Free-Meridian — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$44

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

63.7%

Resolved

Trades

272

lifetime

Volume

$10.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-19

last 06-22 09:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

58% — —

Politics

32% 75% +$44

Crypto

6% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes		+30	$2	6¢	$2	$-0	06-22 09:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	14	$490	545	545	+0	open	—	04-07 07:19
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	6	$479	377	377	+0	open	—	04-13 19:38
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	6	$448	227	227	+0	open	—	04-22 13:43
will jason day win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$445	225	225	+0	open	—	04-06 04:01
will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	4	$435	226	226	+0	open	—	04-13 15:21
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	12	$385	405	405	+0	No	$-6	05-03 19:49
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	17	$377	882	882	+0	open	—	05-25 02:46
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	16	$277	759	759	+0	No	+$46	05-07 09:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	12	$269	473	473	+0	No	+$3	05-10 22:46
Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	6	$264	302	302	+0	open	—	04-20 01:47
will ethereum dip to 1800 in march 2026	4	$247	349	349	+0	open	—	03-29 03:25
Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	7	$245	230	230	+0	open	—	04-26 11:11
Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?	2	$241	123	123	+0	open	—	04-21 20:29
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	2	$240	121	121	+0	open	—	04-29 14:26
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	2	$238	120	120	+0	open	—	04-27 09:29
military action against iran ends on march 30 2026	2	$235	122	122	+0	open	—	03-25 08:50
will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$234	237	237	+0	open	—	04-12 17:42
will xrp reach 1pt8 in march 2026	2	$234	119	119	+0	open	—	03-25 19:00
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	2	$234	118	118	+0	open	—	03-28 22:44
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	5	$233	337	337	+0	open	—	04-27 21:34
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	2	$232	123	123	+0	open	—	03-23 10:32
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$222	114	114	+0	open	—	04-15 12:35
Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$219	115	115	+0	open	—	04-22 21:08
Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?	4	$219	115	115	+0	open	—	04-24 17:35
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026?	3	$219	111	111	+0	open	—	04-23 11:25
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	2	$218	110	110	+0	open	—	04-29 20:27
will polymarket mindshare hit 85 278	4	$216	115	115	+0	open	—	03-24 19:53
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	3	$213	115	115	+0	open	—	04-20 05:25
will st johns win the 2026 ncaa tournament	4	$211	108	108	+0	open	—	03-26 21:16
will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	3	$211	107	107	+0	open	—	03-23 20:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 09:26:22	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x4f7226…
05-25 02:46:41	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x9fabee…
05-18 22:25:17	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	84	96¢	$80	0x8000e7…
05-12 16:00:20	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	64	5¢	$3	0x062b01…
05-12 15:59:38	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	37	5¢	$2	0x956439…
05-12 15:59:38	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	75	5¢	$4	0x6291dd…
05-12 15:59:38	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	74	5¢	$4	0x454e44…
05-12 15:59:38	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	29	5¢	$2	0x3f7493…
05-12 15:59:38	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0x11f161…
05-12 12:02:13	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	291	5¢	$16	0x39af34…
05-12 03:15:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	278	3¢	$7	0x1a980d…
05-11 23:11:31	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	3¢	$2	0xdce033…
05-11 23:11:31	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	127	3¢	$4	0x882846…
05-11 23:11:31	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	63	3¢	$2	0x2277ac…
05-11 23:11:31	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	3¢	$3	0x02c0c4…
05-11 20:44:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	4¢	$12	0xf98030…
05-11 17:09:49	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	122	6¢	$7	0x864b3a…
05-11 17:09:49	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	56	6¢	$3	0x3fb3ad…
05-11 17:09:49	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	147	6¢	$9	0x218aba…
05-11 17:09:49	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	110	6¢	$6	0x00dcf2…
05-11 12:57:19	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	435	6¢	$28	0x379942…
05-11 07:40:39	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	89	94¢	$83	0xb70c21…
05-11 07:40:39	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	67	94¢	$63	0x10f92d…
05-11 02:09:11	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	148	94¢	$138	0x2ea9cd…
05-11 02:09:11	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0x13ff9d…
05-10 22:46:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	124	99¢	$123	0x64a9a4…
05-10 19:37:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	96	97¢	$93	0x8d6898…
05-10 19:37:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x5edaf9…
05-10 17:15:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0xffeed0…
05-10 17:14:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0x2f12f3…
05-10 15:21:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	104	4¢	$4	0x1430ad…
05-10 12:32:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	4¢	$4	0x9ad2d1…
