Apt-Rediscovery — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

44.7%

Resolved

Trades

131

lifetime

Volume

$12.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$93

Open exposure

$24

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 06-21 19:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

41% 0% $-1

Other

31% 100% +$0

Crypto

14% — —

Politics

12% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+25	$24	96¢	$24	$-0	06-21 19:43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No		+0	$1	97¢	$0	$-1	06-20 14:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$909	468	468	+0	open	—	04-24 22:27
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	6	$674	349	349	+0	No	$-1	04-01 06:25
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	6	$595	311	311	+0	open	—	03-28 18:36
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	4	$548	284	284	+0	open	—	03-27 07:46
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$544	287	287	+0	Yes	+$0	03-27 13:01
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	4	$444	230	230	+0	open	—	04-12 13:41
Netanyahu out by April 30?	4	$382	197	197	+0	open	—	03-31 16:00
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	4	$365	188	188	+0	open	—	04-09 13:42
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$341	180	180	+0	open	—	03-12 15:35
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	3	$335	171	171	+0	open	—	03-16 23:27
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$332	171	171	+0	open	—	03-18 14:26
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	2	$322	165	165	+0	open	—	03-11 13:41
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$318	167	167	+0	open	—	03-15 18:07
will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	4	$315	163	163	-0	open	—	03-18 05:57
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$312	163	163	+0	open	—	03-17 16:44
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$309	165	165	+0	open	—	03-20 03:04
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	2	$298	153	153	+0	open	—	03-22 07:21
will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$291	151	151	+0	open	—	03-22 19:54
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$277	142	142	+0	open	—	03-24 23:27
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	2	$275	156	156	+0	open	—	03-24 01:55
will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$269	138	138	+0	open	—	03-27 19:51
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$262	135	135	+0	open	—	03-29 03:41
will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	2	$261	133	133	+0	open	—	03-24 14:04
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$259	133	133	+0	open	—	03-30 15:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	2	$256	131	131	+0	open	—	04-27 02:27
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	4	$214	116	116	+0	open	—	06-20 14:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	3	$174	60	119	-58	open	—	05-21 04:05
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$148	154	0	+154	open	—	03-21 16:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	3	$119	63	63	+0	open	—	04-27 13:18
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$119	62	62	+0	open	—	04-13 16:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 19:43:58	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x9d526e…
06-20 14:44:26	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	47	95¢	$45	0x3fcde3…
06-20 10:36:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	47	95¢	$45	0x076787…
06-19 21:49:53	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	59	95¢	$56	0x2ee2e3…
06-19 13:47:11	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	59	90¢	$54	0x5e52c1…
06-18 21:03:05	Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	57	96¢	$55	0x2f8227…
06-18 14:01:22	Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	57	97¢	$56	0x06a96e…
06-18 03:06:53	will sweden reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149732	No	SELL	54	93¢	$51	0xfb35e9…
06-17 22:04:14	will sweden reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149732	No	BUY	54	96¢	$52	0x8be429…
06-16 01:08:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	97¢	$46	0x2431d3…
06-15 20:04:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	97¢	$45	0x351fe8…
06-15 19:25:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x106a89…
06-11 12:09:01	Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	52	94¢	$49	0xb62c52…
06-11 04:03:40	Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	52	94¢	$49	0xeb6536…
06-10 06:34:39	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	52	90¢	$47	0xc02dc9…
06-10 01:26:13	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	52	91¢	$47	0x6ad9bc…
06-09 08:27:18	will sweden reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149732	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0xd4003f…
06-07 09:29:55	will sweden reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149732	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x632fb9…
06-07 01:15:30	will senegal reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149742	No	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0xa45812…
06-06 20:15:09	will senegal reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149742	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xd955d6…
06-05 21:42:03	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	49	94¢	$46	0x75414c…
06-05 13:40:19	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0xf52114…
06-05 12:59:57	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	SELL	49	97¢	$47	0x05856c…
06-05 05:41:43	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0xa4c037…
06-03 13:11:53	Will Roy Cooper announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	59	92¢	$54	0xb7d0a3…
06-03 08:50:04	Will Roy Cooper announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	59	94¢	$55	0x38aa40…
06-03 08:17:01	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	47	94¢	$44	0x05c241…
06-03 00:16:52	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	47	95¢	$45	0x2706ea…
05-28 20:40:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	68	90¢	$61	0x103108…
05-28 16:40:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	68	91¢	$62	0x0fcf36…
