International-Rethinking — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

-$21

Hit rate

82.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,038

lifetime

Volume

$164.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$158

Open exposure

$37

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-07 14:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

54% 71% $-5

Politics

38% — —

Sports

6% 100% +$36

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Crypto

0% 75% $-20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+113	$58	33¢	$37	$-21	05-31 15:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	55	$21.6K	18,902	13,815	+5,087	open	—	02-17 17:14
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	26	$11.8K	23,375	0	+23,375	open	—	03-04 10:12
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	32	$10.4K	22,551	0	+22,551	open	—	02-09 11:59
cbb howrd umbc 2026 03 17	47	$9.8K	19,510	3	+19,506	open	—	03-17 22:38
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	55	$9.2K	16,132	500	+15,632	open	—	02-21 01:05
cbb ncst tx 2026 03 17	31	$8.4K	16,743	77	+16,666	open	—	03-17 23:18
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	21	$7.4K	18,242	0	+18,242	open	—	02-17 23:07
will nflx dip to 70 in february	30	$5.9K	8,242	5,829	+2,413	open	—	02-13 00:15
cbb lehi pvam 2026 03 18	7	$5.9K	11,634	0	+11,634	open	—	03-17 21:15
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	14	$4.2K	6,020	6,020	+0	open	—	01-13 14:59
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$3.9K	6,072	12,144	-6,072	open	—	03-19 15:57
cbb vcu ncar 2026 03 19	2	$2.7K	2,434	2,434	+0	open	—	03-19 15:08
will googl dip to 300 in february	8	$2.6K	1,683	3,723	-2,040	open	—	02-12 19:00
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	15	$2.5K	5,577	0	+5,577	open	—	02-18 20:58
cbb vand nebr 2026 03 21	4	$2.5K	2,181	2,181	+0	open	—	03-20 14:41
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	12	$2.5K	5,675	682	+4,993	open	—	02-18 21:05
cbb tx gnzg 2026 03 21	2	$2.5K	3,782	3,782	+0	open	—	03-20 14:41
cbb stlou ga 2026 03 19	4	$2.5K	4,904	0	+4,904	open	—	03-18 13:58
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$2.4K	3,679	3,679	+0	open	—	03-04 18:27
will amzn dip to 192 in february	42	$2.3K	2,851	2,859	-8	open	—	02-20 17:54
will msft dip to 390 in february	22	$2.2K	3,160	1,571	+1,588	open	—	02-20 13:49
cbb sfl lou 2026 03 19	3	$2.1K	4,212	0	+4,212	open	—	03-18 16:10
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	9	$2.0K	1,581	1,162	+419	open	—	02-16 17:26
epl mac ful 2026 02 11 mac	6	$1.8K	2,000	1,000	+1,000	open	—	02-11 20:34
will tsla reach 450 in february	23	$1.7K	2,334	1,639	+695	open	—	02-12 19:11
nba cle atl 2026 04 10	46	$1.5K	2,079	4,158	-2,079	open	—	04-10 13:34
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$1.2K	2,342	0	+2,342	open	—	03-24 18:00
will pltr dip to 126 in february	9	$1.1K	2,190	0	+2,190	open	—	02-20 17:40
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$945	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	01-09 15:15
nba dal lal 2026 02 12	3	$915	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	02-13 00:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 14:46:00	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x4b8e58…
05-31 15:03:40	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	290	44¢	$128	0x17e00e…
05-31 14:21:12	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	44¢	$10	0x27c71f…
05-31 12:34:08	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x441970…
05-31 09:42:55	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0xda952b…
05-31 08:45:08	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x71ced5…
05-30 15:21:11	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	531	17¢	$90	0x45fb49…
05-30 12:47:02	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	19¢	$5	0x7adbce…
05-30 12:27:54	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	19¢	$5	0x9e5ffa…
05-30 12:27:26	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	19¢	$6	0xabb96d…
05-30 11:26:41	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0xdf749f…
05-30 11:26:35	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	19¢	$3	0x62df87…
05-30 11:26:20	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	19¢	$0	0x87164d…
05-30 11:24:38	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	63	19¢	$12	0x0b2138…
05-30 10:32:50	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xfb7600…
05-30 10:32:33	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x329242…
05-30 10:26:37	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	126	19¢	$24	0x3a1e5f…
05-30 09:04:08	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	19¢	$11	0xa625e3…
05-30 08:28:51	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x023afc…
05-30 08:25:37	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	19¢	$8	0x43f52f…
05-30 08:12:40	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0x5c1a5e…
05-30 06:36:21	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	19¢	$6	0x08a9cd…
05-30 06:35:36	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	19¢	$6	0x7af855…
05-30 01:28:05	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	434	46¢	$200	0xf99dd9…
05-30 01:28:05	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,050	19¢	$200	0x833e47…
05-29 17:51:52	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	399	52¢	$207	0x09ab43…
05-29 15:11:36	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	399	50¢	$199	0xeae306…
05-29 15:06:50	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xc80280…
05-21 21:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x47f046…
05-20 13:40:42	Will Harry Maguire be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x29cb17…
05-20 02:16:53	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0x762aec…
05-18 19:07:46	Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x34bf30…
05-18 19:07:42	Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	94	68¢	$64	0x4978f1…
05-18 19:07:34	Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x4b9b5a…
05-17 03:34:25	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud	Jannik Sinner	BUY	168	85¢	$143	0x5978f6…
05-17 02:28:49	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud	Jannik Sinner	BUY	32	85¢	$27	0xa0065d…
05-16 18:50:10	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina	Elina Svitolina	SELL	150	99¢	$148	0xd22535…
05-16 16:55:12	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina	Elina Svitolina	BUY	112	45¢	$50	0xe0d5be…
05-16 16:55:10	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina	Elina Svitolina	BUY	38	45¢	$17	0x5dd839…
05-15 18:34:16	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	Jannik Sinner	BUY	162	92¢	$149	0xb2b24a…
