Beloved-Configuration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$136

Unrealized P&L

-$271

Hit rate

36.3%

Resolved

Trades

616

lifetime

Volume

$22.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

$414

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-11 20:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Politics

87% 16% +$842

Other

13% 0% -$644

Crypto

0% 0% -$62

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes		+13,131	$685	3¢	$414	-$271	10-11 19:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	2	$4.3K	9,665	9,665	+0	No	+$3,947	07-26 16:32
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	30	$3.3K	88,441	88,441	+0	Yes	+$1,041	03-03 06:24
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	109	$2.1K	45,500	11,052	+34,448	No	-$1,603	03-30 23:50
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	38	$1.3K	28,247	28,247	+0	No	-$111	06-14 20:32
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	14	$1.3K	12,970	6,000	+6,970	No	-$853	01-31 21:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	24	$1.2K	15,521	15,521	+0	No	-$300	07-04 17:16
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	44	$1.1K	27,864	27,864	+0	No	-$348	08-26 22:46
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	39	$931	40,897	40,897	+0	No	-$72	07-30 16:29
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	52	$850	34,588	35,588	-1,000	No	-$166	04-27 23:43
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	5	$808	1,201	1,201	+0	Yes	-$33	01-09 19:12
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	34	$773	14,193	1,062	+13,131	open	—	10-11 19:56
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?	15	$673	16,848	16,848	+0	No	-$360	02-13 13:54
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	37	$634	31,498	29,798	+1,700	No	-$237	05-25 21:32
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	12	$517	8,400	8,400	+0	open	—	09-11 21:51
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	5	$476	1,130	1,130	+0	Yes	-$106	08-07 04:34
iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	5	$356	9,030	9,030	+0	No	-$62	08-17 12:30
us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	27	$281	16,521	16,521	+0	No	-$34	08-18 22:48
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	5	$258	7,880	7,880	+0	No	-$104	06-14 20:36
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	8	$241	7,505	7,505	+0	No	-$166	02-27 20:24
will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	3	$226	363	363	+0	No	-$48	01-08 23:11
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	2	$161	1,261	1,261	+0	No	+$41	02-28 08:30
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	11	$136	13,626	13,626	+0	No	-$28	09-30 12:29
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	3	$130	3,030	3,030	+0	No	-$9	09-03 03:57
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	5	$100	3,725	3,725	+0	No	-$24	08-14 11:37
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	4	$73	8,523	8,523	+0	No	-$29	07-29 23:50
us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	19	$61	2,211	2,211	+0	No	-$4	08-07 04:33
will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	6	$56	971	971	+0	No	-$41	07-31 21:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 23:40 UTC	2	$56	831	0	+831	Up	-$56	08-14 23:42
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	6	$53	10,423	10,423	+0	No	-$9	07-07 15:20
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	3	$48	8,000	8,000	+0	No	+$0	08-23 23:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-11 20:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0xf9b358…
10-11 19:56:48	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	18	4¢	$1	0x42eac9…
10-11 19:47:57	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x9fb95c…
10-10 21:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xb62d0c…
10-10 21:16:55	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	311	4¢	$12	0x0826ee…
10-04 15:27:16	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	314	4¢	$14	0x10ff7b…
09-30 13:24:41	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	117	5¢	$5	0x4ca564…
09-30 12:35:47	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	171	5¢	$8	0xf87527…
09-30 12:29:18	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7,902	0¢	$8	0xcc030c…
09-28 21:48:29	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7,902	1¢	$43	0x00532b…
09-28 21:47:51	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,031	4¢	$43	0x3d73e0…
09-23 20:38:22	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x0ac647…
09-23 20:38:04	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	31	3¢	$1	0x5775fb…
09-23 15:56:31	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	5,724	1¢	$46	0x1288ce…
09-23 15:04:11	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,090	3¢	$69	0xc59836…
09-23 07:59:20	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	57	3¢	$2	0x3d9fed…
09-23 07:40:26	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	351	3¢	$12	0xf51476…
09-23 07:36:16	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	169	3¢	$6	0x04b95a…
09-23 07:24:41	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	119	3¢	$4	0xfa83a1…
09-23 07:20:47	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	113	3¢	$4	0xe58416…
09-23 06:16:56	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,328	1¢	$13	0xf7f022…
09-23 05:00:08	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xc0e0a8…
09-23 02:22:23	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x61051c…
09-22 21:50:58	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	328	1¢	$3	0xcdfb53…
09-22 21:50:58	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0x7992bb…
09-22 18:43:25	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0x35827b…
09-22 08:40:55	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	19	3¢	$1	0xa28b7c…
09-21 16:44:00	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	161	3¢	$5	0x43407f…
09-21 07:04:59	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0x6a5cab…
09-21 06:50:53	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x8b2120…
09-21 06:46:00	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x1c26bc…
09-21 05:36:01	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x5e3fee…
