(anonymous) 0xd1bab2…08e7e6 Create alert
4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$231
Unrealized P&L
-$27
Hit rate
82.9%
Resolved (7d)
70
Trades (7d)
0
597 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$17.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$3.00K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-30 01:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
67% 81% -$166
Politics
21% 82% +$315
Sports
11% 100% +$6
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +709 $587 80¢ $564 -$23 10-28 18:49
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +438 $428 99¢ $435 +$8 10-28 18:50
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +271 $252 93¢ $253 +$1 10-28 22:26
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +240 $239 99¢ $238 $0 10-28 18:48
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +193 $181 94¢ $180 $0 10-26 12:14
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +154 $154 100¢ $154 $0 10-27 22:43
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +125 $118 94¢ $117 -$1 10-26 03:32
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +99 $99 100¢ $99 +$0 10-28 16:52
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +97 $95 99¢ $96 +$1 10-22 02:35
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +93 $92 98¢ $91 -$2 10-27 22:53
Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +91 $91 99¢ $90 $0 10-29 02:28
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +95 $85 94¢ $90 +$5 10-29 09:49
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +74 $72 98¢ $73 +$1 10-24 00:33
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +90 $75 73¢ $66 -$9 10-28 15:48
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +62 $60 94¢ $58 -$2 10-26 02:36
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +54 $54 100¢ $54 $0 10-28 18:37
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +49 $49 93¢ $46 -$2 10-27 22:43
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +57 $48 76¢ $44 -$4 10-23 15:47
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +35 $35 100¢ $35 $0 10-26 17:42
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +39 $30 86¢ $34 +$4 10-25 21:08
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +29 $29 100¢ $29 +$0 10-14 04:22
Will Taylor Rogers be the next White House Press Secretary? No +30 $29 98¢ $29 $0 10-26 16:22
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +25 $24 95¢ $24 +$0 10-27 01:47
Will Marseille win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? No +20 $20 99¢ $20 +$0 10-29 04:36
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +22 $16 86¢ $19 +$3 10-29 12:37
Will Red Bull Salzburg win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? No +19 $19 100¢ $19 $0 10-29 08:28
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +16 $15 94¢ $15 $0 10-26 01:18
Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election? No +41 $20 32¢ $13 -$8 10-27 02:35
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of November 2026? No +14 $10 89¢ $12 +$2 10-28 23:31
Will there be no Gemini Carbon release by January 3, 2027? No +9 $8 100¢ $9 +$1 10-29 16:31