Fresh-Recognition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,369

lifetime

Volume

$5.90K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 06-07 17:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

41% 33% +$2

Crypto

32% — —

Sports

27% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
epl mun ast 2026 03 15 mun	7	$192	152	152	+0	open	—	03-15 15:18
epl wes mac 2026 03 14 mac	4	$86	108	67	+42	open	—	03-14 21:39
btc updown 5m 1773809100	1	$76	79	0	+79	open	—	03-18 04:49
btc updown 5m 1773814800	1	$75	77	0	+77	open	—	03-18 06:24
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	2	$71	47	46	+1	open	—	04-08 22:09
bun dor hsv 2026 03 21 dor	5	$66	53	53	+0	open	—	03-21 17:54
epl che new 2026 03 14 che	11	$53	72	31	+41	open	—	03-14 18:31
btc updown 5m 1772986200	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	03-08 16:16
crint ind nzl 2026 03 08	4	$39	94	94	+0	open	—	03-08 14:28
ucl ata1 bay1 2026 03 10 bay1	2	$35	60	0	+60	open	—	03-10 12:10
btc updown 5m 1772823900	4	$35	32	19	+13	open	—	03-06 19:10
btc updown 5m 1773629100	3	$32	33	0	+33	open	—	03-16 02:49
epl che mac 2026 04 12 mac	3	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	04-12 17:17
btc updown 5m 1772768100	2	$29	26	25	+0	open	—	03-06 03:39
btc updown 5m 1772766000	2	$28	53	52	+0	open	—	03-06 03:04
ucl bay1 ata1 2026 03 18 bay1	3	$27	24	14	+10	open	—	03-18 22:23
nba lal orl 2026 03 21	3	$27	17	17	+0	open	—	03-22 02:10
btc updown 5m 1772767500	2	$27	20	19	+0	open	—	03-06 03:29
epl eve che 2026 03 21 eve	3	$26	19	19	+0	open	—	03-21 19:21
epl che mun 2026 04 18 mun	3	$26	21	20	+0	open	—	04-18 23:05
ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 fcb1	2	$26	16	16	+0	open	—	03-18 22:22
ucl tot atm1 2026 03 18 atm1	2	$26	16	16	+0	open	—	03-18 22:23
epl bri liv 2026 03 21 btts	3	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	03-21 14:33
Spurs vs. Thunder	2	$25	58	0	+58	open	—	05-30 19:37
ucl spo1 bog1 2026 03 17 bog1	5	$25	101	48	+53	open	—	03-17 18:10
btc updown 5m 1772961300	3	$24	15	14	+0	open	—	03-08 09:20
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	8	$24	57	46	+12	open	—	03-16 02:23
nhl van col 2026 04 01	2	$24	23	23	+0	open	—	04-02 02:08
epl tot not 2026 03 22 tot	4	$23	45	12	+32	open	—	03-22 14:00
ucl tot atm1 2026 03 18 btts	3	$23	16	16	+0	open	—	03-18 22:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 17:14:15	will uruguay reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134496	Yes	BUY	12	21¢	$2	0x7380e0…
06-07 17:05:57	will portugal reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134507	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9f1648…
06-07 16:47:55	will netherlands reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134487	Yes	BUY	7	38¢	$2	0x904921…
06-07 16:44:15	will switzerland reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134472	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$2	0xdda35e…
06-07 16:44:03	will switzerland reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134472	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0x48ba50…
06-07 16:43:42	will switzerland reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134472	Yes	SELL	11	23¢	$3	0x73d804…
06-07 16:43:03	will japan reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134488	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x2e6f89…
06-07 16:42:01	will switzerland reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134472	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$2	0x6539c2…
06-07 16:41:55	will switzerland reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134472	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x845d83…
06-07 16:41:45	will morocco reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134476	Yes	BUY	12	21¢	$2	0xa575a5…
05-30 19:37:59	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xb874ae…
05-30 06:15:58	Spread: Thunder (-3.5)	Spurs	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xcf9a84…
05-30 06:15:51	Spread: Thunder (-2.5)	Spurs	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe538f5…
05-30 06:15:44	Spread: Spurs (-6.5)	Spurs	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x69b532…
05-30 06:15:39	Spread: Spurs (-9.5)	Spurs	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xfa249e…
05-30 06:15:30	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x5460c9…
05-30 06:07:18	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2a593d…
05-30 06:07:11	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xaae66d…
05-27 17:45:35	Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)	Crystal Palace FC	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x7d26eb…
05-27 17:43:10	Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x4f681e…
05-27 17:43:01	Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe840df…
05-23 17:32:00	Will Hull City achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x034521…
05-23 17:31:55	Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x015485…
05-23 16:02:33	Will Hull City achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x271244…
05-23 16:02:31	Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x63306c…
05-23 02:07:17	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	SELL	8	81¢	$7	0x2fd28d…
05-22 18:33:32	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xfea3de…
05-20 15:37:53	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5f86e9…
05-20 15:37:44	Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)	Aston Villa FC	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xab8b6b…
05-19 03:16:34	Spread: Thunder (-6.5)	Spurs	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x62647f…
05-18 16:00:03	Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xee2adf…
05-18 15:59:51	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Burnley FC	BUY	9	29¢	$2	0x42f16d…
05-18 15:58:46	Spread: Thunder (-6.5)	Spurs	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x191100…
05-18 15:57:52	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xb1a44c…
05-16 17:22:23	Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)	Canadiens	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xe2081e…
05-16 17:18:55	Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)	Canadiens	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0x0d0cb6…
05-16 17:18:14	Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)	Canadiens	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xe095d5…
05-16 17:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x01d0f0…
05-06 19:01:38	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x45772d…
05-05 15:52:24	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Club Atlético de Madrid	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x0ee894…
