Realized P&L
-$77
Unrealized P&L
-$40
Hit rate
73.3%
Resolved
155
Trades
5,015
lifetime
Volume
$718.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$143
Open exposure
$959
17 positions
First seen
2026-02-21
last 06-09 22:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
93% 66% +$519
Sports
5% 37% $-611
Crypto
1%
Politics
1% 100% +$15
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 247 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -321 $-300 93¢ $-298 +$2 06-01 17:42
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No -122 $-121 99¢ $-121 $-0 06-02 08:20
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No -115 $-111 97¢ $-112 $-0 06-01 20:15
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup? Yes -104 $-101 98¢ $-102 $-1 06-02 08:20
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes -106 $-94 94¢ $-99 $-6 06-04 22:08
Will Alcaraz or Sinner win more Grand Slams in 2026? Sinner -123 $-30 50¢ $-62 $-31 06-04 22:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes -37 $-26 68¢ $-25 +$1 06-04 22:08
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No -22 $-21 99¢ $-22 $-0 06-02 08:21
Trump out as President before 2027? No -24 $-21 90¢ $-21 $-0 06-02 09:06
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -22 $-20 95¢ $-21 $-1 06-02 08:22
Trump out as President by June 30? No -21 $-21 99¢ $-21 $-0 06-02 08:22
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? Yes -21 $-15 86¢ $-18 $-3 06-02 08:21
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No -11 $-10 94¢ $-10 $-0 06-04 18:50
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -10 $-10 99¢ $-10 $-0 06-04 20:01
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? No -10 $-10 100¢ $-10 $-0 06-04 18:45
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -6 $-6 96¢ $-6 $-0 06-04 18:50
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 06-04 20:02