Realized P&L (90d)
+$69
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
46.1%
Resolved (90d)
495
Trades (90d)
908
3,287 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$4.69K
$21.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$10
15 positions
First seen
2026-07-06
last 10-23 08:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 53 days
Categories
Crypto
98% 45% -$522
Other
2% 0% -$34
Politics
0% 12% +$20
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 217 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-06 House seat? Yes +39 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 10-15 08:23
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? Yes +88 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 10-15 08:23
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? Yes +43 $1 3¢ $1 +$0 10-15 08:24
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes +44 $1 2¢ $1 $0 10-15 08:25
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat? Yes +38 $1 2¢ $1 $0 10-15 08:23
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +38 $1 2¢ $1 $0 10-15 08:24
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes +95 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-15 08:24
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +35 $1 2¢ $1 $0 10-15 08:24
Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +37 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-15 08:26
will the us announce a diesel export ban by october 31 Yes +40 $1 1¢ $1 -$1 10-15 08:24
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +31 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 10-15 08:25
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583 Yes +105 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-15 08:23
will bitcoin dip to 65k in october 2026 Yes +42 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 10-15 08:22
will bitcoin reach 100k in october 2026 Yes +58 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-15 08:23
will ethereum reach 3200 in october 2026 Yes +35 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-15 08:22