Realized P&L
+$20
Unrealized P&L
+$167
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
318
lifetime
Volume
$24.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$78
Open exposure
$2.74K
9 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 07-03 04:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
78% 100% +$20
Other
18%
Crypto
4%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +1,900 $1,619 88¢ $1.7K +$62 07-03 04:56
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +375 $272 84¢ $317 +$45 06-01 00:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +360 $282 88¢ $315 +$33 06-14 22:11
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +311 $271 90¢ $281 +$10 06-28 04:21
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +70 $50 84¢ $58 +$8 06-17 11:30
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -56 $-49 94¢ $-52 $-3 05-28 17:37
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No -20 $-29 91¢ $-18 +$11 06-08 21:25
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -25 $-11 54¢ $-13 $-3 05-31 09:00
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No -7 $-10 100¢ $-7 +$3 07-01 03:31