Cumbersome-Yang — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$137

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

44.5%

Resolved

Trades

101

lifetime

Volume

$4.66K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

$98

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-04 14:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Other

62% 32% +$157

Politics

20% 0% -$23

Crypto

17% 100% +$5

Tech

0% 0% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-04).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		+100	$93	98¢	$98	+$5	05-20 06:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nvda up or down on march 5 2026	8	$495	441	441	+0	Up	-$1	03-05 18:26
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	3	$351	200	200	+0	No	-$21	04-09 15:29
bkcba zhe2 lia 2026 04 03	2	$323	505	0	+505	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	+$182	04-02 14:28
dota2 valino ill 2026 02 09	1	$295	500	0	+500	Ilbirs eSports	-$295	02-09 06:31
lol ff1 g2nord 2026 03 23	1	$237	370	0	+370	French Flair	+$133	03-18 12:51
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	2	$202	1,200	0	+1,200	Yes	-$2	06-04 13:50
will bitcoin reach 120k in january 2026	1	$198	200	0	+200	No	+$2	01-03 13:44
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	5	$190	308	8	+300	Yes	+$120	03-27 17:41
lol hmble cg 2026 02 28	1	$190	240	0	+240	HMBLE	+$50	03-05 18:29
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	1	$189	190	0	+190	No	+$1	02-09 07:09
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	1	$174	0	180	-180	No	-$6	06-04 13:18
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	1	$149	150	0	+150	No	+$1	01-03 13:44
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	1	$149	150	0	+150	No	+$1	04-02 14:27
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$126	200	200	+0	Yes	-$2	04-09 15:31
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$124	200	200	+0	No	+$0	04-09 15:11
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	1	$120	120	0	+120	No	+$0	01-03 13:44
Will Al Lawson win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	5	$113	72	72	+0	open	—	06-04 14:02
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$100	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	04-09 15:16
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$99	0	100	-100	No	-$1	06-04 13:07
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$93	100	0	+100	open	—	05-20 06:00
Xi Jinping out by June 30?	1	$89	90	0	+90	No	+$1	05-20 07:42
msft up or down on april 9 2026	2	$87	50	50	+0	Down	-$4	04-09 16:14
qqq up or down on april 9 2026	3	$84	50	50	+0	Up	+$0	04-09 15:27
abnb up or down on april 9 2026	2	$83	50	50	+0	Down	-$12	04-09 16:12
googl up or down on april 9 2026	2	$79	50	50	+0	Up	-$7	04-09 15:20
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	4	$70	60	60	+0	open	—	06-04 13:43
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	2	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	05-20 07:40
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	2	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	05-20 07:40
will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	2	$30	50	50	+0	Yes	$0	04-09 15:29
xagusd up or down on april 9 2026	2	$28	15	15	+0	Up	-$1	04-09 15:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 14:02:48	Will Al Lawson win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	No	SELL	72	78¢	$56	0xe0da7c…
06-04 13:50:52	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xddd642…
06-04 13:50:43	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xda57fd…
06-04 13:43:34	Will Rossella Fini win the 2026 San Giovanni Rotondo mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	18	72¢	$13	0x1e49ec…
06-04 13:43:19	Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	No	SELL	60	57¢	$34	0x0fcd92…
06-04 13:41:40	Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x91fa58…
06-04 13:41:31	Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x2dc1cc…
06-04 13:41:10	Will Rossella Fini win the 2026 San Giovanni Rotondo mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0x71b4be…
06-04 13:39:25	Will Al Lawson win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	No	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0x6768ec…
06-04 13:39:06	Will Al Lawson win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xa60e28…
06-04 13:38:43	Will Al Lawson win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x70447d…
06-04 13:18:49	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	180	97¢	$174	0x7ddc4a…
06-04 13:07:49	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x60fcce…
05-20 07:42:47	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x7defcd…
05-20 07:40:45	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x874a7e…
05-20 07:40:40	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x5a7b29…
05-20 07:37:32	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xb66f37…
05-20 07:37:20	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xa323fa…
05-20 07:24:58	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	No	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x328624…
05-20 07:23:27	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x7f7418…
05-20 07:23:20	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	No	BUY	0	21¢	$0	0x649bdc…
05-20 07:15:45	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xb27c04…
05-20 07:15:19	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xc30538…
05-20 06:00:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xc1ba80…
04-09 16:14:43	msft up or down on april 9 2026	Down	SELL	50	83¢	$41	0xffa98b…
04-09 16:12:37	abnb up or down on april 9 2026	Down	SELL	50	72¢	$36	0x8245be…
04-09 16:03:13	ewy up or down on april 9 2026	Down	SELL	15	88¢	$13	0x05e50c…
04-09 16:02:31	ewy up or down on april 9 2026	Down	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0x975518…
04-09 15:59:43	msft up or down on april 9 2026	Down	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xe99ed9…
04-09 15:58:45	nflx up or down on april 9 2026	Down	SELL	86	3¢	$3	0x0e7721…
04-09 15:57:53	nflx up or down on april 9 2026	Down	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x9643fd…
04-09 15:56:13	amzn up or down on april 9 2026	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x3cd9a7…
04-09 15:56:09	abnb up or down on april 9 2026	Down	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x1a9921…
