Selfish-Casino — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$55

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

76.6%

Resolved

255

Trades

327

lifetime

Volume

$2.90K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$12

1 position

First seen

2026-02-02

last 07-10 14:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 78 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 96% -$19

Sports

17% 37% -$27

Other

7% 71% -$4

Politics

7% 46% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-10).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No		+14	$7	84¢	$12	+$4	06-04 20:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	12	$80	43	43	+0	No	$0	04-29 11:03
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	9	$70	51	51	+0	Yes	$0	03-13 18:21
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	8	$50	28	28	+0	No	$0	03-19 21:45
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	4	$35	29	29	+0	Yes	-$1	02-09 12:10
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	6	$32	17	17	+0	No	$0	03-19 19:40
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	4	$28	15	15	+0	No	$0	03-06 17:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	4	$24	21	21	+0	Yes	$0	02-06 15:42
Will Angers SCO win on 2026-04-25?	1	$20	21	0	+21	No	+$1	04-25 13:12
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	5	$20	13	13	+0	No	$0	03-02 22:54
GTA VI released before June 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	02-24 22:33
bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 3pm et	1	$19	19	0	+19	Down	+$0	04-21 19:50
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 11am et	1	$19	19	0	+19	Down	+$0	03-25 15:50
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 2pm et	1	$18	18	0	+18	Up	+$0	03-27 18:50
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$18	9	9	+0	No	+$0	02-24 15:06
bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 2am et	1	$18	18	0	+18	Up	+$0	04-01 06:50
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$18	9	9	+0	No	$0	02-25 09:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3AM ET	1	$18	18	0	+18	Up	+$0	05-19 07:50
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$18	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	02-06 14:59
bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 9am et	2	$18	11	11	+0	Down	-$4	04-20 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7AM ET	1	$18	18	0	+18	Up	+$0	05-16 11:51
bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 8am et	1	$18	18	0	+18	Down	+$0	04-12 12:56
bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 2pm et	1	$18	18	0	+18	Up	+$0	03-24 18:50
bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 7pm et	1	$17	17	0	+17	Up	+$0	04-21 23:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3AM ET	1	$17	17	0	+17	Down	+$0	05-20 07:51
bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 4am et	1	$17	17	0	+17	Up	+$0	04-24 08:51
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 3pm et	1	$17	17	0	+17	Down	+$0	03-23 19:54
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 1pm et	1	$17	17	0	+17	Down	+$0	03-25 17:50
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 1pm et	1	$17	17	0	+17	Up	+$0	03-23 17:51
bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 7am et	1	$16	16	0	+16	Up	+$0	04-01 11:56
bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 2pm et	1	$16	17	0	+17	Up	+$0	04-13 18:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 14:25:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xd425c1…
07-09 14:39:26	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 9?	Yes	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x3fdc4e…
07-09 14:38:35	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 9?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xb0df57…
07-09 13:53:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 9?	Yes	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0xde919d…
06-27 20:48:43	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913	No	BUY	9	61¢	$6	0x10cefb…
06-13 17:29:25	Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x326f6e…
06-13 17:24:51	Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x06431d…
06-11 03:13:15	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 total 210pt5	Under	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0x0ba2ad…
06-11 01:59:21	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 spread away 20pt5	Spurs	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x91af18…
06-11 01:01:09	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x94b71d…
06-11 00:48:07	mlb min det 2026 06 10	Detroit Tigers	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x584cd7…
06-10 03:27:19	mlb wsh sf 2026 06 09	Washington Nationals	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xf7258d…
06-10 00:40:52	Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	13	29¢	$4	0x114c26…
06-09 22:52:06	mlb bos tb 2026 06 09	Boston Red Sox	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x42a52c…
06-09 03:56:15	mlb hou laa 2026 06 08	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x13bf7e…
06-08 22:46:46	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 08 spread away 2pt5	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x112b63…
06-07 20:55:27	mlb laa lad 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	23	38¢	$9	0x7775f7…
06-06 02:38:36	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 total 217pt5	Over	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0x15f632…
06-06 00:52:51	mlb cws phi 2026 06 05	Chicago White Sox	BUY	18	18¢	$3	0xad5692…
06-05 02:43:46	mlb lad ari 2026 06 04 spread away 1pt5	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xd6a2c5…
06-05 00:55:37	mlb pit hou 2026 06 04	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	14	62¢	$9	0x8b91c7…
06-04 20:39:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	53¢	$7	0x28409b…
06-04 02:11:36	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 spread home 13pt5	Knicks	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x2f9cad…
06-03 03:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc1c33e…
06-03 01:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0x701c15…
06-03 01:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x723fe0…
06-03 01:02:05	San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	9	81¢	$8	0x6f3007…
06-01 10:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x0c4b3a…
05-31 22:44:44	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0x6fac3d…
05-31 19:08:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2b0a0a…
05-31 19:08:38	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$8	0x07f495…
05-31 19:06:22	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0xfaec65…
05-29 21:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x7de7c7…
05-29 20:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x3d87a7…
05-29 03:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$12	0xd74586…
05-28 20:18:39	Will Club Alianza Atlético win on 2026-05-28?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x8f17fc…
05-28 19:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x93dff1…
05-28 07:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0xc32d57…
05-27 11:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x219f41…
05-26 05:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x7f94e5…
05-25 02:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9bec5a…
05-21 02:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc619e2…
05-20 07:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x19daa3…
05-20 05:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2634d1…
05-20 01:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	19	23¢	$4	0x7c9e79…
05-20 01:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x19193e…
05-19 16:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x34cb9b…
05-19 11:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x24b35f…
05-19 07:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x4f4efe…
05-19 01:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x51efb2…
05-18 19:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe9ecf8…
05-18 07:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x826b99…
05-18 01:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb2dbd1…
05-17 19:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x20275a…
05-17 03:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xcf8136…
05-16 11:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xe2d051…
05-16 10:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x208cff…
05-16 09:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2920a0…
05-15 19:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xcfcc5b…
05-15 17:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4eb2e0…
05-15 12:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb88a33…
05-15 10:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb27f6c…
05-15 07:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x467ab5…
05-15 06:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdb38a0…
05-15 04:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f28fa…
05-15 01:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xeb8559…
05-14 19:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0x7e39ba…
05-14 15:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0a5918…
05-13 21:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x971141…
04-29 11:03:14	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0xc93ead…
04-29 10:44:46	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xdbb263…
04-26 11:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xeddc0b…
04-26 04:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x121064…
04-26 00:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x537dcd…
04-25 20:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe30f5d…
04-25 13:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xc86998…
04-25 13:12:52	Will Angers SCO win on 2026-04-25?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x9bd08a…
04-25 12:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xaf83d0…
04-25 05:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x88114b…
04-24 23:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x6607e3…
04-24 16:50:28	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x175f6b…
04-24 09:51:04	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x4a5914…
04-24 08:51:20	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xa97156…
04-23 09:51:36	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe8cf4c…
04-23 08:50:16	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x164416…
04-23 05:57:16	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x5dc213…
04-23 02:51:30	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5b3fe6…
04-23 00:55:58	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x963a0d…
04-22 22:51:56	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x189e76…
04-22 20:55:20	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x69579a…
04-22 18:57:32	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x0452eb…
04-22 18:05:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x57dbd5…
04-22 17:54:42	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x686988…
04-22 05:50:34	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1626b1…
04-21 23:50:32	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9c2dfd…
04-21 19:50:20	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x6261ee…
04-21 13:55:46	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0x85f9d4…
04-21 07:50:56	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xaf21d4…
04-21 03:57:26	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$12	0x8e5805…
04-21 01:56:50	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8b70ef…