Warlike-Cemetery-Timber — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$123

Unrealized P&L

+$451

Hit rate

85.8%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

1,411 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$4.18K

$98.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

$70

Open exposure

$3.93K

8 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 11-04 03:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Politics

66% 69% +$1,007

Other

28% 86% +$779

Pop-Culture

4% 100% +$35

Crypto

1% 67% +$13

Sports

1% 0% -$198

Tech

0% 67% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	+1,199	$1,081	97¢	$1.2K	+$79	10-16 15:34
Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	+1,084	$965	97¢	$1.1K	+$89	08-20 21:03
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	+585	$532	97¢	$568	+$37	07-28 21:53
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	+344	$307	97¢	$332	+$25	08-22 09:12
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+300	$131	98¢	$294	+$163	09-17 15:39
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	+300	$267	98¢	$293	+$26	10-29 19:53
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	+238	$196	97¢	$230	+$34	11-03 13:31
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	+0	$1	72¢	$0	-$1	08-19 06:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	33	$6.8K	4,000	3,700	+300	open	—	09-17 15:39
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	36	$4.7K	2,614	2,614	+0	Yes	+$72	06-30 19:43
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	29	$4.1K	2,421	2,421	+0	No	+$199	06-12 00:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	16	$4.1K	2,575	2,275	+300	Yes	+$219	06-17 00:27
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	70	$3.8K	2,798	1,770	+1,028	No	+$35	10-16 15:39
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?	83	$2.9K	3,028	15	+3,013	Yes	+$112	06-24 12:00
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	59	$2.7K	1,389	1,389	+0	Yes	+$54	09-19 01:03
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?	26	$2.7K	1,903	790	+1,113	No	+$31	09-09 16:40
Yoon out of custody before 2027?	24	$2.0K	1,648	563	+1,084	open	—	08-20 21:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	26	$2.0K	1,203	1,203	+0	open	—	08-27 09:18
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	50	$1.9K	1,273	1,273	+0	No	+$110	06-22 13:16
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	8	$1.9K	1,360	1,360	+0	open	—	10-27 20:31
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	20	$1.8K	1,525	1,525	+0	Yes	-$8	09-19 00:36
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	18	$1.6K	827	827	+0	Yes	+$46	05-31 02:25
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	7	$1.5K	850	850	+0	No	+$81	10-25 23:55
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$1.2K	650	650	+0	Yes	+$61	10-25 23:56
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	21	$1.2K	830	410	+421	No	+$40	06-22 01:41
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	11	$1.1K	587	587	+0	No	+$33	05-29 15:09
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	8	$1.1K	800	800	+0	Yes	-$198	07-07 00:29
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	9	$1.1K	1,199	0	+1,199	open	—	10-16 15:34
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	12	$1.1K	1,117	0	+1,117	No	+$37	06-18 03:45
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	12	$1.0K	550	550	+0	No	+$56	09-04 17:59
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?	11	$1.0K	520	520	+0	Yes	+$5	06-22 17:03
Iran leadership change by December 31?	6	$1.0K	665	665	+0	open	—	08-26 09:40
peru presidential election invalidated 20260608171643979	18	$994	501	501	+0	No	+$6	07-24 02:25
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	6	$979	963	963	+0	No	-$346	10-27 20:26
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?	16	$968	500	500	+0	No	+$19	06-22 18:17
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	20	$943	889	889	+0	Yes	+$55	06-14 23:23
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	13	$930	897	897	+0	open	—	09-20 02:21
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	9	$930	510	510	+0	Yes	+$59	06-22 01:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 03:31:25	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x4d7690…
11-04 03:30:43	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0xd39efc…
11-04 03:29:21	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	98¢	$73	0xc02f91…
11-04 03:28:54	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	98¢	$73	0x3f8b3c…
11-04 03:27:04	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	250	98¢	$245	0x92789b…
11-04 03:26:43	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0xfc434e…
11-04 03:25:52	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	74	97¢	$72	0x1b358c…
11-04 03:25:33	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	98¢	$32	0xeb1563…
11-04 03:24:46	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	100¢	$398	0x64022c…
11-04 02:16:42	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	93¢	$41	0xdb92ad…
11-04 02:16:42	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	25	94¢	$23	0x6b8f3f…
11-04 02:15:31	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x345665…
11-04 02:12:16	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0x66f51a…
11-04 02:05:33	Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	115	99¢	$114	0xd6fd2b…
11-04 02:04:55	Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x749cca…
11-04 02:04:48	Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xc0c3a2…
11-04 01:59:58	Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xb5c682…
11-04 01:59:43	Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x447a30…
11-04 01:59:06	Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	188	99¢	$186	0xb9349f…
11-04 01:58:22	Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	98¢	$8	0x5fbb9d…
11-04 01:58:18	Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0xaa4f13…
11-04 01:58:04	Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	98¢	$6	0x25e1b7…
11-04 01:56:13	Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0xb1eaaa…
11-04 01:56:13	Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0x9bda78…
11-04 01:53:48	Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x6265a3…
11-04 01:51:45	Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	97¢	$42	0xdb092a…
11-04 01:47:28	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0xe0f842…
