Intelligent-Slide — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$85

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.6%

Resolved

116

Trades

173

lifetime

Volume

$27.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$161

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-07

last 11-02 12:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 74 days

Categories

Other

50% 98% -$3

Crypto

37% 97% +$25

Politics

8% 89% -$124

Tech

2% 100% +$15

Sports

2% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 200 219	2	$1.7K	854	854	+0	No	+$3	04-09 08:59
will bitcoin reach 90k february 2 8	1	$869	870	0	+870	No	+$1	02-07 14:04
will xrp reach 1pt45 on april 10	1	$859	860	0	+860	No	+$1	04-11 00:03
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 280 299	2	$856	429	429	+0	No	+$0	03-09 17:28
donald trump of truth social posts april 3 april 10 140 159	1	$855	858	0	+858	No	+$3	04-09 09:04
ethereum above 2300 on march 3	1	$852	853	0	+853	No	+$1	03-03 07:18
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 160 179	1	$837	838	0	+838	No	+$1	04-07 13:11
bitcoin above 82k on february 8	2	$809	406	406	+0	No	+$0	02-07 12:15
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 1	1	$745	746	0	+746	No	+$1	03-01 10:46
will ethereum reach 3200 in february 2026	1	$711	714	0	+714	No	+$3	02-22 14:18
will solana reach 120 february 9 15	3	$710	712	0	+712	No	+$2	02-15 07:45
nvda above 140 on february 13 2026	2	$703	705	0	+705	Yes	+$2	02-10 06:09
lol gen jdg 2026 03 17 game1	3	$684	400	400	+0	Gen.G	+$76	03-17 13:28
lol fox1 tsw 2026 03 18	5	$668	350	350	+0	BNK FEARX	+$24	03-18 16:36
Gemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026?	6	$650	330	330	+0	No	+$10	05-08 03:40
Thunder vs. Lakers	8	$596	300	300	+0	Thunder	+$2	05-10 02:42
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	2	$465	300	300	+0	Yes	+$9	04-07 10:33
will tsla reach 533 in march	1	$441	450	0	+450	No	+$9	03-04 08:35
nvda above 215 on march 6 2026	1	$397	398	0	+398	No	+$1	03-04 07:33
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on february 9	1	$394	394	0	+394	No	+$0	02-09 09:13
Will Amazon reach $296 in April?	2	$365	371	0	+371	No	+$6	04-13 10:08
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$339	342	0	+342	No	+$3	05-23 10:44
Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.90 on May 22?	1	$338	339	0	+339	No	+$1	05-20 10:24
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$337	338	0	+338	No	+$1	05-17 17:19
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$334	335	0	+335	No	+$1	05-16 11:21
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	3	$314	318	0	+318	No	+$4	04-14 05:45
putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	3	$306	206	103	+103	No	+$1	08-22 07:16
will xrp reach 2pt1 march 9 15	1	$300	303	0	+303	No	+$3	03-10 06:42
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 200 219	2	$299	300	0	+300	No	+$1	02-09 07:58
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 0 39	1	$294	300	0	+300	No	+$6	03-16 07:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 12:22:48	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 2 – Nov 6?	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0x851bf5…
11-02 12:22:16	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$110 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 2 – Nov 6?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x8580c6…
11-02 12:22:00	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$20 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 2 – Nov 6?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x6f5a3b…
10-21 06:35:45	Kash Patel out by October 31?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$11	0x8bf460…
10-21 06:35:17	Kash Patel out by October 31?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x8e8b29…
10-20 06:58:49	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0x3de8f3…
10-19 10:15:59	Kash Patel out by October 31?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0xbcab18…
10-19 10:03:29	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in October?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0xe77c4c…
10-14 11:16:50	will ng dip to 2 60 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xb3cf87…
10-14 10:59:19	will ng dip to 2 50 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xf3a48d…
10-12 09:42:26	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5d6d15…
10-12 09:41:05	Will Ted Cruz post 20-39 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1c6dd4…
10-11 15:10:25	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x623198…
10-11 15:08:57	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0xe9e488…
10-07 12:39:01	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xd1b68b…
10-07 12:36:04	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.75 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2e91f7…
10-07 12:33:58	Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4ee46f…
10-07 12:32:49	Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0x9ef721…
09-26 01:58:29	Will Solana reach $190 in September?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x121730…
09-26 01:56:30	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	99¢	$102	0x339df4…
09-19 14:45:17	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$30 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 21 – Sep 25?	No	BUY	206	100¢	$206	0xad2500…
09-14 09:05:09	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x7a4698…
09-14 09:03:42	Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0x713e0a…
09-07 06:55:45	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf95e7d…
09-07 06:55:21	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of September 7 above $6.00?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf8a836…
09-07 06:54:42	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of September 7 above $130?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x39fd7c…
09-02 08:01:33	Will Solana dip to $40 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x945c6d…
09-02 08:01:00	Will XRP dip to $0.80 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2dbd1d…
08-22 07:17:10	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x66543c…
08-22 07:16:42	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x620f3c…
08-18 06:21:00	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $110-$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 17 – Aug 21?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xe7a758…
