Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 8?
open
Total volume
$884
$2,099 in 24h
Trades
30
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$1,093
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-08 09:10
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $506 | $506 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $1 | $73 | $72 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | — | $465 | $465 |
| Median | 6 | — | $61 | $61 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $0 | $11 | $11 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $0 | $30 | $29 |
| unranked | 2 | — | $10 | $10 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | +467 | $465 | $465 | 2 | 05-07 23:56 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +86 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-07 23:51 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-08 07:38 |
| Shameful-Boxer 0xb8da…9d35 | No | +18 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-07 23:51 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-08 07:03 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-08 07:35 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-08 07:35 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-08 06:30 |
| Austere-Analysis 0x1bec…999c | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-06 05:24 |
| Villainous-Method 0xa633…7460 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-08 07:43 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-08 05:58 |
| Grim-Advice 0x5e5e…fd52 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 07:24 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | Yes | +4 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-07 18:01 |
| Absolute-Snake 0x3c68…daa6 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 00:20 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 09:10:38 | Peppery-Pyridine 0x1468…817e | No | SELL | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x30dee4… |
| 05-08 08:25:25 | Milky-Payment 0x8bbc…1d9e | No | SELL | 164 | 100¢ | $164 | 0xf18194… |
| 05-08 08:25:13 | Milky-Payment 0x8bbc…1d9e | No | SELL | 27 | 100¢ | $27 | 0xb286d9… |
| 05-08 08:24:45 | Milky-Payment 0x8bbc…1d9e | No | SELL | 31 | 100¢ | $31 | 0x7520a7… |
| 05-08 08:24:40 | Milky-Payment 0x8bbc…1d9e | No | SELL | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0x8a46eb… |
| 05-08 08:00:48 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x7bf629… |
| 05-08 08:00:31 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x00e5aa… |
| 05-08 08:00:13 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xfdee4f… |
| 05-08 07:43:53 | Villainous-Method 0xa633…7460 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xdb2829… |
| 05-08 07:38:12 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7d4b21… |
| 05-08 07:38:05 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd4b8fe… |
| 05-08 07:38:05 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa8c8ac… |
| 05-08 07:38:05 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x0f2dd0… |
| 05-08 07:35:20 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7d280d… |
| 05-08 07:35:20 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb3715c… |
| 05-08 07:24:38 | Grim-Advice 0x5e5e…fd52 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x6d0d14… |
| 05-08 07:03:05 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x0825f0… |
| 05-08 06:30:18 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x1c095d… |
| 05-08 05:58:16 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa57668… |
| 05-08 00:20:12 | Absolute-Snake 0x3c68…daa6 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x4649ff… |
| 05-07 23:56:38 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | BUY | 440 | 100¢ | $438 | 0x528760… |
| 05-07 23:51:42 | Shameful-Boxer 0xb8da…9d35 | No | BUY | 18 | 99¢ | $17 | 0x3a5f3e… |
| 05-07 23:51:39 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 86 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x30a714… |
| 05-07 18:01:02 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd7f97f… |
| 05-07 16:12:01 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | BUY | 27 | 100¢ | $27 | 0xd92b79… |
| 05-07 15:06:20 | Jagged-Coverage 0x31dc…ce99 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x249696… |
| 05-07 08:28:03 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xb5440e… |
| 05-07 08:09:18 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xd9bcaa… |
| 05-07 05:08:04 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x659a6d… |
| 05-06 05:24:38 | Austere-Analysis 0x1bec…999c | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x708cde… |