04-09 15:45:07	nflx up or down on april 9 2026	Down	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x908c51…
04-09 15:40:49	nflx up or down on april 9 2026	Down	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x93ebf6…
04-09 15:31:51	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	SELL	200	31¢	$62	0x55b050…
04-09 15:29:55	xagusd up or down on april 9 2026	Up	SELL	15	90¢	$13	0x59f72e…
04-09 15:29:31	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x3b657c…
04-09 15:29:07	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	100	81¢	$81	0x1513a6…
04-09 15:28:37	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	100	84¢	$84	0x367e87…
04-09 15:27:31	qqq up or down on april 9 2026	Down	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0x2ea37f…
04-09 15:27:25	qqq up or down on april 9 2026	Down	SELL	43	85¢	$37	0x7eb888…
04-09 15:27:09	xagusd up or down on april 9 2026	Up	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xf1100c…
04-09 15:26:13	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0xa1f927…
04-09 15:25:25	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0xfce865…
04-09 15:22:39	qqq up or down on april 9 2026	Down	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xebf76a…
04-09 15:20:15	googl up or down on april 9 2026	Down	SELL	50	72¢	$36	0x6e5c44…
04-09 15:19:23	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0xb8602a…
04-09 15:18:43	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0x7bf577…
04-09 15:16:49	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	200	25¢	$50	0xa4ba07…
04-09 15:16:27	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xa20744…
04-09 15:11:55	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	200	31¢	$62	0x52d757…
04-09 15:10:25	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	200	31¢	$62	0xad5022…
04-09 15:10:25	googl up or down on april 9 2026	Down	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x147062…
04-09 15:07:15	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0xd0f47d…
04-02 14:28:17	bkcba zhe2 lia 2026 04 03	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xe0ba0f…
04-02 14:27:35	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$149	0x9b3729…
04-02 14:26:53	bkcba zhe2 lia 2026 04 03	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	BUY	500	64¢	$320	0xf6d810…
03-27 17:41:55	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0xc4ea9a…
03-27 17:39:19	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x3fefa9…
03-27 17:38:21	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	300	60¢	$180	0x4e14b4…
03-27 17:32:55	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe4285a…
03-27 17:32:51	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0x179226…
03-27 17:22:29	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x04038c…
03-27 17:20:27	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x42fcc8…
03-27 17:09:59	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xc8b618…
03-27 17:04:07	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x1ff99a…
03-27 08:40:55	highest temperature in shanghai on march 27 2026 20c	Yes	SELL	105	0¢	$0	0xa79e80…
03-27 08:39:57	highest temperature in shanghai on march 27 2026 19c	No	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xcd70d6…
03-27 08:39:51	highest temperature in shanghai on march 27 2026 20c	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xdf5a89…
03-27 08:39:37	highest temperature in shanghai on march 27 2026 19c	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x6b7e3c…
03-27 08:39:33	highest temperature in shanghai on march 27 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	44	0¢	$0	0x88d699…
03-27 08:39:29	highest temperature in shanghai on march 27 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x3e1ba4…
03-27 08:39:21	highest temperature in shanghai on march 27 2026 19c	No	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xb8be12…
03-27 08:38:57	highest temperature in shanghai on march 27 2026 19c	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x5d8365…
03-27 08:38:17	highest temperature in shanghai on march 27 2026 19c	No	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0x590bcd…
03-27 08:37:55	highest temperature in shanghai on march 27 2026 19c	No	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x0e6ff0…
03-27 08:36:23	highest temperature in shanghai on march 27 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x74afa2…
03-27 08:36:01	highest temperature in shanghai on march 27 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0x141b7d…
03-27 08:35:43	highest temperature in shanghai on march 27 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc4b844…
03-27 08:35:05	highest temperature in shanghai on march 27 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	48	0¢	$0	0xd70e17…
03-27 08:34:55	highest temperature in shanghai on march 27 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x0af632…
03-27 08:34:01	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	No	SELL	22	48¢	$11	0xa1e7cb…
03-27 08:33:17	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	No	BUY	22	48¢	$11	0x667b68…
03-18 12:51:01	lol ff1 g2nord 2026 03 23	French Flair	BUY	370	64¢	$237	0xf009bb…
03-05 18:29:19	lol hmble cg 2026 02 28	HMBLE	BUY	240	79¢	$190	0xcd2e5e…
03-05 18:26:19	nvda up or down on march 5 2026	Up	SELL	193	1¢	$2	0x6d9832…
03-05 18:24:17	nvda up or down on march 5 2026	Down	SELL	193	99¢	$191	0x3e33e5…
03-05 18:07:49	nvda up or down on march 5 2026	Up	BUY	192	2¢	$4	0x75658d…
03-05 18:07:09	nvda up or down on march 5 2026	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x58595a…
03-05 18:04:23	nvda up or down on march 5 2026	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x194595…
03-05 18:03:27	nvda up or down on march 5 2026	Down	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0x42cd69…
03-05 18:02:47	nvda up or down on march 5 2026	Down	SELL	30	98¢	$30	0xd8b471…
03-05 18:02:15	nvda up or down on march 5 2026	Down	BUY	148	98¢	$146	0x56c7c2…
02-09 07:09:11	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	No	BUY	190	100¢	$189	0xf3562a…
02-09 06:31:39	dota2 valino ill 2026 02 09	Valinor	BUY	500	59¢	$295	0x9d2bcb…
01-03 13:44:49	will bitcoin reach 120k in january 2026	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x2e5f48…
01-03 13:44:29	will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	No	BUY	150	100¢	$149	0x3713c1…
01-03 13:44:17	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x91274f…