08-18 06:18:49	open above 0pt5 on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8b8f29…
08-09 01:47:06	nflx above 130 on august 14 2026	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xbfc055…
08-09 01:46:24	open above 0pt5 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x3f5088…
08-05 06:45:29	solana above 120 on august 8 2026	No	BUY	206	100¢	$206	0xf468cd…
08-04 18:42:56	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0x58d8b1…
08-02 13:42:27	Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x9384b9…
07-25 09:53:00	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	103	99¢	$102	0x24c260…
07-25 09:51:54	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x7e28c6…
07-22 02:48:55	will ng reach 3 50 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9f66e9…
07-22 02:48:19	open above 2pt5 on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x64a0b3…
07-18 10:27:01	xrp above 1pt6 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0f8c73…
07-18 10:26:22	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.50 on July 20?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x638086…
07-16 04:38:47	will open reach 6 50 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd5b5ab…
07-16 04:37:47	will wti reach 105 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xf0572b…
07-12 08:13:35	Will the price of Solana be less than $30 on July 15?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc5450e…
07-12 08:13:14	Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on July 15?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x9e0c9b…
07-12 08:12:25	solana above 30 on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xb01c1b…
07-05 23:56:43	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	SELL	37	17¢	$6	0x97a56f…
07-05 23:49:14	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	SELL	135	18¢	$24	0xd52e77…
07-04 22:52:29	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x99ce59…
07-04 22:50:10	will wti reach 100 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x82bd2b…
07-04 22:48:59	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	172	99¢	$170	0x869ea2…
06-27 02:17:13	will wti reach 95 in june 2026 from june 10	No	BUY	192	99¢	$190	0x043a90…
06-21 23:17:16	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $2.00-$3.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?	No	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0x85396e…
06-21 23:16:41	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $2.00-$3.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x78c39a…
06-21 23:15:56	open above 7pt5 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1442b7…
06-19 08:12:38	will xrp reach 2 in june 2026	No	BUY	157	99¢	$155	0x8cae25…
06-17 08:22:43	will ng dip to 2 50 by june 15 2026	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0x52e1b5…
06-17 06:07:22	Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	56	96¢	$54	0x4a62ef…
06-16 19:32:59	will xrp reach 2 in june 2026	No	BUY	16	99¢	$15	0xd3416b…
06-16 18:20:22	Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	82	96¢	$79	0xd09c6a…
06-13 07:05:15	xrp above 1pt5 on june 14 2026	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x077a9f…
06-12 08:50:21	xrp above 1pt5 on june 13 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc55387…
06-08 12:06:33	xrp above 1pt7 on june 11 2026	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xef3c88…
06-08 11:15:15	Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	139	96¢	$133	0x45ecaf…
06-08 08:07:27	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x30e07a…
06-08 05:56:19	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcdfde8…
06-08 05:38:25	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7bb540…
06-08 04:52:07	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	79	99¢	$78	0xc59312…
06-04 09:55:51	nvda above 245 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x65434a…
06-03 15:39:55	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 1 and June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	99	94¢	$93	0xeaa15b…
06-02 14:57:59	GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x627595…
06-02 14:56:40	GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	99	94¢	$93	0xe77e74…
06-02 12:28:34	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	89	96¢	$86	0x78a935…
06-02 12:17:23	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$6	0xa4009a…
06-02 12:15:12	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x47e5c7…
06-02 12:12:08	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	118	96¢	$114	0x923a69…
05-26 08:22:37	Will Ethena reach $0.24 in May?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x945c74…
05-26 08:21:51	Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x4e196f…
05-26 08:21:23	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0x04c7e6…
05-23 10:44:40	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	342	99¢	$339	0x1aaf8a…
05-20 10:24:03	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.90 on May 22?	No	BUY	339	100¢	$338	0x77ac10…
05-17 17:19:34	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	338	100¢	$337	0x47e5f5…
05-16 11:21:41	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	335	100¢	$334	0x6fe908…
05-11 11:31:15	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $92.50 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	89	99¢	$88	0x9e3d9a…
05-10 02:45:49	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of May 11 – May 15?	No	BUY	247	100¢	$247	0xe8481a…
05-10 02:42:42	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	SELL	300	100¢	$299	0x66e901…
05-10 02:41:22	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xd13637…
05-10 02:41:22	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xb82a84…
05-10 02:41:20	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfeacf8…
05-10 02:41:20	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe186b3…
05-10 02:41:20	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0x9644bf…
05-10 02:41:20	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x532d9f…
05-10 02:41:16	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	68	99¢	$68	0x6e45e9…
05-08 03:40:45	Gemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	254	100¢	$253	0x040b02…
05-08 00:15:32	Gemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x3eb492…
05-07 23:52:33	Gemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x69ed19…
05-07 22:52:39	Gemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xd44bc8…
05-07 20:33:22	Gemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xaee6a0…