(anonymous) 0xd1bab2…08e7e6 Create alert
6W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
+$174
Unrealized P&L
-$39
Hit rate
87.4%
Resolved (30d)
134
Trades (30d)
582
597 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$17.4K
$17.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$3.08K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-30 01:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Other
67% 81% -$148
Politics
21% 83% +$316
Sports
11% 100% +$6
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +709 $587 78¢ $557 -$30 10-28 18:49
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +438 $428 99¢ $435 +$7 10-28 18:50
Will Sergio De Larrea win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +303 $302 100¢ $303 +$0 10-27 04:16
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +240 $239 99¢ $238 $0 10-28 18:48
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +193 $181 92¢ $178 -$2 10-26 12:14
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +154 $154 100¢ $154 $0 10-27 22:43
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +125 $118 94¢ $117 -$1 10-26 03:32
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +99 $99 100¢ $99 +$0 10-28 16:52
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +97 $95 99¢ $96 +$1 10-22 02:35
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +95 $85 98¢ $93 +$9 10-29 09:49
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +93 $92 98¢ $91 -$2 10-27 22:53
Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +91 $91 99¢ $90 $0 10-29 02:28
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +74 $72 98¢ $73 +$1 10-24 00:33
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +90 $75 68¢ $61 -$14 10-28 15:48
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +62 $60 95¢ $59 -$1 10-26 02:36
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +54 $54 99¢ $53 $0 10-28 18:37
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +49 $49 94¢ $46 -$2 10-27 22:43
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +57 $48 63¢ $36 -$12 10-23 15:47
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +35 $35 100¢ $35 $0 10-26 17:42
Will Anthropic be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +35 $35 99¢ $35 +$0 10-29 19:32
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +39 $30 84¢ $33 +$3 10-25 21:08
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +29 $29 100¢ $29 +$0 10-14 04:22
Will Taylor Rogers be the next White House Press Secretary? No +30 $29 97¢ $29 $0 10-26 16:22
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +25 $24 96¢ $24 +$0 10-27 01:47
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 23 and November 29, 2026? No +22 $20 98¢ $22 +$2 10-29 07:28
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? No +22 $16 95¢ $21 +$5 10-29 12:37
Will Marseille win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? No +20 $20 98¢ $19 $0 10-29 04:36
Will Red Bull Salzburg win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? No +19 $19 100¢ $19 $0 10-29 08:28
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on November 17, 2026? No — +18 $17 83¢ $15 -$3 10-29 02:09
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +16 $15 94¢ $15 $0 10-26 01:18