Turbulent-Morale — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16.4K

Unrealized P&L

-$92

Hit rate

89.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,474

lifetime

Volume

$61.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

$1.96K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-26 14:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Politics

58% 61% +$13,483

Other

36% 25% +$3,457

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

3% 60% -$300

Tech

0% 0% -$228

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	-1,542	-$1,403	97¢	$-1501	-$98	09-16 07:21
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?	No	-400	-$376	98¢	$-392	-$16	08-03 06:49
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	No	-300	-$90	23¢	$-69	+$21	09-23 06:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	104	$14.1K	9,346	10,021	-675	Yes	+$4,286	03-19 06:39
will the peoples party pple win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	104	$8.2K	7,906	4,821	+3,084	No	+$1,932	03-03 17:12
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?	1	$7.0K	7,000	0	+7,000	Yes	+$21	03-19 06:40
will democrat party dp finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	24	$3.7K	1,850	1,850	+0	No	+$39	02-08 13:19
will the peoples party pple win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	87	$3.5K	9,377	500	+8,877	Yes	+$5,706	03-04 01:58
will bhumjaithai party bjt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	129	$2.7K	7,064	4,228	+2,836	Yes	+$1,894	02-07 11:11
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$2.0K	1,100	1,100	+0	Yes	+$145	06-16 16:53
will the bhumjaithai party bjt win 140 or more seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	14	$1.9K	2,685	0	+2,685	Yes	+$785	02-08 16:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	25	$1.7K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	09-04 12:51
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	2	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$501	04-08 02:26
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	1	$1.4K	0	1,542	-1,542	open	—	09-16 07:21
Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?	31	$994	2,192	206	+1,987	open	—	10-26 14:43
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	1	$980	0	1,000	-1,000	No	-$20	06-15 06:16
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	23	$853	789	751	+38	No	+$17	05-02 18:22
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	1	$840	4,000	0	+4,000	No	+$3,160	02-07 06:30
will xauusd dip to 4100 in september 2026	7	$676	563	563	+0	No	+$447	09-30 20:59
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	6	$595	509	509	+0	No	+$362	05-28 02:50
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	246	$476	113,607	48,581	+65,026	No	-$283	02-27 04:10
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?	5	$468	91	391	-300	No	-$2	06-22 20:53
will kla tham party kt finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	10	$456	231	231	+0	No	+$5	01-29 06:12
will prachachat party pcc finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	10	$456	231	231	+0	No	+$5	01-29 06:12
Will Julapun Amornvivat be the next prime minister of Thailand?	2	$452	0	454	-454	No	-$2	01-05 06:37
will palang pracharath party pprp finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	10	$411	208	208	+0	No	+$4	01-29 07:57
will united thai nation party utn finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	8	$409	207	207	+0	No	+$4	01-29 16:20
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?	1	$376	0	400	-400	open	—	08-03 06:49
Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	36	$348	5,000	708	+4,292	No	-$292	05-09 20:29
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$326	400	0	+400	No	+$74	06-27 14:08
will peoples party pple finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	80	$312	7,890	7,894	-4	No	-$70	02-08 16:33
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$300	60,000	30,000	+30,000	Yes	-$180	04-09 02:18
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	2	$300	300	300	+0	open	—	09-16 20:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 14:43:53	Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?	No	SELL	71	90¢	$64	0xb45f3d…
10-24 01:13:32	Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?	No	SELL	134	90¢	$121	0x44de9c…
10-14 12:41:12	will xauusd dip to 4100 in october 2026 from october 7	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdd7564…
10-14 12:41:03	will xauusd dip to 4100 in october 2026 from october 7	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x5a691b…
10-14 12:40:29	will xauusd dip to 4100 in october 2026 from october 7	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x97cd9c…
10-14 09:35:26	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	15,000	0¢	$45	0xbd2d62…
10-08 16:04:30	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	No	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x00055b…
10-08 13:41:59	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	No	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x875c4d…
10-08 07:02:11	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x8b6dad…
10-08 06:34:10	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xcc65b0…
10-08 05:51:44	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xb8a607…
10-08 05:51:34	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	No	BUY	19	9¢	$2	0xea7dd8…
10-08 05:51:34	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x9ad8b3…
10-08 05:51:34	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	No	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x99ce42…
10-08 05:30:05	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	No	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0x0f3762…
10-08 05:25:20	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	No	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xc99735…
10-08 05:24:11	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	No	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x571cf1…
10-08 05:24:10	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	No	BUY	21	13¢	$3	0x87387d…
10-08 04:36:55	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	No	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xea36d1…
10-08 04:36:52	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	No	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x4abb4b…
10-07 22:42:11	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	158	0¢	$0	0x3c4ed2…
10-07 21:46:58	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x91b978…
