Realized P&L
+$514
Unrealized P&L
-$19
Hit rate
86.0%
Resolved
52
Trades
145
lifetime
Volume
$952
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$6
8 positions
First seen
2026-02-06
last 11-06 11:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 38 days
Categories
Politics
87% 35% +$507
Other
12% 13% +$7
Crypto
1% 50% +$1
Tech
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +8 $2 19¢ $2 $0 10-27 16:41
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes +70 $6 1¢ $1 -$5 05-11 17:54
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3 $1 36¢ $1 $0 10-27 16:40
New pandemic in 2026? Yes +60 $6 2¢ $1 -$5 10-07 02:23
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +31 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 08-30 18:43
Ebola pandemic in 2026? Yes +46 $4 1¢ $1 -$3 06-10 15:31
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $3 2¢ $0 -$2 06-09 17:05
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +12 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 05-12 15:25