Alarming-Brochure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$45

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

124

Trades

191

lifetime

Volume

$34.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$179

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 06-30 03:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Other

95% 99% +$42

Crypto

3% 100% +$2

Sports

2% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-30).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 30?	2	$1.0K	1,041	0	+1,041	No	+$1	06-30 03:28
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 3?	1	$1.0K	1,032	0	+1,032	No	+$1	06-03 06:08
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 2?	1	$1.0K	1,031	0	+1,031	Yes	+$2	06-02 09:17
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on May 28?	1	$1.0K	1,020	0	+1,020	Yes	+$1	05-28 05:02
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 28?	2	$1.0K	1,009	0	+1,009	No	+$1	06-28 04:31
Will CZ post 60-79 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$1.0K	1,009	0	+1,009	No	+$2	05-05 08:54
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 29?	2	$1.0K	1,006	0	+1,006	No	+$2	04-29 09:19
ted cruz of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 160 179	1	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$1	04-24 16:05
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 5?	2	$954	955	0	+955	No	+$1	06-05 07:19
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C or below on June 29?	1	$901	902	0	+902	No	+$1	06-29 03:40
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 29?	6	$739	740	0	+740	No	+$1	05-29 07:34
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 8?	1	$737	738	0	+738	No	+$1	05-08 07:17
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 27?	9	$736	737	0	+737	No	+$1	06-27 03:47
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 1?	1	$734	735	0	+735	No	+$1	06-01 06:23
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	2	$722	723	0	+723	No	+$1	05-15 15:55
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on May 31?	1	$654	654	0	+654	Yes	+$1	05-31 11:27
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 4?	1	$632	633	0	+633	No	+$1	06-04 06:29
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	2	$600	601	0	+601	Knicks	+$1	05-26 02:00
Will Khamenei post 45-49 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$500	500	0	+500	No	+$1	04-28 14:22
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?	2	$488	488	0	+488	Yes	+$0	05-13 09:31
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 3?	2	$483	484	0	+484	No	+$1	05-03 12:20
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 30?	4	$452	453	0	+453	No	+$1	05-30 11:53
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	6	$399	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-16 09:11
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 30?	1	$391	392	0	+392	Yes	+$0	05-30 11:27
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 22?	1	$367	367	0	+367	No	+$0	05-22 06:37
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C or higher on May 10?	2	$357	358	0	+358	No	+$1	05-10 07:11
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 7?	2	$354	355	0	+355	Yes	+$0	05-07 09:36
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 22?	2	$333	334	0	+334	No	+$0	06-22 08:08
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 22?	2	$319	320	0	+320	Yes	+$0	06-22 08:12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on June 16?	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	06-16 06:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 03:28:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 30?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x35b212…
06-30 03:11:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 30?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x369154…
06-29 03:41:44	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 29?	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x255cdc…
06-29 03:40:38	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C or below on June 29?	No	BUY	902	100¢	$901	0x6e70ba…
06-28 04:32:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C or higher on June 28?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xcc3d46…
06-28 04:31:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 28?	No	BUY	709	100¢	$708	0xa8dbc3…
06-28 04:30:53	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 28?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x596871…
06-27 03:54:01	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 27?	Yes	BUY	189	100¢	$188	0xd75c19…
06-27 03:51:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on June 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x30c1fd…
06-27 03:47:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 27?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x09ada3…
06-27 03:43:26	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x49efed…
06-27 03:43:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on June 27?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xb9645b…
06-27 03:43:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x58715f…
06-27 03:42:08	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4cd4b1…
06-27 03:41:02	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 27?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x191696…
06-27 03:40:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2fa93f…
06-27 03:40:44	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbe752b…
06-27 03:40:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 27?	No	BUY	537	100¢	$536	0x6cf312…
06-25 09:25:08	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 25?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x595ad0…
06-25 09:22:23	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 25?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x6a2c87…
06-25 09:21:35	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 25?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x22e59e…
06-24 06:56:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 40°C or higher on June 24?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x8ceb25…
06-24 06:54:56	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 24?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x6dda53…
06-24 06:54:05	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 24?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x208a5f…
06-24 06:53:29	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on June 24?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x7ab535…
06-24 06:47:23	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 24?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa8ad3d…
06-24 06:39:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 24?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x8e9e52…
06-24 06:38:23	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on June 24?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x70ab34…
06-24 06:18:44	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 24?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xdb1f10…
06-24 06:18:44	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 24?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x4c77f1…
06-24 06:18:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 24?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x9382e9…
06-23 23:56:22	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x663b3e…
06-22 08:12:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$119	0x168a57…
06-22 08:12:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x25ca86…
06-22 08:11:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 22?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x51800c…
