Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

71.7%

Resolved

298

Trades

15,999

lifetime

Volume

$84.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 11-03 18:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

49% 62% -$30

Politics

45% 68% -$16

Tech

6% 64% +$20

Sports

0% 100% +$2

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 361 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	+1	$1	99¢	$1	+$0	08-02 02:19
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+1	$1	98¢	$1	+$0	07-24 20:00
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+0	$0	91¢	$0	+$0	08-21 04:28
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+0	$0	99¢	$0	+$0	08-23 20:21
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	+0	$0	95¢	$0	$0	09-09 12:12
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+0	-$1	34¢	$0	+$1	09-02 17:26
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?	No	+0	-$2	20¢	$0	+$2	07-20 19:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	701	$5.5K	3,584	3,584	+0	No	+$6	09-12 07:24
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	1,060	$5.3K	5,040	5,040	+0	No	+$23	07-31 13:37
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	742	$4.6K	3,806	3,806	+0	No	-$7	08-28 21:55
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	623	$4.4K	2,781	2,781	+0	No	+$5	07-28 20:31
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	594	$2.9K	3,188	3,188	+0	No	-$14	09-12 09:33
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	413	$2.9K	1,564	1,564	+0	No	+$3	08-24 03:46
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	228	$2.4K	1,374	1,374	+0	No	+$3	09-10 09:13
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	271	$2.2K	1,372	1,372	+0	No	+$4	07-31 04:37
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	395	$1.8K	1,396	1,396	+0	Yes	+$6	07-21 09:24
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	203	$1.7K	1,117	1,117	+0	No	+$5	07-20 12:44
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	496	$1.6K	2,097	2,095	+2	Yes	-$3	08-25 20:25
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	186	$1.6K	856	856	+0	No	+$1	07-20 14:11
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	250	$1.6K	1,189	1,189	+0	No	+$6	07-21 07:23
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	137	$1.5K	830	830	+0	No	+$1	08-11 15:02
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	143	$1.4K	787	787	+0	Yes	+$2	09-05 19:01
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	427	$1.4K	1,933	1,933	+0	Yes	+$8	07-31 16:26
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	744	$1.3K	3,200	3,200	+0	open	—	09-05 17:41
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	173	$1.3K	698	698	+0	No	+$2	09-05 12:47
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	163	$1.2K	882	882	+0	open	—	09-12 16:44
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	134	$1.1K	830	830	+0	No	-$1	09-10 16:25
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	131	$999	618	618	+0	open	—	08-31 13:54
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	117	$983	596	596	+0	No	+$2	07-29 01:45
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1?	84	$849	502	502	+0	No	-$1	09-03 16:12
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	187	$830	767	767	+0	open	—	09-05 10:18
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	102	$812	427	427	+0	open	—	09-12 09:26
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	57	$658	342	342	+0	No	+$1	08-31 14:31
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	84	$649	366	366	+0	open	—	09-16 22:19
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	78	$615	392	392	+0	No	+$4	08-26 17:24
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	77	$605	449	434	+15	Yes	-$6	08-14 08:54
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	80	$564	377	377	+0	open	—	09-04 20:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 18:54:22	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x0538bf…
09-20 05:11:55	Will Steven Del Duca win the 2026 Vaughan mayoral election?	No	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0x7c594a…
09-18 08:57:45	Will Steven Del Duca win the 2026 Vaughan mayoral election?	No	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x970d3c…
09-18 08:57:43	Will Steven Del Duca win the 2026 Vaughan mayoral election?	No	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x5e7ece…
09-16 22:19:25	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x888ac6…
09-14 20:34:03	Will Gladyz Butanda Macías win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?	No	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0x593c35…
09-14 20:34:03	Will Gladyz Butanda Macías win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x2b4979…
09-14 05:56:25	Will Gladyz Butanda Macías win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x608ec3…
09-14 05:56:25	Will Gladyz Butanda Macías win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?	No	SELL	12	88¢	$11	0x0e9748…
09-13 14:44:58	Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	27	2¢	$0	0x22762a…
09-12 23:38:46	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	16	68¢	$11	0x2b58fc…
09-12 19:11:12	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	15	31¢	$5	0x383225…
09-12 18:55:09	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	33	87¢	$29	0x3cbeb8…
09-12 16:45:25	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0xdae6b6…
09-12 16:44:30	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	27	65¢	$17	0x13c7ea…
09-12 16:16:43	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0xb0de81…
09-12 16:08:57	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x9e101e…
09-12 12:50:13	Will Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?	No	SELL	30	20¢	$6	0xdda0cb…
09-12 11:21:57	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	60	7¢	$4	0x70f3be…
09-12 09:44:18	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	23	87¢	$20	0x6ac980…
09-12 09:33:55	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	139	8¢	$11	0x65bb6a…
09-12 09:32:19	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	30	86¢	$26	0x3adea6…
09-12 09:31:45	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	83	82¢	$68	0xa2c19f…
09-12 09:30:00	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	14	87¢	$12	0xe3f904…
