Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

64.2%

Resolved

149

Trades

199

lifetime

Volume

$319

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$12

2 positions

First seen

2026-08-31

last 10-23 05:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 32% +$4

Other

7% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		-12	-$12	98¢	$-12	$0	09-30 04:49
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes		-12	$0	2¢	$-0	+$0	09-30 04:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$12	0	24	-24	open	—	09-30 04:49
Fed rate hike in 2026?	2	$10	0	20	-20	Yes	$0	08-31 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-10 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-18 04:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-14 16:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:45 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-14 14:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-11 13:30 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-11 13:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-17 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-12 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-21 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-12 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-20 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-12 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-22 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-09 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-11 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-18 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-21 01:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-15 02:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-09 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-09 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-16 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-08 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-09 16:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-14 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-20 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-15 10:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-23 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-20 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-23 01:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 05:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x176365…
10-23 04:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x130a2d…
10-23 03:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x58103f…
10-23 01:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x928caf…
10-23 01:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2e9e22…
10-23 01:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa1b0f0…
10-23 01:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc5a208…
10-22 22:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x4a2766…
10-22 20:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4964e6…
10-22 19:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x13a6f2…
10-22 18:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x380e7e…
10-22 18:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd3b61e…
10-22 18:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb12b31…
10-22 14:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf7e770…
10-22 14:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x54626a…
10-22 13:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x8ec1aa…
10-22 12:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x78d16f…
10-22 11:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xcb6861…
10-22 09:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb0e760…
10-22 07:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x277aa3…
10-22 05:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7b4c18…
10-22 05:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x41fd21…
10-22 04:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xfdb639…
10-22 04:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe7ed44…
10-22 02:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf7774d…
10-22 01:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x2c482e…
10-22 00:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x596a70…
10-21 23:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x2a8e36…
10-21 22:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa32c8c…
10-21 19:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xea5869…
10-21 15:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xafc043…
10-21 14:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x1ad99e…
10-21 11:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0c703f…
10-21 11:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x093742…
10-21 11:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4dbdba…
10-21 09:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x1566d6…
10-21 08:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xfc99c4…
10-21 08:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x7b2eaf…
10-21 07:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7278ea…
10-21 06:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x4eec8b…
10-21 06:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xeca506…
10-21 05:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x82f76a…
10-21 05:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xeaf8e4…
10-21 04:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x4ce21a…
10-21 01:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xec7180…
10-21 01:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc156ea…
10-21 00:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xd88e59…
10-21 00:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x839325…
10-21 00:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc08c7e…
10-20 19:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x5af284…
10-20 15:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x8c08c8…
10-20 09:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x74298b…
10-20 07:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xbea6af…
10-20 04:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x6bfb76…
10-20 04:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4e7a5f…
10-20 04:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x0d2063…
10-20 04:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x930442…
10-20 04:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe0cf51…
10-20 00:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x76776e…
10-20 00:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x913963…
10-19 23:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe984e6…
10-19 21:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb428bb…
10-19 19:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7edb03…
10-19 14:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x2d3ada…
10-19 13:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf6725d…
10-19 13:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3a9e61…
10-19 09:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb36655…
10-19 07:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x25edf0…
10-19 06:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe90999…
10-18 18:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x14e732…
10-18 18:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xfe6651…
10-18 15:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x35018b…
10-18 12:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd82974…
10-18 09:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xbe20a0…
10-18 09:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb8a38d…
10-18 07:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x5309b8…
10-18 04:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x6456f9…
10-18 03:48:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x7682ce…
10-18 02:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x82c79c…
10-18 02:04:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x745fc2…
10-18 01:05:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xee97d3…
10-17 23:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x7bf5f2…
10-17 21:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x869053…
10-17 21:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x129a56…
10-17 19:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x4e57fe…
10-17 19:10:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb25825…
10-17 18:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd25d57…
10-17 17:20:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x742116…
10-17 14:57:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x967b9d…
10-17 13:14:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x827265…
10-17 13:07:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x1a7271…
10-17 12:55:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x10e557…
10-17 11:59:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd067ce…
10-17 11:54:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9de882…
10-17 11:03:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x33cb73…
10-17 10:24:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc01260…
10-17 02:34:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4fa815…
10-17 01:12:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x957372…
10-16 20:24:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x27f67f…
10-16 20:15:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x55ab21…