Warlike-Cemetery-Timber — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.75K

Unrealized P&L

+$492

Hit rate

87.9%

Resolved

121

Trades

1,343

lifetime

Volume

$92.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$68

Open exposure

$7.73K

16 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 10-27 02:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Politics

64% 70% +$1,165

Other

29% 85% +$776

Pop-Culture

4% — —

Crypto

1% 67% +$13

Sports

1% 0% -$198

Tech

0% 67% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (16) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	+1,199	$1,081	94¢	$1.1K	+$40	10-16 15:34
Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	+1,084	$965	97¢	$1.0K	+$84	08-20 21:03
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	+1,028	$993	100¢	$1.0K	+$31	10-16 15:39
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+1,040	$748	72¢	$744	-$5	10-25 11:18
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	+585	$532	98¢	$574	+$43	07-28 21:53
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	+530	$492	97¢	$516	+$24	10-27 02:11
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	+473	$419	94¢	$447	+$27	08-24 08:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No	+375	$346	99¢	$372	+$26	08-25 09:49
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	+344	$307	97¢	$334	+$27	08-22 09:12
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+450	$314	70¢	$313	-$1	10-25 11:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	No	+360	$299	86¢	$311	+$12	08-24 18:43
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+300	$131	98¢	$294	+$163	09-17 15:39
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+400	$256	66¢	$266	+$10	10-25 11:26
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	+270	$249	97¢	$261	+$11	08-21 04:46
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+110	$102	92¢	$101	-$1	10-25 03:35
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	+0	$1	72¢	$0	-$1	08-19 06:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	33	$6.8K	4,000	3,700	+300	open	—	09-17 15:39
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	36	$4.7K	2,614	2,614	+0	Yes	+$72	06-30 19:43
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	29	$4.1K	2,421	2,421	+0	No	+$199	06-12 00:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	16	$4.1K	2,575	2,275	+300	Yes	+$219	06-17 00:27
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	70	$3.8K	2,798	1,770	+1,028	open	—	10-16 15:39
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?	83	$2.9K	3,028	15	+3,013	Yes	+$112	06-24 12:00
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	59	$2.7K	1,389	1,389	+0	Yes	+$54	09-19 01:03
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?	26	$2.7K	1,903	790	+1,113	No	+$31	09-09 16:40
Yoon out of custody before 2027?	24	$2.0K	1,648	563	+1,084	open	—	08-20 21:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	26	$2.0K	1,203	1,203	+0	open	—	08-27 09:18
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	50	$1.9K	1,273	1,273	+0	No	+$110	06-22 13:16
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	20	$1.8K	1,525	1,525	+0	Yes	-$8	09-19 00:36
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	18	$1.6K	827	827	+0	Yes	+$46	05-31 02:25
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	7	$1.5K	850	850	+0	No	+$81	10-25 23:55
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$1.2K	650	650	+0	Yes	+$61	10-25 23:56
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	21	$1.2K	830	410	+421	No	+$40	06-22 01:41
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	11	$1.1K	587	587	+0	No	+$33	05-29 15:09
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	8	$1.1K	800	800	+0	Yes	-$198	07-07 00:29
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	9	$1.1K	1,199	0	+1,199	open	—	10-16 15:34
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	12	$1.1K	1,117	0	+1,117	No	+$37	06-18 03:45
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	12	$1.0K	550	550	+0	No	+$56	09-04 17:59
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?	11	$1.0K	520	520	+0	Yes	+$5	06-22 17:03
Iran leadership change by December 31?	6	$1.0K	665	665	+0	open	—	08-26 09:40
peru presidential election invalidated 20260608171643979	18	$994	501	501	+0	No	+$6	07-24 02:25
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?	16	$968	500	500	+0	No	+$19	06-22 18:17
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	20	$943	889	889	+0	Yes	+$55	06-14 23:23
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	13	$930	897	897	+0	open	—	09-20 02:21
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	9	$930	510	510	+0	Yes	+$59	06-22 01:57
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	6	$895	901	0	+901	No	+$6	06-03 13:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	4	$843	588	300	+288	Yes	-$3	06-17 19:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 02:11:30	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x4b7a20…
10-26 20:25:24	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	75	76¢	$57	0x54fe0d…
10-26 20:22:12	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	400	76¢	$305	0x362b46…
10-26 13:44:20	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Mbappé	BUY	85	73¢	$62	0x9186a5…
10-26 01:37:47	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	180	70¢	$126	0xcf1262…
10-26 00:03:45	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	150	0¢	$0	0x6c6f28…
10-25 23:56:27	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	650	99¢	$645	0x88a6af…
10-25 23:55:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	750	99¢	$744	0xe8dc0d…
10-25 23:35:17	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	250	94¢	$236	0xab8e9f…
10-25 23:25:33	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	400	91¢	$362	0xfb3c8c…
10-25 23:14:36	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	400	87¢	$348	0x1bdcc3…
10-25 23:06:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	350	84¢	$293	0xadc15f…
10-25 11:47:38	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	300	68¢	$204	0x8e0440…
10-25 11:42:53	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	350	51¢	$178	0x2ee1a3…
10-25 11:26:24	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	64¢	$256	0xe08721…
10-25 11:18:15	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	350	72¢	$252	0x066f84…
10-25 11:04:30	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	360	70¢	$254	0x0e0b81…
10-25 10:45:59	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	750	69¢	$518	0x1e7bf2…
10-25 03:35:20	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	110	93¢	$102	0x6d2e74…
10-25 03:09:26	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	120	70¢	$84	0x366e23…
10-25 03:08:21	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0x76d4a4…
10-25 03:06:05	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	350	73¢	$256	0x6883fc…
10-25 02:53:41	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	390	73¢	$285	0x3788f0…
