Helpful-Wasp — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$133

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

75.4%

Resolved

Trades

548

lifetime

Volume

$11.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$28

1 position

First seen

2026-04-08

last 07-21 22:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 58% +$220

Politics

30% 50% $-88

Other

7% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes		+107	$30	26¢	$28	$-2	07-21 22:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$1.1K	589	589	+0	Yes	+$12	05-04 17:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$843	528	528	+0	open	—	05-29 14:58
btc updown 5m 1776588300	2	$636	321	321	+0	open	—	04-19 08:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$452	253	253	+0	open	—	04-29 21:02
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$268	388	0	+388	open	—	04-23 10:18
btc updown 5m 1776105600	5	$255	497	0	+497	open	—	04-13 13:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	3	$253	238	167	+71	open	—	05-31 01:19
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	2	$250	415	0	+415	open	—	04-16 08:02
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	3	$224	384	0	+384	open	—	04-15 19:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	7	$222	265	232	+34	Down	+$35	05-06 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$197	122	122	+0	open	—	05-17 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	16	$196	230	230	+0	Down	$-0	05-05 16:14
btc updown 5m 1776095100	2	$170	255	0	+255	open	—	04-13 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	5	$154	273	28	+245	Up	+$114	05-06 17:39
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$154	179	0	+179	open	—	04-20 10:35
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$150	396	0	+396	open	—	04-16 08:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$150	177	0	+177	open	—	05-06 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	4	$139	343	243	+100	open	—	05-31 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	5	$137	92	92	+0	open	—	04-30 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	15	$135	156	132	+25	Up	$-3	05-05 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	9	$129	158	108	+50	Down	+$9	05-06 17:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	6	$124	104	104	+0	Down	+$14	05-06 22:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	3	$121	168	0	+168	open	—	04-30 22:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	6	$120	5,752	0	+5,752	open	—	04-30 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	14	$119	85	85	+0	Down	+$11	05-05 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	4	$118	91	91	+0	open	—	04-30 22:17
btc updown 5m 1776276300	8	$114	145	104	+41	open	—	04-15 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	10	$109	101	91	+10	Up	+$9	05-10 22:58
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$104	295	0	+295	open	—	04-13 06:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	12	$103	115	83	+32	Up	+$16	05-05 16:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 22:33:36	btc updown 5m 1784673000	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xec05aa…
07-21 22:28:13	btc updown 5m 1784672700	Down	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x4bceda…
07-21 22:26:16	btc updown 5m 1784672700	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x33b84d…
07-21 22:25:37	btc updown 5m 1784672700	Down	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0xf2a0ee…
07-21 22:25:16	btc updown 5m 1784672700	Down	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0x7eede2…
07-21 22:25:12	btc updown 5m 1784672700	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xa375ab…
07-21 22:24:33	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	173	58¢	$100	0xd745e2…
07-21 22:23:06	iran leadership change by august 31	Yes	BUY	79	13¢	$10	0xc1c975…
07-21 22:22:58	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674	Yes	BUY	108	37¢	$40	0x27698a…
07-21 22:22:55	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0xc4283b…
07-20 09:26:06	btc updown 5m 1784539500	Up	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x8d00df…
07-09 18:06:10	btc updown 5m 1783620300	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x3fbf1e…
07-09 18:06:02	btc updown 5m 1783620300	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x795b63…
07-09 18:03:38	btc updown 5m 1783620000	Down	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x4e0783…
07-06 18:46:28	btc updown 5m 1783363500	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x8fc119…
07-02 14:05:07	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team to advance	Austria	BUY	82	12¢	$10	0xe1cb0e…
05-31 01:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	63	40¢	$25	0xd48de1…
05-31 01:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x305fe2…
05-31 01:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	167	89¢	$148	0x2abbda…
05-31 01:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xe1994b…
05-31 01:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xd049ff…
05-31 01:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	243	35¢	$84	0x05b970…
05-31 01:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	151	17¢	$25	0xc97b29…
05-31 01:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x14b6b7…
05-29 23:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xab49e6…
05-29 15:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x02659d…
05-29 15:07:25	Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?	Yes	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x7d313c…
05-29 15:03:26	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	BUY	75	27¢	$20	0xafe1db…
05-29 14:58:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	528	84¢	$443	0x322346…
05-28 11:51:16	LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	103	90¢	$93	0xb6a887…
05-20 12:20:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x78a178…
05-17 22:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xbe6e4e…
05-17 22:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	59	71¢	$41	0x53a4d8…
05-17 22:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	59	43¢	$25	0x455bcd…
05-17 22:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	122	79¢	$97	0x6abb6c…
05-17 22:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x14bea3…
05-17 22:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	72	7¢	$5	0x27599b…
05-17 22:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe72a1a…
05-17 22:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x52d91d…
05-17 22:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x0ab94b…
05-17 22:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0xc47a22…
05-17 22:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xfddddd…
05-17 22:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x8c64d4…
05-17 22:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x642000…
05-16 15:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xd92008…
05-16 15:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x0c466d…
05-16 15:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0xb65e6b…
05-16 15:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xae1700…
05-16 15:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xbc5c1e…
05-15 10:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x1b9d17…
05-15 10:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xadc282…
05-15 10:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	37	81¢	$30	0x1cdba6…
05-15 10:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xcc9bd4…
05-12 18:43:29	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	199	13¢	$26	0x5d8a9b…
05-12 18:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x2c194c…
05-12 18:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xebeaaa…
05-12 18:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	79	1¢	$1	0xf619e9…
05-12 18:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x0083e6…
05-12 18:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0x802f48…
05-12 16:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xef8448…
05-10 23:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xa4f547…
05-10 22:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x01d58c…
05-10 22:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	24	29¢	$7	0xb60ee0…
05-10 22:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x16b918…
05-10 22:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	15	83¢	$12	0xa94543…
05-10 22:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xafdaa1…
05-10 22:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	52	66¢	$35	0x88da37…
05-10 22:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x164e54…
05-10 22:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xcb860d…
05-10 22:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xd93203…
05-10 22:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xd4546a…
05-10 22:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xfa8161…
05-10 22:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	39	57¢	$22	0x7a55ee…
05-10 22:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0xb699ce…
05-10 22:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	167	15¢	$25	0xb07421…
05-10 22:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x3d80aa…
05-10 22:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x9b7b92…
05-10 22:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	21	49¢	$10	0xee5ef3…
05-10 22:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0xad2e81…
05-10 22:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xb32edc…
05-10 22:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	33	56¢	$19	0x16b18e…
05-10 22:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xffa9e9…
05-06 22:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	45	36¢	$16	0x43375b…
05-06 22:54:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	177	85¢	$150	0x8f88d1…
05-06 22:53:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	417	72¢	$300	0x987f80…
05-06 22:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	41	25¢	$10	0x76b1a5…
05-06 22:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xea2e26…
05-06 22:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xd5289e…
05-06 22:34:31	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x4c5ef2…
05-06 22:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0x0360a3…
05-06 22:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa93786…
05-06 22:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	166	49¢	$82	0xff81e2…
05-06 22:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	166	30¢	$50	0xab1e98…
05-06 22:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	65	46¢	$30	0x987e90…
05-06 22:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x206a1c…
05-06 22:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xae2d33…
05-06 22:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	27	86¢	$23	0x2616eb…
05-06 22:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x2d4763…
05-06 22:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	77	59¢	$46	0xfe20d7…
05-06 22:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x21d69c…