05-04 17:00:06	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xbb994c…
05-04 16:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xdeace2…
05-04 16:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x774016…
05-04 16:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xce1a3d…
05-04 16:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xf5aa28…
05-04 16:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8908e5…
05-04 16:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x24dcb1…
05-04 16:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2ec1ec…
05-04 16:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x73127a…
05-04 16:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5920a3…
05-04 16:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x5bafc0…
05-04 15:57:46	Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xafc946…
05-04 15:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xeedaa1…
05-04 15:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x0a13c7…
05-04 15:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xe1581b…
05-04 15:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x43e07a…
05-04 15:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x51d1f1…
04-28 08:12:00	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	BUY	7	38¢	$2	0xd54b1a…
04-28 08:08:38	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xbe354c…
04-28 08:08:22	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 0 FC Bayern München?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xebe7e2…
04-28 08:08:12	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 1 FC Bayern München?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x907543…
04-28 08:08:06	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 2 FC Bayern München?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x5d7613…
04-28 08:07:50	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x5430f1…
04-28 08:07:18	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 2 FC Bayern München?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xf8b296…
04-28 08:07:12	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 FC Bayern München?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7c6997…
04-28 08:07:06	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 1 FC Bayern München?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x97547b…
04-28 08:07:02	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 0 FC Bayern München?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x35b899…
04-27 23:02:00	Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 1 Brentford FC?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x9cd6be…
04-27 23:01:54	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x43ee13…
04-27 16:04:32	Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 3 Brentford FC?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x19d1f2…
04-27 16:04:20	Exact Score: Manchester United FC 3 - 2 Brentford FC?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x3905a4…
04-27 16:04:10	Exact Score: Manchester United FC 3 - 1 Brentford FC?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x25765d…
04-27 16:04:04	Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 2 Brentford FC?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x2f9023…
04-27 16:03:56	Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 1 Brentford FC?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x29e7fe…
04-27 16:03:42	Exact Score: Manchester United FC 1 - 2 Brentford FC?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xeef4bd…
04-27 16:03:34	Exact Score: Manchester United FC 1 - 1 Brentford FC?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x9567cd…
04-27 16:03:28	Exact Score: Manchester United FC 1 - 0 Brentford FC?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x65481c…
04-27 16:03:22	Exact Score: Manchester United FC 0 - 1 Brentford FC?	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x2e2886…
04-27 16:03:16	Exact Score: Manchester United FC 0 - 0 Brentford FC?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x783656…
04-27 16:03:10	Will Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$2	0xa2eb5d…
04-27 16:03:04	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x97fe41…
04-27 04:54:22	Oilers vs. Ducks	Ducks	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3fd0d1…
04-26 23:18:22	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xa82f7a…
04-26 23:17:20	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xe8e563…
04-26 23:14:08	Spread: Spurs (-4.5)	Spurs	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x1330db…
04-26 23:13:56	Exact Score: Villarreal CF 2 - 1 RC Celta de Vigo?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xc90f1a…
04-26 23:13:50	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x54a333…
04-26 17:03:10	Spread: Celtics (-6.5)	Celtics	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x0a15a8…
04-26 17:03:00	Spread: Spurs (-4.5)	Spurs	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xf4f2e9…
04-26 17:02:46	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x03541e…
04-26 17:02:40	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Cavaliers	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x8c36c5…
04-26 17:00:56	Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x3cfba4…
04-26 16:58:50	Will Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x6f9012…
04-26 16:55:14	Sabres vs. Bruins	Bruins	BUY	5	52¢	$2	0xb99e60…
04-26 16:55:14	Oilers vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xa69f4e…
04-26 16:52:38	Exact Score: Villarreal CF 3 - 0 RC Celta de Vigo?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3821ce…
04-26 16:52:22	Exact Score: Villarreal CF 2 - 2 RC Celta de Vigo?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xeae7ce…
04-26 16:51:56	Exact Score: Villarreal CF 3 - 2 RC Celta de Vigo?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xbaab1a…
04-26 16:51:32	Exact Score: Villarreal CF 1 - 0 RC Celta de Vigo?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x38ef0d…
04-26 16:50:30	Exact Score: Villarreal CF 1 - 1 RC Celta de Vigo?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe96987…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	492	$12.3M	53,874	05-31 02:41
Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea	478	$9.40M	96,574	05-30 17:57
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	468	$329.1K	5,051	06-09 14:02
(anonymous) 0x88f1…d3d0	445	$31.5K	1,359	05-16 17:14
Probable-Farrow 0x6814…a9e7	438	$2.75M	65,454	05-04 20:21
Outlying-Recall 0x01c7…e995	437	$2.06M	23,876	05-20 20:50
Scornful-West 0x6d3c…d294	433	$7.80M	81,574	05-31 00:00
Big-Hearted-Something 0xc291…5d74	428	$98.5K	5,960	05-31 00:00