Clumsy-Doubling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$93

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.2%

Resolved

Trades

983

lifetime

Volume

$9.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 05-19 11:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

77% 53% +$3

Politics

11% — —

Crypto

6% — —

Sports

5% 33% $-95

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 151 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx up or down on march 19 2026	14	$572	497	347	+150	open	—	03-19 19:35
will iran strike cyprus in march	19	$459	790	790	+0	open	—	03-06 15:14
spx opens up or down on march 20 2026	5	$339	320	320	+0	open	—	03-20 09:40
spx up or down on march 20 2026	5	$233	450	100	+350	open	—	03-20 13:47
spx opens up or down on march 17 2026	8	$230	312	130	+182	open	—	03-17 12:23
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	6	$226	170	130	+40	open	—	03-08 19:34
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	4	$190	115	115	+0	open	—	03-05 19:10
cdr fcb atm 2026 03 03 fcb	3	$159	94	94	+0	open	—	03-03 23:48
euroleague lyonvill aviv 2026 03 20	7	$155	275	0	+275	open	—	03-20 19:35
spx opens up or down on march 9 2026	20	$144	441	441	+0	open	—	03-08 23:26
spx up or down on march 23 2026	7	$142	237	0	+237	open	—	03-23 09:05
ndx up or down on march 6 2026	6	$138	280	280	+0	open	—	03-06 17:31
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	4	$128	130	130	+0	open	—	03-03 19:57
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	2	$108	80	80	+0	open	—	03-03 09:30
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	3	$101	83	83	+0	open	—	04-02 08:55
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$101	70	70	+0	open	—	03-02 22:46
spx up or down on march 2 2026	1	$100	154	0	+154	open	—	03-01 05:01
spy up or down on april 13 2026	7	$97	179	37	+142	open	—	04-13 13:31
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$97	919	0	+919	No	$-97	04-15 21:08
spx opens up or down on march 13 2026	15	$96	152	50	+102	open	—	03-13 10:10
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	6	$95	75	75	+0	Down	+$34	05-04 18:05
ndx up or down on march 20 2026	5	$95	108	108	+0	open	—	03-20 08:21
euroleague paris aviv 2026 04 09	8	$95	178	175	+3	open	—	04-09 20:06
gc up or down on march 20 2026	3	$91	134	0	+134	open	—	03-20 08:38
hezbollah strike on israel by march 31 737 523	4	$90	50	50	+0	open	—	03-02 00:44
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	2	$89	58	58	+0	open	—	03-02 17:42
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?	2	$87	254	0	+254	open	—	04-26 09:26
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	7	$86	124	124	+0	No	$-4	05-02 14:01
cl up or down on march 23 2026	6	$83	159	109	+50	open	—	03-23 12:47
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 15	7	$82	170	170	+0	open	—	03-10 10:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 11:23:15	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 19?	Up	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0x16b935…
05-19 11:05:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	11	23¢	$3	0x83117e…
05-19 10:53:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 19?	Up	SELL	35	11¢	$4	0x0b61d2…
05-19 07:27:59	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x6ce62e…
05-19 07:22:49	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x1f0f11…
05-19 07:08:49	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x9e56b7…
05-19 07:07:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x75cfa4…
05-19 06:17:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xd75bfa…
05-18 19:42:11	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb8dd45…
05-18 19:39:40	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	41	94¢	$38	0x63287e…
05-18 14:03:30	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x31665d…
05-18 13:40:17	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3aaae1…
05-18 07:35:09	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	21	69¢	$14	0x9f9e78…
05-14 10:57:37	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0x620608…
05-14 10:57:26	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0xbf43d1…
05-14 05:52:00	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0x0a01dc…
05-14 05:50:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xdde045…
05-13 18:28:32	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xe4793c…
05-13 13:06:43	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0xc2da4d…
05-12 06:01:57	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x4176c9…
05-11 20:57:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xaa16ec…
05-11 20:57:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x7c9fa9…
05-11 20:36:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x5524a0…
05-11 18:57:49	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	19	41¢	$8	0x95e2f8…
05-11 17:04:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	52	15¢	$8	0xd16666…
05-11 08:27:19	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xcb6098…
05-11 07:59:56	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0xc30f25…
05-11 06:46:44	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x5ad323…
05-10 23:11:17	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xd847ce…
05-10 20:08:39	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x7c954a…
05-10 05:32:46	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	57	38¢	$22	0x740fed…
