Reckless-Washbasin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

101

Trades

124

lifetime

Volume

$1.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-28

last 10-23 09:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Other

47% 97% +$2

Crypto

27% 100% +$3

Politics

22% 100% +$3

Sports

3% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?	No		+6	$6	99¢	$6	+$0	10-10 16:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	4	$186	102	102	+0	No	+$3	10-23 09:33
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	2	$95	47	47	+0	No	+$0	08-14 12:41
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	2	$90	46	46	+0	No	+$0	08-25 14:11
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	2	$87	44	44	+0	No	+$0	09-07 13:03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	2	$72	37	37	+0	No	+$1	10-01 00:06
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	1	$49	49	0	+49	No	+$0	08-05 01:39
will ethereum reach 3100 in august 2026	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$0	08-31 15:46
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$47	48	0	+48	No	+$0	08-15 18:39
LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$43	44	0	+44	Yes	+$1	09-10 10:54
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$43	43	0	+43	No	+$0	06-30 10:19
us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	1	$41	41	0	+41	No	+$0	10-01 02:25
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	08-27 05:48
will scotland reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120745	1	$39	39	0	+39	No	+$0	06-26 21:19
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$39	39	0	+39	Yes	+$0	07-30 12:59
Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$37	38	0	+38	Yes	+$1	08-21 02:26
will solana dip to 70 in march 2026	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	03-31 02:42
Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	05-30 23:15
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	08-31 15:49
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	08-17 23:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?	2	$17	9	9	+0	No	+$0	08-31 15:52
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	04-29 14:13
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?	2	$16	9	9	+0	open	—	10-05 11:28
will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	2	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	02-25 04:24
gc hit 4200 low jan 2026 289 371 251 294	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	01-28 03:11
will ethereum dip to 2000 in january 2026 647	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	01-28 03:11
will ethereum dip to 1600 in january 2026 383	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	01-28 03:10
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in May?	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-09 15:43
will ethereum dip to 1800 in january 2026 971	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	01-28 03:11
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	08-21 21:37
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	01-28 03:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 09:33:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	53	93¢	$50	0xc0f7ce…
10-21 22:42:39	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	53	91¢	$48	0x6f9ea9…
10-19 22:22:12	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	48	92¢	$45	0x7b3639…
10-19 17:05:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	48	90¢	$44	0x3044d3…
10-15 02:32:59	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0x864a21…
10-10 16:13:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x76121e…
10-08 17:14:26	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x3c99e4…
10-05 11:28:37	Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0x05cf61…
10-01 02:25:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x27c1cb…
10-01 00:06:12	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x6dc903…
09-29 03:48:24	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0xff80c7…
09-23 03:47:01	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7e03e7…
09-22 19:16:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc62a91…
09-10 10:54:51	LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x1bb9e6…
09-07 13:03:36	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x498113…
09-06 13:20:13	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x536a70…
09-04 07:23:18	Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0x30805a…
08-31 15:52:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x2dbe00…
08-31 15:49:18	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x8018fd…
08-31 15:46:12	will ethereum reach 3100 in august 2026	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x78752e…
08-28 01:44:52	will ethereum reach 3100 in august 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0x225396…
08-27 13:36:28	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8f5d74…
08-27 05:48:19	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xcff6aa…
08-26 22:00:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x231de7…
08-26 14:09:30	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc4bbe9…
08-26 10:38:54	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x06ae94…
08-25 14:11:28	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	46	97¢	$45	0xe790cd…
08-24 14:55:27	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x23100c…
08-24 04:29:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	46	96¢	$45	0x940417…
08-22 18:40:19	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x8bc8ee…
08-21 21:37:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x290ef0…
08-21 02:26:12	Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0xc19736…
08-17 23:44:34	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x000386…
08-17 17:53:30	will ethereum dip to 900 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x337bd5…
08-15 18:39:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	48	99¢	$47	0x5529e6…
08-14 12:41:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x87c7f8…
08-10 07:47:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x02bf6b…
08-10 07:35:31	will ethereum dip to 1100 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x90ff6c…
08-05 01:39:39	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0x997da3…
08-03 15:41:06	will bitcoin reach 85k in august 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc2235f…
07-30 12:59:09	GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0xf1c482…
07-29 17:56:23	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x5c955c…
07-27 21:24:06	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x6de594…
07-26 05:44:04	will googl dip to 280 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcb66df…
07-26 00:31:42	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd4ec79…
07-25 15:37:07	will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x077e7a…
07-23 23:23:27	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026 444	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0b6acd…
07-23 10:42:30	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x53f308…
07-17 09:40:21	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0afd8f…
06-30 10:19:31	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x3f024f…
06-27 22:41:10	Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x3c662a…
06-27 12:58:37	Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x83c8d0…
06-27 00:24:46	Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1a38be…
06-26 23:25:38	Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe72a14…
06-26 21:19:49	will scotland reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120745	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xf48990…
06-06 11:06:40	Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9eee1a…
05-30 23:15:31	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x160308…
05-29 21:28:13	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xea2ab9…
05-27 16:57:33	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf7d958…
05-22 00:07:49	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x389513…
05-16 00:38:37	Will Malta be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbca48d…
05-15 15:41:48	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2e299d…
05-14 01:39:48	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x64d195…
05-11 11:28:34	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1ad6d5…
05-09 15:43:48	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1b0631…
05-09 08:03:42	Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x46fcca…
05-09 07:50:45	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4e7d50…
05-09 01:42:19	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc6a31f…
05-07 16:14:24	Will Solana dip to $20 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb30249…
05-07 09:05:37	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $288 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x7fa6b3…
05-07 06:54:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x9db987…
05-06 15:13:34	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x616429…
05-06 03:16:40	Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xbc8430…
04-29 14:13:38	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xa1a504…
04-26 01:58:50	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x09d815…
04-25 12:44:50	Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x63d53e…
04-23 23:29:22	Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x93f205…
04-22 14:52:26	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$4	0x6da49e…
04-21 13:23:08	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x1bfecf…
04-19 13:35:28	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $60 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x65030a…
04-18 06:27:02	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9a5a90…
04-17 17:02:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xeab80c…
04-15 06:41:26	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x52acb4…
04-14 09:16:55	Will Microsoft have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xda31a7…
04-14 03:17:07	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x9d6aaa…
04-06 19:19:35	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $150 end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd61600…
04-05 05:08:41	will the bank of korea increase the base rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe759bd…
03-31 02:42:59	will solana dip to 70 in march 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xcf4ab5…
03-30 19:45:51	pltr above 126 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7611c8…
03-29 14:00:26	will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x41761b…
03-27 15:45:21	amzn above 270 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb7131d…
03-26 18:00:23	will hyperliquid dip to 24 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x155157…
03-24 23:28:35	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2e5251…
03-21 07:00:07	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2bcf8f…
03-19 22:43:39	will hyperliquid dip to 20 in march	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa08b94…
03-18 05:49:21	will ethena reach 0pt32 in march	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x93f0f5…
03-17 21:51:31	will ethena reach 0pt32 in march	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3d4bd2…
03-16 12:32:35	amzn above 150 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x26bc84…
03-14 02:14:13	aapl above 290 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x499657…
03-11 20:48:23	will hyperliquid dip to 16 in march	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd1cade…