Quintessential-Niece — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$54

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.5%

Resolved

Trades

488

lifetime

Volume

$4.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 05-07 11:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 39% $-54

Politics

12% — —

Other

8% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 199 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	7	$478	1,727	1,212	+515	open	—	05-06 05:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$311	213	213	+0	open	—	04-29 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	3	$267	157	157	+0	open	—	04-30 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$254	154	154	+0	open	—	04-29 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	3	$193	158	79	+79	open	—	04-29 23:20
LoL: T1 Academy vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	7	$130	317	220	+97	open	—	04-26 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$102	328	0	+328	open	—	04-29 18:28
LoL: T1 Academy vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winner	2	$100	77	75	+2	open	—	04-26 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	3	$89	82	63	+19	open	—	04-25 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	4	$85	187	45	+143	open	—	05-03 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$63	33	33	+0	open	—	04-30 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?	3	$61	71	71	+0	open	—	04-29 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	3	$57	124	0	+124	Down	+$10	05-04 23:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	3	$52	49	32	+17	open	—	05-01 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$51	165	0	+165	open	—	04-29 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$41	35	35	+0	open	—	05-01 01:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$41	149	0	+149	open	—	04-30 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	2	$40	80	0	+80	open	—	04-26 02:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	3	$38	110	0	+110	open	—	05-01 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	3	$37	55	21	+33	open	—	04-29 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$36	21	21	+0	open	—	04-30 05:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$35	21	21	+0	open	—	04-30 00:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	3	$35	45	20	+25	open	—	04-30 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	3	$35	49	19	+30	open	—	04-30 06:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	3	$35	29	20	+9	open	—	04-30 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	2	$34	21	21	+0	open	—	04-30 09:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$33	20	20	+0	open	—	04-29 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	3	$33	162	0	+162	Down	$-33	05-07 11:13
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner	4	$33	68	34	+34	open	—	04-26 09:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$30	56	0	+56	open	—	05-01 15:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 11:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9187d6…
05-07 11:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xd89cb7…
05-07 11:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x9c55ae…
05-07 11:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x390aaf…
05-07 11:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xacad91…
05-07 11:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x715656…
05-07 11:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x3370c3…
05-07 11:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x420f18…
05-06 05:12:06	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0x0c3f58…
05-06 02:48:44	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	333	12¢	$40	0x18fe27…
05-05 21:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x7fbeae…
05-05 21:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x90d62d…
05-05 21:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3c8119…
05-05 03:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xf78107…
05-05 03:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x7eaba3…
05-05 03:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0xe85eb7…
05-05 03:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x790fe7…
05-05 00:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	84	1¢	$1	0x0614ca…
05-05 00:34:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	59	3¢	$2	0xf6834e…
05-05 00:31:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x6a90fd…
05-04 23:48:36	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	250	17¢	$43	0x3f104e…
05-04 23:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf4e0ca…
05-04 23:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xac859b…
05-04 23:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x3dfe97…
05-04 23:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x03c791…
05-04 23:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x416ffa…
05-04 23:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x029cc3…
05-04 23:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xbee88b…
05-04 23:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x0425bb…
05-04 23:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xa004e6…
05-04 23:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xff7e50…
05-04 23:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x4dcdc8…
05-04 23:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0x927b4a…
05-04 23:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x1f93d6…
05-04 23:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x7b6969…
05-04 23:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0x76d721…
05-04 23:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0xd4dd7c…
05-04 23:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5cf1f3…
05-04 22:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xb795f7…
05-04 22:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x51ed2d…
05-04 22:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x749d65…
05-04 19:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xc5f30f…
05-04 19:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x93b70e…
05-04 19:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x737fb7…
05-04 19:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x67a747…
05-04 19:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	11¢	$2	0x2b4701…
05-04 18:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x8747a4…
05-04 18:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xe85895…
05-04 18:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x1fab27…
05-04 18:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x5a9c6a…
05-04 18:32:26	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x77c3ed…
05-04 17:47:56	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	462	16¢	$75	0x3fbfa2…
05-04 16:57:22	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	500	25¢	$124	0x62ce4d…
05-04 11:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x793f4c…
05-03 17:16:58	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	962	13¢	$125	0xe47d00…
05-03 16:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x83bb12…
05-03 16:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x4b8238…
05-03 16:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x48f54f…
05-03 16:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xd1cd6b…
05-03 16:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x7a0913…
05-03 16:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x0ed5f9…
05-03 16:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x47aa34…
05-03 15:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x3f18ce…
05-03 15:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x4ac03b…
05-03 15:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xadf7d6…
05-03 15:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x8a814f…
05-03 15:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x49c06e…
05-03 15:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2cc33b…
05-03 15:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0x36e777…
05-03 15:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xb1eb24…
05-03 15:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xb63d3b…
05-03 15:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x5a09b8…
05-03 15:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x93f40d…
05-03 15:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x9b0c62…
05-03 15:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x07afbc…
05-03 08:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xbb3537…
05-03 08:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x485c1a…
05-03 08:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x026b2d…
05-03 08:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x378f8d…
05-03 08:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xcaa50f…
05-03 08:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x37a2bc…
05-03 08:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xdcfba0…
05-03 08:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x5c1ab3…
05-03 08:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa4512a…
05-03 08:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x699e83…
05-03 08:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0cd2ee…
05-03 08:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x622d04…
05-03 08:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x4ce5ac…
05-03 08:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc771b0…
05-03 08:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x70687e…
05-03 08:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0xb436bc…
05-03 08:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x408358…
05-03 08:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xefeabb…
05-03 08:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0xae391a…
05-03 08:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x483a9a…
05-03 08:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0x82d14f…
05-03 08:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb27558…
05-03 08:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xdd24bc…
05-03 07:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc99422…
05-03 07:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x8667c6…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	221	$153.3K	6,241	05-07 11:19
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	218	$80.1K	12,232	05-07 11:19
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	216	$72.7K	20,320	05-07 11:19
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	216	$67.2K	18,652	05-07 11:19
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	215	$12.6K	3,317	05-07 11:19
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	214	$411.5K	13,893	05-07 11:19
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	214	$85.0K	13,041	05-07 11:19
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	214	$55.8K	23,975	05-07 11:19