10-07 21:46:22	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x78000f…
10-07 21:45:12	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xc36547…
10-07 21:45:10	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	84	0¢	$0	0x766f6b…
10-07 21:41:10	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xd76ad5…
10-07 21:17:10	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0xd1741d…
10-07 21:16:11	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0xd3ac26…
10-07 20:36:14	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x549024…
10-07 20:35:09	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	650	0¢	$1	0xb12b23…
10-07 20:34:11	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	650	0¢	$1	0x75bd5b…
10-07 20:32:09	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	317	0¢	$0	0xbeacfd…
10-07 20:29:47	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xd5c2d5…
10-07 20:29:47	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x492fbc…
10-07 20:29:44	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x5817e5…
10-07 20:29:44	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x54de89…
10-07 20:29:44	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	65	0¢	$0	0x2057ae…
10-07 17:26:20	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xb7b8ce…
10-07 15:31:10	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x9445a7…
10-07 14:10:11	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	432	0¢	$0	0xa42dc0…
10-07 13:34:08	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	650	0¢	$1	0xd4e00b…
10-07 13:32:08	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x73431a…
10-07 13:15:08	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xd51740…
10-07 12:37:08	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	488	0¢	$0	0xdd25bb…
10-07 12:27:10	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	467	0¢	$0	0x42b782…
10-07 12:26:16	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7f3e9d…
10-07 12:26:16	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x5d24f3…
10-07 10:15:08	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	No	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0x032496…
10-07 10:14:45	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xec856b…
10-07 10:14:41	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x8284ab…
10-07 10:14:33	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	No	BUY	19	12¢	$2	0x6b7ef7…
10-07 10:14:33	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	No	BUY	21	12¢	$2	0x138f1c…
10-07 09:38:14	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xfeb99d…
10-07 09:38:14	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0x9939cf…
10-07 09:38:14	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x01715a…
10-07 09:38:11	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xe91990…
10-07 09:38:11	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	134	0¢	$0	0xe567e4…
10-07 09:38:11	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xe25fd7…
10-07 09:38:11	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	720	0¢	$1	0x8f6157…
10-07 09:38:11	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x8418f7…
10-07 09:38:11	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$0	0x784063…
10-07 09:38:11	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	182	0¢	$0	0x0d426c…
10-07 09:22:42	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x286778…
10-07 09:11:03	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xe73ead…
10-07 08:20:27	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xc44019…
10-07 07:36:30	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x715c6a…
10-07 07:36:30	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x6ec3fd…
10-07 05:03:23	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xfc3f98…
10-07 02:45:53	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xe4dcb9…
10-06 23:22:02	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xc25ddc…
10-06 23:07:11	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x97dd15…
10-06 23:00:14	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	326	0¢	$0	0xa44d72…
10-06 22:59:17	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	534	0¢	$1	0xde39be…
10-06 22:59:17	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xc5911a…
10-06 22:59:17	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,200	0¢	$1	0x730dfc…
10-06 22:29:36	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	52	0¢	$0	0xec1b75…
10-06 22:29:36	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	194	0¢	$0	0x92ba84…
10-06 22:29:36	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x9182ed…
10-06 20:37:09	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x990e51…
10-06 20:35:08	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x23f664…
10-06 20:34:08	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x5bb54a…
10-06 20:03:23	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xc61700…
10-06 19:27:05	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0xd6cd8f…
10-06 19:23:30	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$4	0x02db39…
10-06 18:52:44	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xe6548f…
10-06 18:52:44	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	134	0¢	$0	0x4e6d48…
10-06 18:34:09	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	278	0¢	$0	0xcb36b0…
10-02 15:57:36	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x6f016a…
10-02 15:57:36	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	No	BUY	97	14¢	$14	0x6d1965…
10-02 15:57:36	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x49d223…
10-02 15:57:36	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x4075cc…
10-02 15:51:39	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	No	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0x8d2872…
10-02 01:16:32	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	No	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xaca03a…
10-02 01:06:17	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	No	BUY	60	18¢	$11	0xa41bea…
10-02 01:03:26	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xf4f839…
10-01 08:42:15	will xauusd dip to 4100 in october 2026	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x57ef55…
10-01 07:31:15	will xauusd dip to 4100 in october 2026	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x7e1113…
10-01 03:58:41	will xauusd dip to 4100 in october 2026	No	BUY	500	32¢	$160	0xc75ee9…
09-30 20:59:42	will xauusd dip to 4100 in september 2026	No	SELL	563	100¢	$562	0x666801…
09-28 18:05:42	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	175	0¢	$0	0x8b4302…