Realized P&L
-$77
Unrealized P&L
-$53
Hit rate
73.3%
Resolved
155
Trades
6,485
lifetime
Volume
$798.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$123
Open exposure
$778
19 positions
First seen
2026-02-21
last 06-30 12:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
93% 66% +$519
Sports
4% 37% $-611
Crypto
1%
Politics
1% 100% +$15
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 247 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -321 $-300 95¢ $-304 $-4 06-01 17:42
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No -122 $-121 100¢ $-122 $-1 06-02 08:20
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No -115 $-111 98¢ $-112 $-1 06-01 20:15
Will Alcaraz or Sinner win more Grand Slams in 2026? Sinner -123 $-30 55¢ $-68 $-37 06-04 22:08
Trump out as President before 2027? No -24 $-21 92¢ $-22 $-1 06-02 09:06
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No -22 $-21 100¢ $-22 $-0 06-02 08:21
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -22 $-20 95¢ $-21 $-1 06-02 08:22
Trump out as President by June 30? No -21 $-21 100¢ $-21 $-0 06-02 08:22
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? Yes -21 $-15 98¢ $-20 $-6 06-02 08:21
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No -11 $-10 96¢ $-11 $-0 06-04 18:50
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -11 $-10 90¢ $-10 $-0 06-10 09:57
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -10 $-10 100¢ $-10 $-0 06-04 20:01
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? No -10 $-10 100¢ $-10 $-0 06-04 18:45
New pandemic in 2026? No -11 $-10 90¢ $-10 $-0 06-10 09:57
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -6 $-6 100¢ $-6 $-0 06-04 18:50
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? No -10 $-5 50¢ $-5 $-0 06-10 09:57
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -2 $-2 100¢ $-2 $-0 06-10 09:58
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 06-04 20:02
AI bubble burst in 2026? No -1 $-1 81¢ $-1 $-0 06-10 09:59