05-09 16:39:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	132	3¢	$4	0x2cbaa8…
05-09 14:35:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	4¢	$3	0xd416dd…
05-09 14:35:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0x4d5d42…
05-09 10:25:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	99	3¢	$3	0x17b256…
05-09 08:04:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	3¢	$3	0x4bf66b…
05-08 23:16:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	213	1¢	$1	0x06526f…
05-08 21:07:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	213	1¢	$2	0x0840c9…
05-08 10:17:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	94	98¢	$92	0x1e7ba9…
05-08 10:17:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x5d1fb6…
05-08 09:22:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	93	4¢	$3	0x40ae9d…
05-08 09:22:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	64	4¢	$2	0x21bbcd…
05-08 09:22:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	90	4¢	$3	0x20b9c9…
05-08 09:22:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	103	4¢	$4	0x119391…
05-08 05:18:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	351	3¢	$12	0x8f5466…
05-07 09:58:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	14¢	$8	0xc96475…
05-07 09:58:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	116	14¢	$16	0x6df090…
05-07 09:58:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	118	14¢	$16	0x684da6…
05-07 09:58:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	123	14¢	$17	0x3e9ed8…
05-07 05:33:21	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	416	5¢	$20	0xcbe927…
05-06 22:18:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	6¢	$1	0xd84574…
05-06 22:18:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	169	6¢	$10	0x516620…
05-06 21:09:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	5¢	$6	0xe425cd…
05-06 21:09:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	5¢	$2	0x8ea028…
05-06 21:09:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0x782c65…
05-06 15:21:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	244	5¢	$13	0xd3fc6d…
05-06 12:46:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	244	7¢	$17	0xabaacb…
05-06 11:52:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	14¢	$2	0xbc54cd…
05-06 11:52:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	14¢	$8	0x527026…
05-06 06:33:04	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	3¢	$2	0x654ce3…
05-05 06:11:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	180	4¢	$7	0xd0f56d…
05-05 04:24:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	4¢	$2	0xb859cb…
05-05 04:24:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	4¢	$2	0x76aade…
05-05 04:24:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	4¢	$1	0x70e7e8…
05-05 04:24:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	4¢	$3	0x365584…
05-03 19:49:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	128	1¢	$2	0xef9ad4…
05-03 16:44:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	128	2¢	$2	0x52f218…
05-03 04:19:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	88	96¢	$84	0x537a77…
05-03 02:27:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xdf6c45…
05-03 02:27:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	81	96¢	$78	0x7cdb08…
05-02 00:01:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	79	6¢	$5	0xc31ac1…
05-01 18:53:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	8¢	$7	0x84608c…
05-01 13:59:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	33	89¢	$30	0xf1543a…
05-01 13:59:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	50	89¢	$45	0x97a771…
05-01 11:26:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	35	94¢	$33	0x7aa580…
05-01 11:26:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0x9e9d7d…
05-01 09:26:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x9e8337…
05-01 09:26:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	51	94¢	$48	0x7d9e8f…
05-01 09:26:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	44	94¢	$42	0x7b867c…
05-01 05:35:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	115	94¢	$108	0x043097…
04-30 16:53:54	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	101	1¢	$1	0x6a5905…
04-30 15:15:08	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	2¢	$2	0x7142e4…
04-30 12:13:52	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	SELL	95	98¢	$93	0x321d1c…
04-30 07:34:24	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xafaad4…
04-30 07:34:24	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x3e312e…
04-29 20:27:08	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	110	99¢	$109	0xf4a814…
04-29 15:53:20	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x42659d…
04-29 14:26:58	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	SELL	121	99¢	$120	0xb51d76…
04-29 12:46:12	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0x3d3dfe…
04-27 21:34:52	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	Yes	SELL	226	4¢	$9	0x39a09a…
04-27 18:57:30	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	Yes	BUY	226	4¢	$8	0xb35376…
04-27 13:37:54	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	SELL	146	2¢	$3	0x8e757a…
04-27 10:49:06	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	BUY	146	2¢	$3	0x3f397a…
04-27 09:29:02	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	120	99¢	$119	0x7cf821…
04-27 06:53:14	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0xa57490…
04-27 00:24:52	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	No	SELL	37	97¢	$36	0x87dbe2…
04-27 00:24:52	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	No	SELL	74	97¢	$72	0x25ff76…
04-26 19:21:26	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	No	BUY	111	98¢	$108	0x06f9ad…
04-26 11:11:24	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	123	98¢	$120	0x47f4ae…