11-04 01:46:16	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	300	91¢	$272	0xd0748f…
11-04 01:38:58	Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x4fd127…
11-04 01:35:54	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	87¢	$130	0x7deaa8…
11-04 01:24:39	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x228f06…
11-04 01:24:04	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0xf506b4…
11-04 01:12:43	Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	87¢	$39	0x3b5fae…
11-04 01:12:42	Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	195	87¢	$170	0x67897c…
11-04 01:05:43	Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	104	91¢	$95	0x3c9b40…
11-04 01:05:31	Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	46	91¢	$42	0xe1fe46…
11-04 01:05:13	Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x2b752c…
11-04 01:05:13	Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x0fa928…
11-04 01:05:09	Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	97	92¢	$89	0x21e195…
11-04 01:05:03	Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x7dbada…
11-04 01:04:09	Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	92¢	$105	0xa4f9fb…
11-04 01:04:07	Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0xcd73ad…
11-04 01:03:25	Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x4578a7…
11-03 13:31:57	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	145	95¢	$138	0x3a9ff9…
11-03 11:09:16	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	90	95¢	$86	0xdfe738…
11-02 22:33:03	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	270	98¢	$265	0xc78560…
11-02 13:47:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	360	89¢	$320	0x13ea50…
11-01 01:04:40	Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x48887c…
10-29 19:53:25	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	SELL	179	98¢	$175	0xe78cff…
10-29 15:01:05	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xc8df1b…
10-28 02:41:47	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	60	91¢	$55	0x36f132…
10-28 02:30:42	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	120	91¢	$109	0x626e40…
10-27 20:31:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1,360	67¢	$911	0x06416e…
10-27 20:26:03	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	663	17¢	$113	0xfaf496…
10-27 20:17:06	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	300	25¢	$75	0x6cc74e…
10-27 19:11:45	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	320	74¢	$237	0x0a48c0…
10-27 19:09:23	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	200	68¢	$136	0x652512…
10-27 19:08:54	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x564d94…
10-27 19:08:51	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x1d723b…
10-27 18:47:50	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	300	73¢	$219	0x139054…
10-27 11:33:12	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x599e4a…
10-27 02:11:30	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x4b7a20…
10-26 20:25:24	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	75	76¢	$57	0x54fe0d…
10-26 20:22:12	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	400	76¢	$305	0x362b46…
10-26 13:44:20	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Mbappé	BUY	85	73¢	$62	0x9186a5…
10-26 01:37:47	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	180	70¢	$126	0xcf1262…
10-26 00:03:45	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	150	0¢	$0	0x6c6f28…
10-25 23:56:27	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	650	99¢	$645	0x88a6af…
10-25 23:55:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	750	99¢	$744	0xe8dc0d…
10-25 23:35:17	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	250	94¢	$236	0xab8e9f…
10-25 23:25:33	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	400	91¢	$362	0xfb3c8c…
10-25 23:14:36	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	400	87¢	$348	0x1bdcc3…
10-25 23:06:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	350	84¢	$293	0xadc15f…
10-25 11:47:38	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	300	68¢	$204	0x8e0440…
10-25 11:42:53	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	350	51¢	$178	0x2ee1a3…
10-25 11:26:24	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	64¢	$256	0xe08721…
10-25 11:18:15	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	350	72¢	$252	0x066f84…
10-25 11:04:30	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	360	70¢	$254	0x0e0b81…
10-25 10:45:59	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	750	69¢	$518	0x1e7bf2…
10-25 03:35:20	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	110	93¢	$102	0x6d2e74…
10-25 03:09:26	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	120	70¢	$84	0x366e23…
10-25 03:08:21	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0x76d4a4…
10-25 03:06:05	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	350	73¢	$256	0x6883fc…
10-25 02:53:41	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	390	73¢	$285	0x3788f0…
10-17 04:42:01	Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0x2ceecb…
10-16 15:39:19	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe6809c…
10-16 15:38:46	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	BUY	615	99¢	$608	0xfee776…
10-16 15:34:27	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	539	93¢	$502	0xa50995…
10-09 07:52:21	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	BUY	302	99¢	$298	0xed8e9d…
10-05 15:36:31	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	BUY	91	99¢	$89	0x638141…
10-05 15:35:02	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	SELL	360	91¢	$327	0xc3e65b…
09-24 11:02:11	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	SELL	18	80¢	$14	0x6781a4…
09-24 11:01:23	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x0c513f…
09-24 11:00:57	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xdeb3db…
09-24 11:00:57	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	SELL	25	80¢	$20	0xc1ad8d…
09-24 11:00:57	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x693e05…
09-24 10:59:26	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	SELL	30	80¢	$24	0x12fd77…
09-23 17:05:44	kanye west performs in russia by october 31	No	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0x1a577b…
09-23 15:57:38	kanye west performs in russia by october 31	No	SELL	63	89¢	$56	0xa37ed2…
09-23 15:40:59	kanye west performs in russia by october 31	No	SELL	100	89¢	$89	0xda2633…