09-20 23:22:14	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,700	1¢	$19	0xe940e4…
09-17 21:37:42	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,346	6¢	$141	0x6c47f6…
09-15 21:31:40	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xc6619c…
09-15 21:30:40	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0xb181c2…
09-15 21:30:33	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x88ae3d…
09-15 21:30:30	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0xedbdaa…
09-15 21:30:24	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0xe10347…
09-15 21:30:19	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0xa895d9…
09-15 21:30:13	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0xcde6c1…
09-15 21:30:09	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x250c3d…
09-15 21:30:03	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x162e82…
09-15 21:29:57	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0xe7fd43…
09-15 20:49:16	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5,323	6¢	$319	0xb8bbc3…
09-14 14:36:45	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	176	5¢	$9	0x92a720…
09-11 21:52:39	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,000	5¢	$100	0xa3881c…
09-11 21:51:00	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8,400	3¢	$216	0x148ec7…
09-03 19:51:10	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x19a1f5…
09-03 19:48:25	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	700	4¢	$29	0x4f11a0…
09-03 19:47:18	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	700	4¢	$27	0xe4be05…
09-03 03:57:27	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	Yes	SELL	3,030	2¢	$61	0xb7c5fc…
09-01 01:41:21	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	Yes	BUY	3,006	2¢	$69	0x5f2013…
08-31 22:09:24	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	Yes	BUY	24	2¢	$1	0xc58f2a…
08-31 22:08:22	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xcea0c7…
08-31 22:08:06	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$7	0x70a8e0…
08-31 17:09:51	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	3¢	$13	0xd3f756…
08-31 17:09:43	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$7	0x191cbf…
08-30 21:47:15	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,200	4¢	$183	0xa822ab…
08-26 22:46:33	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7,500	0¢	$22	0x275d0e…
08-26 20:56:54	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$2	0x2c03f1…
08-23 23:28:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	8,000	0¢	$24	0x47ad6a…
08-23 07:43:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	245	0¢	$1	0x933209…
08-23 03:29:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	7,755	0¢	$23	0x5e4c1e…
08-23 00:47:12	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	317	0¢	$1	0xfe92ba…
08-19 03:16:07	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	369	1¢	$3	0x1ad4a9…
08-19 02:50:39	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x9f89fc…
08-19 02:06:19	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	154	1¢	$1	0x89a2df…
08-19 01:20:49	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x8c32fb…
08-18 22:48:57	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	SELL	4,488	0¢	$4	0x863d48…
08-17 19:34:33	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	BUY	4,488	0¢	$4	0xe9f1a4…
08-17 19:33:51	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x0860f8…
08-17 14:21:49	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	451	1¢	$3	0x1c35e4…
08-17 14:21:48	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xb26346…
08-17 14:21:45	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	5,417	1¢	$38	0xac8bef…
08-17 14:21:45	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	1,403	1¢	$10	0x6957b4…
08-17 14:21:45	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	184	1¢	$1	0x279058…
08-17 14:21:45	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	168	1¢	$1	0x100e8c…
08-17 13:10:09	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	BUY	58	1¢	$0	0x8f396a…
08-17 12:30:57	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	SELL	5,030	0¢	$5	0x717ee8…
08-17 12:30:48	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	Yes	SELL	5,030	1¢	$53	0xb570e8…
08-16 22:20:49	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	Yes	BUY	5,030	1¢	$65	0x3700b4…
08-16 02:32:25	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	BUY	5,030	0¢	$10	0xbb6554…
08-14 23:42:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	138	2¢	$3	0x3aec2f…
08-14 23:41:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	692	8¢	$53	0x12bb2c…
08-14 11:38:46	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	3,733	1¢	$45	0xdd14ce…
08-14 11:38:46	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	3,267	1¢	$37	0x978b8c…
08-14 11:37:33	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	SELL	3,725	1¢	$38	0x608ebd…
08-14 11:37:21	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	Yes	SELL	3,725	2¢	$87	0x64348d…
08-11 21:39:18	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	425	2¢	$8	0x1b1f8d…
08-11 21:38:48	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	Yes	SELL	275	3¢	$7	0xe6f2e4…
08-10 17:23:01	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	278	2¢	$6	0x85a512…
08-10 17:21:10	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	22	2¢	$0	0x177ae9…
08-10 17:20:03	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	3,000	2¢	$48	0x941f46…
08-10 17:18:46	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$14	0x583b22…
08-10 17:16:30	will farsi hengam hormuz or kharg island no longer be under iranian control by august 31 2026 20260804165426110	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x7f90ba…
08-10 15:39:07	will farsi hengam hormuz or kharg island no longer be under iranian control by august 31 2026 20260804165426110	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x4a7306…
08-10 04:37:36	will farsi hengam hormuz or kharg island no longer be under iranian control by august 31 2026 20260804165426110	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x008ca5…
08-10 04:28:36	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	2,040	1¢	$29	0x1b87ae…
08-10 04:27:00	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	Yes	BUY	4,000	4¢	$144	0x4cdafc…