05-15 18:33:46	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	Jannik Sinner	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x6c43ce…
05-15 18:33:42	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	Jannik Sinner	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x29d07b…
05-15 12:37:38	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderi	Luciano Darderi	BUY	31	31¢	$10	0xfed59b…
05-15 12:37:30	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderi	Luciano Darderi	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x1af821…
05-15 12:37:26	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderi	Luciano Darderi	BUY	14	31¢	$4	0xf9fb39…
05-15 11:12:16	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderi	Luciano Darderi	BUY	150	31¢	$46	0xa706d4…
05-14 22:33:11	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina	Elina Svitolina	SELL	150	99¢	$148	0x3cbda2…
05-14 21:06:24	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	54	99¢	$54	0x1a089a…
05-14 17:43:33	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina	Elina Svitolina	BUY	67	21¢	$14	0xa96178…
05-14 17:31:20	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina	Elina Svitolina	BUY	83	21¢	$17	0xdc3cbe…
05-14 14:32:22	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauff	Coco Gauff	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0x189151…
05-14 12:22:15	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Andrey Rublev	Jannik Sinner	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x9477ea…
05-14 11:19:48	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	54	94¢	$51	0x39adfb…
05-14 06:51:20	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauff	Coco Gauff	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0xbcfd6e…
05-14 06:50:32	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauff	Coco Gauff	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xfcd235…
05-14 06:15:41	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauff	Coco Gauff	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xa05d08…
05-14 06:04:08	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauff	Coco Gauff	BUY	38	68¢	$26	0xb8e06f…
05-14 05:47:22	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauff	Coco Gauff	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x8cda5f…
05-14 01:19:02	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Andrey Rublev	Jannik Sinner	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xd3528f…
05-13 23:40:29	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi	Luciano Darderi	BUY	35	51¢	$18	0xbb4629…
05-13 23:40:27	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi	Luciano Darderi	BUY	61	51¢	$31	0xb21cec…
05-13 23:40:27	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi	Luciano Darderi	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x4cbc87…
05-13 13:13:15	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov	Karen Khachanov	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0xddf43d…
05-13 13:05:47	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Elena Rybakina	Elena Rybakina	BUY	150	70¢	$105	0xb7447b…
05-12 14:45:27	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverev	Luciano Darderi	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xd34516…
05-12 14:28:22	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverev	Luciano Darderi	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xd058af…
05-12 12:58:49	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	SELL	216	99¢	$214	0x2108ed…
05-12 12:26:51	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x8be4ce…
05-12 12:26:51	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	BUY	98	85¢	$83	0x5828ad…
05-12 12:26:50	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0xb77091…
05-12 12:26:50	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	BUY	39	85¢	$33	0x61450c…
05-12 12:25:59	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x60d840…
05-12 12:24:59	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x80486b…
05-12 00:11:44	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0xc33740…
05-11 21:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x1f82f3…
05-11 21:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x6b9d6d…
05-11 21:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x55d54a…
05-11 21:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x0fd171…
05-11 21:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3549dd…
05-11 16:31:10	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jessica Pegula vs Anastasia Potapova	Jessica Pegula	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x38453e…
05-10 22:25:23	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Alexei Popyrin	Jannik Sinner	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x3c7e38…
05-08 15:35:09	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Sebastian Ofner	Jannik Sinner	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xeb8975…
05-08 13:24:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	SELL	98	35¢	$34	0x86d883…
05-08 13:22:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xed3a48…
05-08 12:04:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	43	64¢	$28	0x4b1053…
05-08 11:53:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	60	66¢	$40	0xe40024…
05-02 15:34:50	Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev	Jannik Sinner	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0xcce373…
05-01 15:50:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,208	23¢	$278	0x7c3616…
05-01 15:46:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x4802c5…
05-01 15:45:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	23¢	$3	0x2d285d…
05-01 15:39:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	130	23¢	$30	0xc5828e…
05-01 15:39:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0x9a0f79…
05-01 15:33:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,360	22¢	$299	0x15083a…
05-01 15:21:54	Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils	Jannik Sinner	BUY	23	94¢	$22	0xab4cde…
04-30 18:00:40	Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils	Jannik Sinner	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x7171c9…
04-27 14:22:38	Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Cameron Norrie	Jannik Sinner	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xdd5172…
04-21 23:39:02	epl bur mac 2026 04 22 mac	Yes	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0x45b44e…
04-21 23:38:54	epl bur mac 2026 04 22 mac	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x63f355…
04-21 23:34:40	epl bur mac 2026 04 22 mac	Yes	BUY	33	85¢	$28	0xb9fc49…
04-21 23:14:12	epl bur mac 2026 04 22 mac	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xc7c789…