Realized P&L
-$41
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
53.8%
Resolved
185
Trades
299
lifetime
Volume
$651
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$30
15 positions
First seen
2026-03-13
last 10-30 21:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 61 days
Categories
Other
67% 48% -$46
Politics
17% 88% +$4
Sports
13% 42% +$1
Crypto
2% 75% +$0
Tech
2% 50% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October? No +4 $2 100¢ $4 +$2 10-29 15:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +26 $5 12¢ $3 -$2 09-04 21:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +22 $10 15¢ $3 -$7 06-10 21:49
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +4 $3 70¢ $3 +$0 10-30 19:29
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +4 $3 70¢ $3 $0 10-30 02:46
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +3 $2 82¢ $2 +$0 10-13 14:29
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +3 $2 68¢ $2 +$0 10-26 22:33
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +3 $2 70¢ $2 +$0 10-08 17:47
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +3 $2 72¢ $2 $0 10-28 16:32
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +3 $2 70¢ $2 $0 10-28 14:49
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? Yes +45 $5 3¢ $1 -$4 09-30 16:28
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +2 $1 72¢ $1 +$0 10-23 22:20
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 68¢ $1 $0 10-05 23:17
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 06-10 21:56
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +4 $2 1¢ $0 -$2 10-05 22:17