 22:39
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	+40	$2	3¢	$1	-$1	11-03 21:58
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	Yes	+4	$1	23¢	$1	$0	11-04 00:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	1	$49	186	0	+186	Yes	-$49	09-29 17:46
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?	7	$45	30	30	+0	Yes	+$4	10-20 20:43
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 14, 2026?	2	$36	26	26	+0	Yes	+$16	10-14 05:22
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by October 31, 2026?	4	$21	3,038	0	+3,038	Yes	-$21	10-01 21:25
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?	4	$21	2,873	0	+2,873	Yes	-$21	10-01 21:25
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 18, 2026?	3	$20	28	0	+28	Yes	+$8	10-17 19:35
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	3	$19	43	43	+0	No	-$1	10-17 21:49
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 29, 2026?	3	$18	12	12	+0	Yes	+$4	10-28 23:09
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$11	7	7	+0	Yes	+$1	11-04 01:19
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 13, 2026?	2	$9	7	7	+0	Yes	+$3	10-12 19:49
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	4	$8	12	12	+0	No	-$5	10-23 14:36
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$8	8	8	+0	Yes	+$0	10-05 12:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	4	$8	44	7	+38	open	—	10-17 22:39
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026?	3	$8	121	10	+111	No	-$8	10-20 08:02
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 19, 2026?	2	$8	23	23	+0	Yes	+$2	10-18 13:06
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 28, 2026?	2	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	+$2	10-28 20:52
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?	2	$7	9	9	+0	Yes	+$1	10-18 10:00
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 12, 2026?	2	$7	6	6	+0	Yes	+$3	10-12 04:51
Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?	3	$7	38	38	+0	open	—	10-18 07:14
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 22, 2026?	1	$6	10	0	+10	Yes	+$4	10-18 18:48
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 16, 2026?	3	$6	9	4	+5	Yes	+$2	10-15 14:24
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 15, 2026?	1	$6	10	0	+10	Yes	+$4	10-12 21:05
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 23, 2026?	2	$6	10	0	+10	Yes	+$4	10-22 07:58
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 25, 2026?	4	$5	276	0	+276	No	-$5	10-28 23:11
Israel x Iran ceasefire ends before Netanyahu out?	3	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	10-28 14:00
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$1	11-04 02:56
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 19?	2	$5	4	4	+0	Yes	+$3	10-20 00:01
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 18?	2	$5	3	3	+0	Yes	+$1	10-18 18:30
Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	2	$5	3	3	+0	No	+$1	11-04 02:16
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 26, 2026?	2	$4	8	0	+8	No	-$4	10-25 23:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 08:48:48	Will Ukraine target Moscow on November 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x47a6ec…
11-05 02:22:07	Will Ukraine target Moscow on November 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xfe2d59…
11-04 02:56:42	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xdf3de5…
11-04 02:16:12	Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0xe319fc…
11-04 01:25:01	Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x4bb722…
11-04 01:24:01	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x053889…
11-04 01:19:40	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	7	97¢	$6	0xa880f1…
11-04 00:36:30	Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x832da1…
11-03 21:58:10	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xf50103…
11-03 20:28:57	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x11c645…
10-31 05:53:04	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xb5f9e3…
10-28 23:24:11	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x905a97…
10-28 23:11:20	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	267	0¢	$1	0x906ac2…
10-28 23:09:32	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$11	0xea3d02…
10-28 20:52:11	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x863094…
10-28 19:46:32	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xc3ec41…
10-28 19:05:40	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xa83817…
10-28 14:00:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire ends before Netanyahu out?	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x56f5de…
10-28 13:14:20	Israel x Iran ceasefire ends before Netanyahu out?	Yes	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x4b9593…
10-28 10:50:52	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x52b2f9…
10-28 10:49:17	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xbca9b0…
10-27 12:46:00	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x52e300…
10-26 12:07:23	Israel x Iran ceasefire ends before Netanyahu out?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xe63cb2…
10-25 23:58:15	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x04e057…
10-25 19:02:59	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8b899d…
10-25 10:18:50	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x076308…
10-25 10:07:33	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x720201…
10-24 20:15:26	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x9cc8bf…
10-24 20:15:20	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb1b151…
10-24 20:15:18	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x4d41f1…
10-23 14:41:57	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x68d962…
10-23 14:41:09	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xff3a8a…
10-23 14:36:39	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0x82b081…
10-23 14:35:24	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd19b35…
10-23 14:33:47	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x60e477…
10-23 14:33:20	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x68c477…
10-23 14:31:51	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xae53ea…
10-23 09:49:38	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xdacbc7…
10-23 09:43:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x0d7d8e…
10-23 09:43:32	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x4c627a…
10-23 02:13:09	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5d9a76…
10-22 07:58:23	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc89842…
10-22 03:37:48	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0ab7e3…
10-22 03:37:41	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf83e3a…
10-21 22:37:09	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xb9fc99…
10-21 21:47:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x193a39…
10-21 17:26:56	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x8fe16b…
10-21 17:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x29bf81…
10-21 14:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0x16236e…
10-21 10:51:08	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9f577f…
10-21 10:50:26	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xedfd93…
10-21 07:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x4d8afd…
10-21 03:51:17	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb24545…
10-21 03:50:59	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x2f932d…
10-21 03:40:35	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x6a1d81…
10-20 20:43:41	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x46f45f…
10-20 08:02:34	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x207543…
10-20 08:01:23	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xbbfd55…
10-20 04:44:26	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1ec933…
10-20 04:34:29	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x5126fb…
10-20 04:33:29	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x23a6f2…
10-20 03:45:39	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x6b5b26…
10-20 00:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x07a5b7…
10-19 08:38:03	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x6aea5f…
10-18 18:48:03	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x5fa2de…
10-18 18:30:02	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xd60308…
10-18 13:34:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 18?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9139a0…
10-18 13:32:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa69412…
10-18 13:09:12	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0xe7d580…
10-18 13:06:48	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	23	20¢	$5	0x4a7cae…
10-18 10:58:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x6e6b52…
10-18 10:57:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xc06ca3…
10-18 10:53:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x286c3b…
10-18 10:39:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x8ddd7b…
10-18 10:00:59	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?	No	SELL	9	42¢	$4	0x7d624e…
10-18 07:32:33	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x0dadcb…
10-18 07:28:44	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xa5f446…
10-18 07:28:00	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0x7f6eb3…
10-18 07:27:27	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x5e800c…
10-18 07:24:15	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?	No	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xea2f42…
10-18 07:23:39	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x0ed062…
10-18 07:21:51	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x8519c0…
10-18 07:14:44	Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	10¢	$3	0x8a882b…
10-17 22:39:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x701041…
10-17 21:49:15	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	31¢	$3	0x4aeaf1…
10-17 21:19:56	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	19¢	$7	0x330918…
10-17 21:04:50	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x76abc1…
10-17 19:35:38	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	84¢	$13	0x98b556…
10-17 11:09:56	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa08152…
10-16 22:47:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	14	15¢	$2	0xaf34a2…
10-16 22:42:32	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf568df…
10-16 11:07:01	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x509e6d…
10-16 05:13:15	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x0a754e…
10-15 14:24:38	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1f7b3a…
10-14 23:53:31	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 24	No	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x493d41…
10-14 19:29:34	Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x97045f…
10-14 12:18:23	will netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by march 31 2027	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x589b6f…
10-14 05:22:23	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x8436ee…
10-13 01:28:08	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	37¢	$2	0x8d8311…
10-12 21:05:39	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xbcda36…