(anonymous) 0xd1bab2…08e7e6 Create alert
4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$156
Unrealized P&L
-$57
Hit rate
87.0%
Resolved
130
Trades
597
lifetime
Volume
$17.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$2.90K
28 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-30 01:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
67% 81% -$166
Politics
21% 82% +$315
Sports
11% 100% +$6
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +709 $587 76¢ $536 -$51 10-28 18:49
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +438 $428 99¢ $434 +$7 10-28 18:50
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +271 $252 91¢ $247 -$5 10-28 22:26
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +240 $239 99¢ $239 $0 10-28 18:48
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +193 $181 94¢ $180 $0 10-26 12:14
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +154 $154 100¢ $154 $0 10-27 22:43
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +125 $118 94¢ $117 -$1 10-26 03:32
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +99 $99 100¢ $99 $0 10-28 16:52
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +97 $95 98¢ $96 +$1 10-22 02:35
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +93 $92 98¢ $91 -$1 10-27 22:53
Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +91 $91 99¢ $90 $0 10-29 02:28
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +95 $85 94¢ $90 +$5 10-29 09:49
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +74 $72 98¢ $73 +$1 10-24 00:33
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +90 $75 73¢ $65 -$10 10-28 15:48
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +62 $60 92¢ $57 -$3 10-26 02:36
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +54 $54 100¢ $54 +$0 10-28 18:37
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +57 $48 87¢ $50 +$2 10-23 15:47
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +49 $49 94¢ $47 -$2 10-27 22:43
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +35 $35 100¢ $35 $0 10-26 17:42
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +39 $30 88¢ $35 +$5 10-25 21:08
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +29 $29 100¢ $29 +$0 10-14 04:22
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +25 $24 96¢ $24 +$0 10-27 01:47
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +22 $16 80¢ $18 +$2 10-29 12:37
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +16 $15 95¢ $15 $0 10-26 01:18
Will the Edmonton Oilers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? No +9 $8 88¢ $8 $0 10-18 05:50
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? No +284 $11 2¢ $6 -$5 10-26 13:03
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? No +18 $6 32¢ $6 $0 10-28 17:24
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +5 $4 83¢ $5 +$0 10-27 05:32