09-12 09:26:54	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x930ad7…
09-12 09:26:54	Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x6825d2…
09-12 09:26:54	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x42a989…
09-12 09:26:54	Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x3633a2…
09-12 09:26:54	Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x215e73…
09-12 09:26:54	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x14b9f8…
09-12 09:26:54	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x14349c…
09-12 07:24:18	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	8	82¢	$6	0xfc115a…
09-12 07:21:18	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x77ffcc…
09-12 07:05:19	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x319756…
09-12 06:52:28	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x697bf5…
09-12 05:30:16	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	11	68¢	$7	0x2f3fcd…
09-12 05:14:22	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x3c8284…
09-12 04:49:54	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x195277…
09-12 03:24:45	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x5df3dd…
09-11 23:30:52	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x43377c…
09-11 23:07:24	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0xdc70e5…
09-11 22:58:42	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0xbd96e1…
09-11 21:59:09	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x0abecc…
09-11 21:37:18	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0xee94da…
09-11 21:31:52	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xc6f951…
09-11 21:29:01	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0x4d8f0a…
09-11 21:28:57	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x2598b7…
09-11 21:18:22	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x27771c…
09-11 21:09:27	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0x3f2859…
09-11 21:09:22	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x76f52b…
09-11 21:08:36	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x2e95a1…
09-11 20:12:16	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	8	81¢	$7	0x74c03c…
09-11 20:08:40	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xb90235…
09-11 19:58:55	Will Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?	No	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x0c740c…
09-11 19:10:57	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0x69b8d7…
09-11 19:02:39	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x3a2da7…
09-11 18:42:00	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0xb5a526…
09-11 18:40:49	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0x90a639…
09-11 18:19:37	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xeb1ae3…
09-11 18:09:30	Will Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?	No	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x49db52…
09-11 18:06:34	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x9488b3…
09-11 17:33:33	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0x1ac1e6…
09-11 17:17:25	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0x1385bb…
09-11 16:59:12	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x35e3fb…
09-11 16:58:30	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x5ab9aa…
09-11 16:58:00	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x56021a…
09-11 15:39:55	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	14	82¢	$11	0xf5a1d4…
09-11 15:39:03	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	14	82¢	$11	0x29b867…
09-11 15:37:30	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0xbc3b16…
09-11 15:37:01	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x46d5dd…
09-11 15:36:00	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0xdb6a11…
09-11 15:35:19	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0xfa7a13…
09-11 15:35:04	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0xdb1920…
09-11 15:14:13	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	15	84¢	$13	0x293de4…
09-11 15:00:36	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0xb54a25…
09-11 14:56:37	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xa44a99…
09-11 14:30:19	Will Gladyz Butanda Macías win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?	No	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0xa91193…
09-11 14:05:24	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xcd1fa8…
09-11 13:59:04	Will Gladyz Butanda Macías win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?	No	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0xdbf2fe…
09-11 13:41:13	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xeeb314…
09-11 13:40:06	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0x0af56c…
09-11 13:24:34	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	15	27¢	$4	0xe1ddcb…
09-11 12:30:36	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x2046ec…
09-11 12:05:10	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xfe31d6…
09-11 12:02:39	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xc2f35b…
09-11 11:15:01	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x554213…
09-11 11:06:48	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0xd5bd20…
09-11 10:58:07	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x3dd621…
09-11 09:56:49	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xd0ef40…
09-11 09:53:58	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0x16c254…
09-11 09:45:37	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xeb7d0b…
09-11 09:15:58	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x3c6a25…
09-11 09:15:19	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x4ed0b1…
09-11 09:07:51	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x630681…
09-11 08:59:28	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x124fec…
09-11 08:55:22	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x3aacec…
09-11 08:53:54	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0xf81218…
09-11 08:51:48	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x32344c…
09-11 08:31:13	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xcf7db7…
09-11 08:25:27	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x590116…