Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$94

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

10.3%

Resolved

Trades

106

lifetime

Volume

$128

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

5 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 11-07 05:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

59% 7% -$47

Politics

16% 6% -$16

Crypto

13% 14% -$14

Pop-Culture

6% 0% -$8

Sports

3% 0% -$4

Tech

3% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	-7	-$7	96¢	$-7	$0	11-05 05:03
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	+3	$1	40¢	$1	+$0	11-07 05:16
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027?	No	+2	$1	44¢	$1	$0	11-05 05:06
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+7	$1	12¢	$1	$0	11-07 05:17
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	+7	$1	12¢	$1	$0	11-07 05:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	2	$7	0	7	-7	open	—	11-05 05:03
will ethereum dip to 1200 in march 2026	2	$6	417	0	+417	No	-$6	03-24 06:29
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$6	50	0	+50	No	-$6	03-23 18:32
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?	2	$5	5	5	+0	No	+$3	04-07 13:53
will ethereum dip to 1800 in march 2026	1	$5	21	0	+21	No	-$5	03-15 20:59
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$1	05-20 17:11
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$2	393	0	+393	No	-$2	03-15 21:00
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$2	10	0	+10	Yes	-$2	03-11 11:03
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	109	0	+109	No	-$2	03-23 18:34
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	2	$2	14	0	+14	No	-$2	03-15 20:57
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	1	$1	0	1	-1	No	$0	06-17 02:55
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-30?	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	-$1	04-30 08:16
highest temperature in munich on march 11 2026 14c	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	03-11 12:40
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?	1	$1	7	0	+7	open	—	11-07 05:17
will ethan hawke win best actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$1	59	0	+59	No	-$1	03-11 13:38
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	1	$1	143	0	+143	No	-$1	03-11 12:29
will clavicular be irans next supreme leader by march 31st	1	$1	250	0	+250	No	-$1	03-11 11:06
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$1	20	0	+20	No	-$1	03-11 11:12
will any eu country strike iran by march 31	1	$1	10	0	+10	No	-$1	03-11 11:15
will man i need by olivia dean be the billboard 1 song for the week of march 21	1	$1	60	0	+60	No	-$1	03-11 12:33
will ordinary by alex warren be the billboard 1 song for the week of march 21	1	$1	107	0	+107	No	-$1	03-11 12:33
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	1	$1	5	0	+5	Yes	-$1	09-09 19:12
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	1	$1	10	0	+10	No	-$1	03-11 12:12
will scream 7 be the highest grossing movie this weekend 256	1	$1	158	0	+158	No	-$1	03-11 12:36
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 17	1	$1	10	0	+10	Yes	-$1	03-15 20:52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	-$1	09-09 22:44
will uae strike iran by march 31	1	$1	5	0	+5	No	-$1	03-11 11:15
mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	1	$1	27	0	+27	No	-$1	03-11 11:07
will wuthering heights be the highest grossing movie this weekend 915	1	$1	245	0	+245	No	-$1	03-11 12:37
will opalite by taylor swift be the billboard 1 song for the week of march 21	1	$1	90	0	+90	No	-$1	03-11 12:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 05:17:52	Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xa57e67…
11-07 05:17:04	Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x0c8c66…
11-07 05:16:46	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x83a607…
11-05 05:06:12	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x516523…
11-05 05:03:51	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x50a45a…
09-09 22:44:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x0e370e…
09-09 19:12:21	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4f5883…
09-09 19:11:19	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x63cfde…
08-28 06:19:45	moscow air traffic suspended by august 31 20260824	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x0c1f46…
08-21 08:27:52	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x2e7f29…
06-17 02:56:46	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2b68f1…
06-17 02:55:07	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x304a59…
05-20 17:12:09	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x58b0bd…
05-20 17:11:36	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x2a3418…
04-30 10:34:44	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x01da46…
04-30 08:16:54	Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-30?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x39d7c5…
04-30 08:15:32	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x253180…
04-30 08:14:38	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x4dc1df…
04-30 08:14:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xde751b…
04-30 08:13:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0xce157e…
04-30 08:12:02	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0xeec315…
04-20 07:34:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xb57837…
04-20 07:33:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x3047eb…
04-08 18:38:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x9c9788…
04-07 13:53:27	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x7135af…
03-24 06:29:07	will ethereum dip to 1200 in march 2026	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xa09a46…
03-23 18:34:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x2f6429…
03-23 18:32:29	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xfe7aa1…
03-23 18:32:03	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x78d178…
03-19 08:14:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x64543e…
03-18 15:58:57	will powell say inflation 40 times during march press conference	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x3a4949…
03-15 21:00:29	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xc0c8ed…
03-15 20:59:59	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x816ed4…
03-15 20:59:07	will ethereum dip to 1800 in march 2026	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x3d2eda…
03-15 20:58:59	will ethereum dip to 1400 in march 2026	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x43866a…
03-15 20:58:51	will ethereum dip to 1200 in march 2026	Yes	BUY	217	2¢	$5	0x3c5599…
03-15 20:58:43	will ethereum dip to 1600 in march 2026	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xfeb7c4…
03-15 20:57:23	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x5fdffc…
03-15 20:57:01	will the dinosaurs be the 2 us netflix show this week 774	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x2d446e…