06-22 08:08:56	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 22?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc186fa…
06-22 08:08:47	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 22?	No	BUY	324	100¢	$323	0x884ab3…
06-22 07:56:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 22?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x93b84b…
06-22 06:37:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 22?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x81558f…
06-22 06:37:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 22?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6da845…
06-22 06:36:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 22?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdc99f9…
06-22 06:36:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 22?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x838076…
06-22 06:35:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 22?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x9b9a3c…
06-22 06:35:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 22?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5bda5d…
06-22 06:35:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 22?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x26df83…
06-22 06:34:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 22?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9a49e9…
06-22 06:32:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or higher on June 22?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x1514fa…
06-18 13:27:20	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xe089e8…
06-16 06:10:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 16?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x2e57d6…
06-16 06:10:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on June 16?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x33bf2e…
06-05 07:20:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on June 5?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x8195aa…
06-05 07:19:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 5?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xb2c993…
06-05 07:19:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 5?	No	BUY	921	100¢	$920	0x235ae0…
06-04 07:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 4?	No	BUY	193	100¢	$193	0x399be8…
06-04 06:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 4?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x109f2a…
06-04 06:29:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 4?	No	BUY	633	100¢	$632	0x3a508f…
06-04 06:28:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 4?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x3cad3f…
06-03 06:08:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 3?	No	BUY	1,032	100¢	$1,030	0x8c8617…
06-02 09:17:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 2?	Yes	BUY	1,031	100¢	$1,028	0x6ee456…
06-01 06:24:41	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C or higher on June 1?	No	BUY	179	100¢	$179	0x03de0d…
06-01 06:23:26	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 1?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xba04da…
06-01 06:23:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 1?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x7e3cdf…
06-01 06:23:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 1?	No	BUY	735	100¢	$734	0xa32c2c…
05-31 11:27:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	654	100¢	$654	0xffd59c…
05-31 11:24:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x576f54…
05-31 11:24:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 31?	No	BUY	295	100¢	$295	0x5c5c4f…
05-30 11:53:48	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 30?	No	BUY	320	100¢	$320	0x86de2e…
05-30 11:45:43	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfa8955…
05-30 11:44:26	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 30?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x4778de…
05-30 11:30:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 30?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xa8095f…
05-30 11:30:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 30?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xf0b0e9…
05-30 11:28:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x9a75cf…
05-30 11:27:59	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	392	100¢	$391	0x929af2…
05-29 08:31:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on May 29?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x06f485…
05-29 07:52:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on May 29?	No	BUY	182	100¢	$182	0x283f3b…
05-29 07:34:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 29?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xecfcb1…
05-29 07:29:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	41	90¢	$37	0x767680…
05-29 07:28:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 29?	No	BUY	290	100¢	$289	0x090d26…
05-29 07:27:05	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 29?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x44aaa1…
05-29 07:25:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 29?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xe475cc…
05-29 07:25:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 29?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x4440d6…
05-28 05:02:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on May 28?	Yes	BUY	1,020	100¢	$1,019	0x127012…
05-27 06:58:33	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on May 27?	No	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0x24de2c…
05-27 06:58:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C or higher on May 27?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xab6e48…
05-27 06:57:25	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on May 27?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x8aa01c…
05-27 06:56:59	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 27?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xba9727…
05-27 06:56:50	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 27?	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x278451…
05-27 06:56:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on May 27?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xb00d9e…
05-27 06:55:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on May 27?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x8c5acf…
05-27 06:55:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xe2411c…
05-26 02:13:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 26?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xb063f6…
05-26 02:12:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 26?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x68a486…
05-26 02:11:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 26?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x093a90…
05-26 02:11:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 26?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xab8274…
05-26 02:10:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 26?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4116ad…
05-26 02:00:23	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x240e2d…
05-26 01:59:08	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x1e5b10…
05-25 05:46:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on May 25?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5cdf67…
05-25 05:42:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 25?	No	SELL	38	42¢	$16	0x0a3417…
05-25 04:21:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on May 25?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xf0b4c6…