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Realized P&L (30d)
-$0
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (30d)
3
Trades (30d)
107
107 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$1.39K
$1.39K lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$996
30 positions
First seen
2026-11-09
last 11-10 20:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
58% 0% $0
Politics
30% — —
Sports
7% — —
Crypto
4% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 102 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +200 $140 70¢ $139 -$1 11-10 19:56
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +100 $98 98¢ $98 +$0 11-10 20:03
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? Yes +100 $92 90¢ $90 -$2 11-10 20:02
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +200 $62 30¢ $61 -$1 11-10 19:56
Will Russia enter Moskovka by December 31? Yes +50 $49 99¢ $49 +$1 11-10 20:00
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by November 30, 2026? No +50 $48 97¢ $48 +$0 11-10 19:58
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +50 $40 86¢ $43 +$3 11-10 19:57
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +50 $42 84¢ $42 +$0 11-10 20:15
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 14? No +40 $38 99¢ $40 +$1 11-10 20:00
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +50 $33 70¢ $35 +$2 11-10 20:07
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? No +50 $41 59¢ $30 -$12 11-10 20:11
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +30 $29 96¢ $29 $0 11-10 04:26
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? Yes +50 $9 41¢ $20 +$11 11-10 20:11
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 21? No +20 $19 98¢ $20 +$1 11-10 20:01
Will PP win the Spanish election by 36+ seats over PSOE? No +20 $19 94¢ $19 $0 11-10 20:01
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $18 92¢ $18 $0 11-10 20:10
Will Alice Huang be arrested by March 31, 2027? No +20 $17 92¢ $18 +$1 11-10 04:29
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026? No +20 $16 90¢ $18 +$2 11-10 20:17
Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? Yes +20 $18 90¢ $18 +$0 11-10 19:36
Will the Republicans win Minnesota in the 2028 Presidential Election? No +20 $17 84¢ $17 $0 11-10 19:57
Will Trump pardon anyone by December 31? Yes +20 $16 82¢ $16 +$1 11-10 04:28
will young forever be played at the 2027 big game halftime show No +20 $15 81¢ $16 +$1 11-10 04:41
Will Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? No +20 $16 80¢ $16 $0 11-10 19:55
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.4% and 2.6%? No +20 $10 76¢ $15 +$5 11-10 04:23
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +50 $17 30¢ $15 -$2 11-10 20:07
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? Yes +20 $15 72¢ $14 $0 11-10 04:27
Will the Republicans win Michigan in the 2028 Presidential Election? No +20 $14 70¢ $14 $0 11-10 20:15
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? No +20 $14 67¢ $13 $0 11-10 20:02
desantiss republican nomination odds hit 20 by december 31 No +18 $9 67¢ $12 +$3 11-10 04:27
Will Trump insult Hegseth by December 31? No +13 $11 92¢ $12 +$1 11-10 19:37