03-15 20:56:31	will war machine be the top us netflix movie this week 835	No	BUY	95	1¢	$1	0xc2e081…
03-15 20:56:11	Will Condoleezza Rice join the Trump administration by April 30?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x93acce…
03-15 20:55:25	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on march 16	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x7d4105…
03-15 20:54:59	trump approval up or down this week 857	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xcb424c…
03-15 20:54:35	will starmer say mr speaker 20 times during the next prime ministers questions event 538	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x94d9bb…
03-15 20:54:05	will mike white be voted off survivor season 50 this week 931	No	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x1cca63…
03-15 20:53:13	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x540b27…
03-15 20:52:37	will claude by anthropic be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 17	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x7c325b…
03-15 20:52:25	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 17	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x360872…
03-15 20:52:05	right wing wave in french mayoral elections	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x008f6d…
03-15 20:51:51	will stateside zara larsson pinkpantheress zara larsson be the 1 song on spotify this week 167	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd6ee93…
03-15 20:51:17	will trump say womens sports this week march 22	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x8f9f76…
03-15 20:50:49	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x33eaf5…
03-12 05:48:23	will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x01a63d…
03-12 05:47:23	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 13	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x00e516…
03-12 05:46:49	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 13	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2e129a…
03-12 05:45:39	will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 13	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x532c18…
03-11 13:38:17	will ethan hawke win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xda9a08…
03-11 12:40:55	highest temperature in munich on march 11 2026 14c	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0ee2a0…
03-11 12:40:49	highest temperature in munich on march 11 2026 18corhigher	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0xa3ea4b…
03-11 12:40:09	highest temperature in munich on march 11 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc26c15…
03-11 12:37:03	will wuthering heights be the highest grossing movie this weekend 915	Yes	BUY	245	0¢	$1	0x560826…
03-11 12:36:59	will goat be the highest grossing movie this weekend 974	Yes	BUY	193	1¢	$1	0xdf445a…
03-11 12:36:55	will scream 7 be the highest grossing movie this weekend 256	Yes	BUY	158	1¢	$1	0x3a60a2…
03-11 12:36:51	will reminders of him be the highest grossing movie this weekend	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x788a45…
03-11 12:36:47	will hoppers be the highest grossing movie this weekend 592	No	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x41e477…
03-11 12:33:53	will ordinary by alex warren be the billboard 1 song for the week of march 21	Yes	BUY	107	1¢	$1	0x3df21a…
03-11 12:33:49	will stateside by pinkpantheress with zara larsson be the billboard 1 song for the week of march 21	Yes	BUY	86	1¢	$1	0xeb8394…
03-11 12:33:43	will risk it all by bruno mars be the billboard 1 song for the week of march 21	Yes	BUY	120	1¢	$1	0x4477be…
03-11 12:33:41	will golden by huntrx be the billboard 1 song for the week of march 21	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x368bfc…
03-11 12:33:35	will opalite by taylor swift be the billboard 1 song for the week of march 21	Yes	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0xfa4f56…
03-11 12:33:29	will man i need by olivia dean be the billboard 1 song for the week of march 21	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xbbcf2c…
03-11 12:33:21	will i just might by bruno mars be the billboard 1 song for the week of march 21	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x6fc2cb…
03-11 12:33:15	will choosin texas by ella langley be the billboard 1 song for the week of march 21	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x50da51…
03-11 12:32:17	next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x5d7218…
03-11 12:31:49	will russia capture hryshyne by april 30 2026 647 522	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x868d17…
03-11 12:31:45	will russia capture hryshyne by june 30 2026 484 168 415	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x1bc1e2…
03-11 12:31:23	will project hail mary score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf6002a…
03-11 12:30:55	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xebf32c…
03-11 12:29:53	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x25cde4…
03-11 12:29:03	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x67bc47…
03-11 12:12:15	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x404878…
03-11 12:12:09	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc870b3…
03-11 12:12:03	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5f4469…
03-11 12:11:51	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x10fe9e…
03-11 12:11:47	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x5d2b0b…
03-11 11:29:03	will chainlink reach 16 in march	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x5d86d1…
03-11 11:27:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe5c9ba…
03-11 11:27:27	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xd47e91…
03-11 11:26:57	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb291cc…
03-11 11:25:45	will arsenal reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x3b04d6…
03-11 11:25:27	will atltico madrid reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	No	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xfa41d4…
03-11 11:22:29	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xffdac5…
03-11 11:21:15	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0984aa…
03-11 11:19:03	aapl close above 250 on march 11 2026	No	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0xb86e0a…
03-11 11:18:31	will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	No	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0xf8fdc3…
03-11 11:17:51	fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	109	1¢	$1	0xac0df5…
03-11 11:16:41	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xf2182a…
03-11 11:15:55	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x31c6b6…
03-11 11:15:27	will any eu country strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xed1d58…
03-11 11:15:11	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xff839c…