Alive-Opposition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

88.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$8.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$154

Open exposure

$136

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-09 07:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

46% 96% -$22

Crypto

27% 100% +$5

Politics

15% 100% +$10

Tech

12% 50% -$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No		+84	$80	97¢	$82	+$2	10-09 07:35
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		-55	-$53	99¢	$-54	-$1	08-15 06:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$878	458	458	+0	No	-$22	02-07 06:57
will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$499	500	0	+500	No	+$1	02-07 06:59
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	1	$425	427	0	+427	No	+$2	03-05 10:34
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 40 59	1	$275	275	0	+275	No	+$0	03-05 10:36
Will Zelenskyy post 140-159 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$240	241	0	+241	No	+$1	05-11 10:31
xrp above 1pt6 on june 11 2026	1	$230	230	0	+230	No	+$0	06-10 06:42
will solana reach 200 january 5 11	1	$230	230	0	+230	No	+$0	01-09 07:03
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	1	$229	230	0	+230	No	+$1	04-10 13:02
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$225	226	0	+226	No	+$1	05-17 13:22
Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates in May?	1	$225	225	0	+225	No	+$0	05-30 13:15
khamenei of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 25 29	1	$222	223	0	+223	No	+$1	04-18 05:24
khamenei of tweets april 3 april 10 2026 35 39	1	$200	201	0	+201	No	+$1	04-10 13:06
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	1	$195	196	0	+196	No	+$1	01-09 07:02
Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.70 on June 24?	1	$190	190	0	+190	No	+$0	06-22 06:22
Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.60 on June 11?	1	$185	185	0	+185	No	+$0	06-10 06:42
will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$185	186	0	+186	No	+$1	01-09 07:04
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$180	180	0	+180	No	+$0	05-11 10:27
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$180	181	0	+181	No	+$1	01-09 07:04
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	1	$167	167	0	+167	No	+$0	06-10 06:38
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 60 79	1	$165	165	0	+165	No	+$0	03-26 11:27
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$165	165	0	+165	No	+$0	04-23 05:20
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	1	$160	160	0	+160	No	+$0	01-17 03:46
Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	1	$153	153	0	+153	No	+$0	04-10 13:04
will zai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$150	150	0	+150	No	+$0	02-04 12:54
Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$150	150	0	+150	No	+$0	05-25 09:46
bitcoin above 68k on april 10	1	$140	140	0	+140	Yes	+$0	04-10 13:03
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	1	$140	141	0	+141	No	+$1	09-14 06:07
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	1	$132	132	0	+132	No	+$0	05-17 13:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$131	71	71	+0	No	+$1	05-28 05:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	1	$129	130	0	+130	No	+$1	05-11 10:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 07:35:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	115	98¢	$113	0xfe141f…
10-09 07:35:15	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	84	95¢	$80	0x76f7a5…
09-14 06:08:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	55	99¢	$55	0x30406b…
09-14 06:07:52	Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	141	100¢	$140	0x4ad09e…
08-15 06:55:21	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3c3aa6…
08-15 06:51:30	will trump meet with xi jinping in august 2026 20260731154202610	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x20d398…
08-15 06:48:30	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	55	96¢	$53	0xcc93a6…
07-17 07:21:16	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x32e282…
07-17 07:19:40	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xe1ac7c…
06-22 06:23:16	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x3557ff…
06-22 06:22:14	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.70 on June 24?	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0x69ff22…
06-10 06:42:51	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.60 on June 11?	No	BUY	185	100¢	$185	0xd04b5f…
06-10 06:42:00	xrp above 1pt6 on june 11 2026	No	BUY	230	100¢	$230	0x71d05c…
06-10 06:38:40	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0x39704a…
05-30 13:15:42	Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates in May?	No	BUY	225	100¢	$225	0xa7d4b1…
05-28 05:24:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	71	94¢	$66	0xe6013b…
05-25 09:46:52	Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x4832ef…
05-18 05:18:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x77c267…
05-17 13:25:32	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x99bd23…
05-17 13:23:33	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	123	98¢	$121	0x737fd8…
05-17 13:22:28	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	226	100¢	$225	0x617274…
05-17 13:21:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	71	92¢	$65	0xd6a1cb…
05-17 13:20:50	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x715a9e…
05-11 10:31:15	Will Zelenskyy post 140-159 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	241	100¢	$240	0xc20683…
05-11 10:27:08	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0xed5ae6…
05-11 10:26:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0x9a7cb4…
05-11 10:25:18	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x31bf84…
05-11 10:19:25	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x85302a…
05-11 10:18:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0x80779d…
04-23 05:20:16	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x4f257b…
04-23 05:18:44	khamenei of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 40 44	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x7ff3ff…
04-18 05:24:32	khamenei of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 25 29	No	BUY	223	99¢	$222	0x86a750…
04-10 13:06:23	khamenei of tweets april 3 april 10 2026 35 39	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0xde2edb…
04-10 13:04:39	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	BUY	153	100¢	$153	0x0a43e8…
04-10 13:03:53	bitcoin above 68k on april 10	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x3e08a6…
04-10 13:02:59	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	230	100¢	$229	0xd3d6d3…
03-26 11:28:25	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x54e9b3…
03-26 11:27:37	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 60 79	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0xfde7fa…
03-05 10:36:43	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 40 59	No	BUY	275	100¢	$275	0x65c22d…
03-05 10:34:27	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	427	100¢	$425	0x462e46…
02-07 06:59:03	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x2626ca…
02-07 06:57:43	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	458	93¢	$428	0x8fa93d…
02-07 06:56:35	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	46	19¢	$9	0x0038a8…
02-04 12:55:50	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xb1269c…
02-04 12:55:26	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	46	92¢	$42	0xbc0aa4…
02-04 12:55:02	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	458	98¢	$450	0xf26175…
02-04 12:54:26	will zai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x827b49…
01-23 03:31:20	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 560 579	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x8cc1d0…
01-17 03:46:50	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0x454bd7…
01-17 03:39:26	will bnb reach 1300 in january	No	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0x9210d1…
01-09 07:05:16	israel strikes iran by january 9 2026	No	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0x42f830…
01-09 07:04:42	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	181	99¢	$180	0x5b3d03…
01-09 07:04:12	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	186	100¢	$185	0xd10f01…
01-09 07:03:28	will solana reach 200 january 5 11	No	BUY	230	100¢	$230	0x5803b6…
01-09 07:02:58	will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	No	BUY	196	100¢	$195	0x270bb0…