10-17 04:42:01	Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0x2ceecb…
10-16 15:39:19	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe6809c…
10-16 15:38:46	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	BUY	615	99¢	$608	0xfee776…
10-16 15:34:27	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	539	93¢	$502	0xa50995…
10-09 07:52:21	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	BUY	302	99¢	$298	0xed8e9d…
10-05 15:36:31	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	BUY	91	99¢	$89	0x638141…
10-05 15:35:02	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	SELL	360	91¢	$327	0xc3e65b…
09-24 11:02:11	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	SELL	18	80¢	$14	0x6781a4…
09-24 11:01:23	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x0c513f…
09-24 11:00:57	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xdeb3db…
09-24 11:00:57	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	SELL	25	80¢	$20	0xc1ad8d…
09-24 11:00:57	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x693e05…
09-24 10:59:26	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	SELL	30	80¢	$24	0x12fd77…
09-23 17:05:44	kanye west performs in russia by october 31	No	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0x1a577b…
09-23 15:57:38	kanye west performs in russia by october 31	No	SELL	63	89¢	$56	0xa37ed2…
09-23 15:40:59	kanye west performs in russia by october 31	No	SELL	100	89¢	$89	0xda2633…
09-23 14:54:07	kanye west performs in russia by october 31	No	SELL	59	88¢	$52	0x6c578d…
09-23 14:21:19	kanye west performs in russia by october 31	No	SELL	66	88¢	$58	0x798545…
09-23 13:14:13	kanye west performs in russia by october 31	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0xe75d67…
09-23 12:36:01	kanye west performs in russia by october 31	No	SELL	15	88¢	$13	0xd068ef…
09-23 12:33:58	kanye west performs in russia by october 31	No	SELL	15	88¢	$13	0xc0e797…
09-23 12:32:20	kanye west performs in russia by october 31	No	SELL	30	88¢	$26	0xc375ed…
09-23 11:44:40	kanye west performs in russia by october 31	No	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0x525990…
09-23 11:13:19	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	75	70¢	$52	0xdc10ed…
09-23 09:47:38	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0xd1ae28…
09-23 09:22:29	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	SELL	62	90¢	$56	0xa27917…
09-23 07:33:25	Will United Russia win the next Orenburg Oblast Parliament elections?	Yes	BUY	264	100¢	$264	0x41e527…
09-23 07:32:29	Will United Russia win the next Orenburg Oblast Parliament elections?	Yes	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x9c36c5…
09-21 09:22:41	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	BUY	45	86¢	$39	0x91fd2e…
09-21 09:20:47	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	BUY	99	86¢	$85	0x53d72c…
09-20 14:35:33	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	75	71¢	$53	0x6187aa…
09-20 02:22:18	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	290	48¢	$141	0x15a61f…
09-20 02:21:45	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	897	41¢	$365	0x6b8d61…
09-20 01:44:22	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	290	47¢	$136	0x6f2c12…
09-20 01:43:58	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	290	47¢	$136	0x246583…
09-19 02:04:36	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x6baf36…
09-19 01:03:16	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	509	100¢	$508	0x571441…
09-19 00:36:27	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	250	74¢	$185	0x4e3473…
09-18 21:23:51	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x38e2aa…
09-18 21:16:51	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x437d79…
09-18 20:32:18	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x278a3a…
09-18 19:06:24	Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	30	95¢	$29	0xa0e5e0…
09-18 17:32:16	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0xa76990…
09-17 16:09:24	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	BUY	550	93¢	$512	0x285992…
09-17 15:59:36	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	BUY	25	77¢	$19	0x516554…
09-17 15:39:18	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	250	95¢	$238	0x26d222…
09-17 15:20:13	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	550	95¢	$522	0xa66953…
09-17 14:36:03	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0xbba5c3…
09-17 14:05:33	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x00062f…
09-17 14:03:07	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x845c81…
09-17 11:20:55	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	SELL	57	75¢	$43	0x583613…
09-17 11:18:19	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	SELL	50	75¢	$38	0x133493…
09-17 11:05:43	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	SELL	50	75¢	$38	0xf18c37…
09-17 11:02:40	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	SELL	706	75¢	$530	0xd39000…
09-16 12:55:09	Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	75	97¢	$73	0xae1939…
09-16 12:48:52	Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	61	97¢	$59	0xae7e89…
09-16 12:48:51	Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa6cbc1…
09-16 12:48:46	Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x60038d…
09-16 12:48:46	Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x50f6fc…
09-16 12:48:43	Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x2c26f7…
09-16 12:48:39	Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes?	No	BUY	149	98¢	$146	0x44e59a…
09-16 11:30:09	Will Rodina win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	180	85¢	$153	0x50d522…
09-15 15:06:55	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	SELL	50	77¢	$38	0x5d2afd…
09-15 13:59:33	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	SELL	50	77¢	$38	0x5ffcb7…
09-15 13:54:34	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	110	92¢	$101	0x7beb53…
09-15 13:28:30	Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	85	78¢	$66	0xb53d99…
09-15 13:26:06	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	84	26¢	$22	0xbb7da2…
09-15 12:59:34	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	300	94¢	$282	0xe19e09…
09-15 12:42:28	Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0x0147de…
09-15 12:28:52	Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xebe6f0…
09-15 11:49:24	Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0xd6da9a…
09-15 06:38:07	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x32d81f…
09-15 06:19:06	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0xa56d08…
09-15 06:19:06	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	94	99¢	$93	0x19e308…
09-14 21:37:36	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x809505…
09-14 18:08:27	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0x4026fd…
09-14 17:46:28	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x18dd04…