Nervous-Recollection — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$123

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

5.5%

Resolved

146

Trades

1,499

lifetime

Volume

$1.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 05-15 18:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

48% 4% $-54

Crypto

21% 1% $-94

Politics

18% 18% +$25

Sports

9% 11% +$1

Tech

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 735 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	10	$15	110	0	+110	open	—	04-27 02:51
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Penguins vs. Flyers	10	$15	110	0	+110	open	—	04-27 02:51
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	12	$15	121	0	+121	open	—	04-27 03:43
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	9	$15	123	123	+0	open	—	05-15 05:02
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	12	$15	130	0	+130	open	—	04-27 02:51
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Anna Bondar	10	$14	70	0	+70	open	—	04-27 02:52
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	12	$14	115	0	+115	open	—	04-27 02:52
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	9	$14	97	106	-9	open	—	05-15 05:03
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	13	$13	159	0	+159	open	—	04-27 03:41
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	9	$13	124	124	+0	open	—	05-15 05:03
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	8	$13	112	112	+0	open	—	05-15 05:03
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	12	$13	72	0	+72	open	—	04-27 02:52
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 28?	11	$13	138	0	+138	open	—	04-27 03:37
Will XRP reach $1.60 in April?	11	$12	138	0	+138	open	—	04-27 03:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	11	$12	131	0	+131	open	—	04-27 03:26
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	10	$12	124	0	+124	open	—	04-27 03:00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	11	$12	198	0	+198	open	—	04-27 03:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 28?	10	$12	136	0	+136	open	—	04-27 04:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	15	$11	79	0	+79	open	—	04-27 04:04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	10	$11	141	0	+141	open	—	04-27 02:49
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	8	$11	56	0	+56	open	—	04-27 02:21
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	8	$11	75	0	+75	open	—	04-27 02:51
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	10	$11	140	0	+140	open	—	04-27 02:50
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	10	$11	180	0	+180	open	—	04-27 02:51
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 4?	10	$11	180	0	+180	open	—	04-27 02:51
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	10	$11	180	0	+180	open	—	04-27 02:50
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	11	$11	186	0	+186	open	—	04-27 03:02
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 1?	9	$11	125	0	+125	open	—	04-27 02:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	7	$10	86	86	+0	open	—	05-15 05:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	7	$10	60	0	+60	open	—	04-27 03:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 18:08:55	Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	Yes	SELL	74	0¢	$0	0x9ae6a0…
05-15 06:06:08	Joventut vs. Unicaja	Unicaja	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x9ea492…
05-15 06:05:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	87	0¢	$0	0x7f97a9…
05-15 06:05:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	0¢	$0	0xf167de…
05-15 06:05:10	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x238404…
05-15 06:04:55	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x84ebe5…
05-15 06:04:46	Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0x778013…
05-15 06:04:37	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	1¢	$0	0x84f66b…
05-15 06:04:28	Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0xd54084…
05-15 06:04:00	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	SELL	28	1¢	$0	0x3bb99c…
05-15 06:03:13	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	1¢	$0	0xc79e4a…
05-15 06:02:31	Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0xa8a289…
05-15 06:02:01	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	73	0¢	$0	0x049da1…
05-15 06:01:42	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	44	1¢	$0	0x030650…
05-15 06:01:37	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x091131…
05-15 06:00:58	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	19	3¢	$0	0x68b594…
05-15 06:00:53	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0x1d6808…
05-15 05:59:45	Will Solana reach $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0x75a861…
05-15 05:59:33	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0xb1e93e…
05-15 05:57:58	Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	42	2¢	$1	0xba13b2…
05-15 05:57:34	Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0x82fd4e…
05-15 05:57:13	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	No	SELL	38	2¢	$1	0x9f0253…
05-15 05:56:46	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	19	4¢	$1	0xd51c73…
05-15 05:56:38	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x28a963…
05-15 05:56:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0xb136c8…
05-15 05:56:25	Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0x804d1d…
05-15 05:56:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	SELL	58	2¢	$1	0x105366…
05-15 05:55:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0xad976d…
05-15 05:53:41	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0x15507f…
05-15 05:53:30	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$2	0x780a6a…
05-15 05:34:15	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	3¢	$1	0x3e08be…
05-15 05:33:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0xa1140c…
05-15 05:32:11	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Wolves	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0x0a0f2e…
