Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

58.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$400

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$19

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-07 11:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

54% 47% -$12

Politics

24% 70% +$1

Sports

17% 67% -$2

Tech

5% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	+7	$7	97¢	$7	+$0	10-07 11:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	+6	$6	98¢	$6	+$0	10-07 11:18
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	08-03 07:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+5	$1	11¢	$0	$0	08-03 07:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-07 11:18:39	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xda4ba3…
10-07 11:18:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x4fdb35…
08-03 07:27:26	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x4f9fa5…
08-03 07:26:12	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc6e65a…
08-03 07:25:45	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x45c06d…
08-03 07:25:05	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x3f474c…
08-03 07:24:24	Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x4b5e82…
07-30 07:41:39	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x1fd849…
07-08 07:09:49	Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x684c7a…
07-08 07:08:28	Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x0582fa…
07-08 07:06:37	Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xefee47…
07-08 07:06:01	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x2c4fd7…
07-08 07:05:31	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x1178ef…
07-08 07:04:20	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x8c961d…
05-28 15:26:50	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xdedd0d…
05-28 15:26:11	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x2afc8a…
05-28 15:25:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x8800df…
05-28 15:24:18	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xf36638…
05-28 15:23:23	Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x9e3cc7…
04-26 14:41:00	Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x5f89fe…
04-26 14:38:42	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x94f050…
04-26 14:36:24	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x19e493…
04-20 12:51:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x5924ce…
04-20 12:50:14	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0xa8c2a4…
04-07 14:30:35	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 280 299	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x5ca814…
04-07 14:26:05	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x8dece3…
04-07 14:25:05	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x6c54e2…
04-07 14:23:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x4d8bdc…
04-07 14:18:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x155e3d…
04-07 14:18:01	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x2400e8…
03-23 14:32:57	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xc15fa1…
03-23 14:27:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xdcafa5…
03-23 14:26:37	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x62e48b…
03-08 13:46:03	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	3	18¢	$1	0x874cd9…
03-08 13:44:45	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xac71f3…
03-08 13:43:45	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x7bdc44…
03-08 13:41:53	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x652487…
03-08 13:34:39	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x80f7a6…
03-08 13:32:27	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xbc65a6…
03-08 13:26:05	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x8fd1b6…
03-08 13:25:33	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xdd9d64…
02-17 15:14:05	Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x7997c8…
02-17 14:27:51	Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x65d7c6…
02-17 14:27:07	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa2cfee…
02-17 14:26:29	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2258ff…
02-17 13:01:33	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	SELL	23	94¢	$22	0x6a46ec…
02-17 12:38:47	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0xb3827b…
02-17 12:28:55	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xc30566…
02-12 15:29:05	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x31230c…
02-12 15:28:53	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x69aecf…
02-12 15:28:39	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x55af83…
02-12 15:02:17	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0x6ec285…
02-12 15:02:03	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xead5bb…
02-12 14:26:29	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0xfef594…
01-18 16:19:30	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x20e15b…
01-06 16:07:13	spx up or down on january 6 2026	Up	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x8c5cee…
01-06 16:06:09	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	Yes	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x2e5845…
01-06 16:05:57	spx up or down on january 6 2026	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x79a4a7…
01-06 16:04:29	spx up or down on january 6 2026	Up	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0xe0f9cf…
01-06 16:00:51	spx up or down on january 6 2026	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xc16518…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	3	$57	30	30	+0	No	$0	02-12 15:02
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	2	$43	23	23	+0	No	$0	02-17 13:01
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$32	16	16	+0	Yes	+$0	04-20 12:51
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	04-07 14:18
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	02-17 12:28
spx up or down on january 6 2026	4	$17	11	11	+0	Up	$0	01-06 16:07
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	03-08 13:25
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-08 13:32
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-07 14:25
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	02-17 15:14
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$9	7	7	+0	Yes	-$3	04-20 12:50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$8	8	0	+8	Yes	+$0	05-28 15:25
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	10-07 11:18
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	1	$7	8	0	+8	No	+$1	05-28 15:24
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-28 15:23
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$7	8	0	+8	Yes	+$1	04-26 14:36
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	-$7	07-30 07:41
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-28 15:26
Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	07-08 07:08
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	08-03 07:25
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	08-03 07:25
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	07-08 07:05
Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	07-08 07:06
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	04-26 14:38
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	07-08 07:06
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	1	$6	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	08-03 07:24
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	07-08 07:04
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$6	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	04-07 14:26
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	10-07 11:18
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	02-17 14:26