05-21 04:05:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	58	99¢	$58	0x2255fc…
05-20 19:22:28	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0xeb6e98…
05-20 11:21:25	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x169fb2…
05-18 15:49:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	58	91¢	$53	0xe94933…
05-18 09:49:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	58	93¢	$54	0xc05492…
05-15 21:23:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	60	97¢	$58	0x892b63…
05-15 15:22:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0x1fb1db…
04-28 02:23:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	SELL	46	97¢	$45	0x7f7701…
04-27 21:17:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0xdcdcd1…
04-27 13:18:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	63	94¢	$60	0x966f1f…
04-27 09:18:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x65a751…
04-27 09:16:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	13	94¢	$13	0xebf792…
04-27 02:27:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	SELL	131	99¢	$129	0x9a7f26…
04-25 07:28:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	131	97¢	$127	0x008c09…
04-24 22:27:04	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	128	97¢	$124	0x337fff…
04-24 16:25:26	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	128	97¢	$124	0x3f87a4…
04-14 23:16:22	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	45	95¢	$43	0x717f7d…
04-14 01:22:45	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0x8118a9…
04-14 01:06:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0xd8a726…
04-13 16:59:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	56	97¢	$54	0x76bbeb…
04-13 16:16:23	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	62	96¢	$59	0x0367b0…
04-13 08:32:37	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	62	96¢	$59	0x8515f9…
04-13 07:00:17	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	48	99¢	$47	0x4fc434…
04-12 22:19:27	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x65817c…
04-12 13:41:09	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	58	98¢	$56	0x829a09…
04-12 08:03:19	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	58	98¢	$56	0x42448a…
04-12 07:09:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	SELL	41	97¢	$40	0xecdc28…
04-12 00:02:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$41	0xabae1e…
04-11 23:46:03	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	49	98¢	$48	0x67dfcb…
04-11 17:28:43	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x03cca3…
04-09 13:42:07	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	52	97¢	$51	0x3f5510…
04-09 07:39:55	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$51	0x87a742…
04-01 06:25:59	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x9c3c91…
04-01 00:16:03	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x810356…
03-31 16:00:39	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	69	98¢	$67	0xc5e101…
03-31 07:29:09	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	69	98¢	$67	0x6cfffa…
03-30 15:52:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	133	97¢	$130	0x1a786b…
03-30 06:51:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	133	97¢	$129	0x6bb76b…
03-29 18:50:46	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	135	97¢	$132	0x550ac7…
03-29 12:17:06	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	135	97¢	$132	0x920328…
03-29 10:52:06	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	129	96¢	$124	0xb54452…
03-29 05:38:40	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	129	97¢	$124	0xf0e398…
03-29 03:41:46	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	135	97¢	$131	0x21fd98…
03-28 20:11:00	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	135	97¢	$131	0x885b7a…
03-28 18:36:25	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	144	96¢	$138	0x525dfe…
03-28 11:15:35	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0xb7a641…
03-28 11:11:49	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0x75bd2c…
03-28 11:09:09	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xe616ce…
03-27 19:51:01	will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	138	97¢	$134	0x5c2cf9…
03-27 14:11:03	will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	138	97¢	$134	0xfd2131…
03-27 13:01:47	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	137	95¢	$131	0xfc96b7…
03-27 08:51:47	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	137	95¢	$131	0xbcaab9…
03-27 07:46:59	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	144	96¢	$138	0xd88e12…
03-27 02:32:37	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	144	97¢	$140	0x330a87…
03-26 17:01:09	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	140	97¢	$135	0x7d73d1…
03-26 08:43:49	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	140	97¢	$135	0xea97b0…
03-24 23:27:59	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	142	98¢	$139	0xd044d9…
03-24 15:09:55	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	142	98¢	$139	0x663379…
03-24 14:04:35	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	No	SELL	133	98¢	$131	0x8d6c08…
03-24 05:27:07	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	No	BUY	133	98¢	$130	0x0a5a87…
03-24 01:55:39	Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	156	85¢	$132	0x117c3f…
03-23 15:38:29	Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	156	92¢	$144	0xe989a9…
03-23 10:41:11	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	150	94¢	$142	0x5382b9…
03-23 00:42:19	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	150	94¢	$141	0xd40b02…
03-22 19:54:15	will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	151	96¢	$145	0xad27d1…
03-22 15:31:11	will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	151	97¢	$146	0x9637c6…
03-22 14:51:39	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	155	96¢	$150	0x32b640…
03-22 09:01:27	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	155	97¢	$150	0xf8e41b…
03-22 07:21:37	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	SELL	153	98¢	$149	0x05ef16…
03-22 00:57:45	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	BUY	153	97¢	$148	0x93deef…