05-15 05:31:33	Kash Patel out by May 31?	Yes	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0x8a5b7e…
05-15 05:25:39	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	Yes	SELL	45	3¢	$1	0x30c95b…
05-15 05:24:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	78	2¢	$1	0xe07d9b…
05-15 05:24:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0x7bc243…
05-15 05:24:43	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	44	3¢	$1	0xf14f32…
05-15 05:24:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	57	3¢	$1	0x12a8e2…
05-15 05:24:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	25	6¢	$2	0x033f54…
05-15 05:23:54	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x698a49…
05-15 05:23:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	SELL	42	4¢	$2	0x27dc90…
05-15 05:22:42	Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	13	14¢	$2	0x043bfd…
05-15 05:21:53	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	5¢	$2	0x3ee34c…
05-15 05:21:41	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	28	7¢	$2	0xc7c782…
05-15 05:21:34	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?	Yes	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0x0af20b…
05-15 05:21:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	44	5¢	$2	0x627161…
05-15 05:20:57	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	SELL	96	2¢	$2	0xe52566…
05-15 05:08:06	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	5¢	$3	0xca5854…
05-15 05:07:45	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x4c9582…
05-15 05:05:58	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	58	5¢	$3	0xbad279…
05-15 05:05:44	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	SELL	32	11¢	$3	0x59c3c4…
05-15 05:05:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	86	4¢	$3	0x32a45b…
05-15 05:04:27	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	66	6¢	$4	0x394e8f…
05-15 05:03:52	Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	15	30¢	$4	0x1eeb32…
05-15 05:03:45	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	124	4¢	$5	0x8edbbc…
05-15 05:03:38	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	112	4¢	$5	0xa78e12…
05-15 05:03:22	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	SELL	106	4¢	$5	0xa81865…
05-15 05:03:13	Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?	Yes	SELL	49	10¢	$5	0x461f53…
05-15 05:03:05	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	No	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0xf9edc4…
05-15 05:02:44	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	123	5¢	$6	0xd549b0…
05-10 11:37:51	Monaco vs. Paris Basketball	Monaco	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0xc386b1…
05-10 08:18:04	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xc2b821…
05-10 08:08:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xe91c5c…
05-10 07:53:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 11?	No	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x09eca7…
05-10 07:18:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xed2c1e…
05-10 07:09:57	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexandra Eala vs Elena Rybakina	Alexandra Eala	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x1d03ba…
05-10 06:55:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0xeb59d6…
05-10 06:54:51	Valencia vs. Saski Baskonia	Valencia	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x8aa7bc…
05-10 06:54:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0x3faa08…
05-10 00:36:56	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x33dc07…
05-10 00:24:39	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xbd2ee4…
05-10 00:13:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xdc2cfa…
05-10 00:11:39	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x9d59db…
05-10 00:07:16	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0xf906a4…
05-10 00:01:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x37e4fb…
05-09 23:44:26	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x523211…
05-09 23:44:21	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x638416…
05-09 23:31:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xcd4899…
05-09 23:28:06	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x0970fe…
05-09 23:27:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x729a4d…
05-09 23:27:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x0764b3…
05-09 23:26:18	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xa2635d…
05-09 23:25:11	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$1	0x244984…
05-09 23:21:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0xa58e53…
05-09 23:21:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 11?	No	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0x463350…
05-09 23:20:56	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexandra Eala vs Elena Rybakina	Alexandra Eala	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x5f3d1a…
05-09 23:20:49	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x1a4e85…
05-09 23:20:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x70cfd3…
05-09 23:20:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0x0292dc…
05-09 23:20:22	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0xbbc14f…
05-09 23:20:21	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0xbcaac5…
05-09 23:20:19	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x58e51a…
05-09 23:20:15	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0x196303…
05-09 23:20:10	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x3f66b1…
05-09 23:20:08	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0x876f46…
05-09 23:19:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x0a0cc6…
05-09 23:19:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0xcb8aff…
05-09 23:19:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0x17083b…
05-09 03:47:42	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x6b6089…