05-10 05:10:14	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x284c13…
05-07 23:45:44	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	30	49¢	$15	0x0d95d0…
05-07 23:29:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x1d4b58…
05-07 22:16:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x77eef4…
05-07 21:34:44	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x2d994c…
05-07 01:54:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x3da3c6…
05-06 23:01:00	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0xef0f17…
05-06 22:09:40	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc87eb7…
05-05 06:26:38	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x9e98c2…
05-05 06:23:40	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	14	32¢	$4	0xb3d62c…
05-05 05:14:44	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	31	31¢	$10	0x4bf165…
05-04 18:05:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	SELL	75	86¢	$65	0xa25cdf…
05-04 12:05:44	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?	Down	SELL	40	78¢	$31	0x6a2176…
05-03 22:24:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x8b79d5…
05-03 22:22:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x7fb389…
05-03 22:17:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x05f85f…
05-03 22:12:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x885ebc…
05-03 21:46:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0x62b6f7…
05-03 20:51:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	40	43¢	$17	0xcb8707…
05-02 14:01:08	Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0x6fa773…
04-29 10:47:44	Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)	Club Atlético de Madrid	BUY	57	12¢	$7	0xdc3a44…
04-28 19:13:58	Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0xc8368f…
04-26 09:26:44	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?	Yes	BUY	54	35¢	$19	0xe21182…
04-26 08:23:30	Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	60	36¢	$22	0xf627f9…
04-26 05:56:52	Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0xb22128…
04-26 01:49:10	Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x8360b3…
04-25 21:51:48	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?	Yes	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0x3a52d6…
04-25 19:30:12	Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x1e1890…
04-25 18:21:14	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0x49e7b5…
04-25 18:19:28	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	SELL	29	15¢	$4	0xa6c41e…
04-25 16:24:38	Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0xca23fa…
04-25 16:23:28	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xbdbcc0…
04-25 16:22:32	Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	SELL	54	34¢	$18	0x432675…
04-25 14:36:34	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	34	54¢	$19	0xdd7274…
04-25 14:35:46	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	71	26¢	$19	0x767332…
04-25 12:07:08	Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	43	8¢	$3	0x836a04…
04-25 11:56:10	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	61	59¢	$36	0x5fc86c…
04-25 11:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xd4d4e0…
04-25 11:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x851c7c…
04-25 11:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x753983…
04-25 11:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x2d5b2e…
04-25 11:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x53276b…
04-25 11:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x80d1f2…
04-25 11:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x6dc946…
04-25 11:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x7ed759…
04-25 11:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	12¢	$1	0x6dcc2e…
04-25 11:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x2199ec…
04-25 11:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xe9e1a5…
04-25 11:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x19a91a…
04-25 11:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	52¢	$2	0x78bf39…
04-25 11:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xd64bfc…
04-25 11:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x887dc8…
04-25 11:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x035457…
04-25 11:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0xa44680…
04-25 11:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa3d1d9…
04-25 11:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa66bfa…
04-25 11:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x07d39c…
04-25 11:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x5814d7…
04-25 11:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x6ae9af…
04-25 10:38:24	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0xd94aee…
04-25 09:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x16f1d4…
04-25 09:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xe1906c…
04-25 09:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x85003b…
04-25 09:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x82e274…
04-25 09:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x8932ff…
04-25 09:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x4d35fe…
04-25 07:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xe60e4b…
04-25 07:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3d4175…
04-25 07:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x50326e…