Misguided-Group — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.9%

Resolved

Trades

393

lifetime

Volume

$1.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 07-20 16:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

74% 98% +$0

Sports

21% 100% +$0

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-04 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-30 04:47
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-30 04:47
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$10	5	5	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-24 16:03
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-25 02:00
IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 1.5	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-28 16:31
wti closes above 73 on june 23 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-23 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-18 18:01
val tse pl 2026 07 07 game2	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	07-07 19:14
lol g2 t1 2026 07 08 game2 kill over 30pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	07-08 08:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	05-11 03:03
val yfp nrga 2026 06 18 game1	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-18 22:59
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-20 21:23
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs UNO MILLE - Map 2 Winner	2	$5	5	0	+5	largadosypelados	+$0	05-08 19:13
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-20 05:14
lol dcg tl2 2026 06 29 game1 kill over 30pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-29 09:51
Borges vs. Rublev: Match O/U 36.5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-29 13:57
fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 corners total 7pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-21 18:15
will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	07-20 04:07
Cerundolo vs. Landaluce: Match O/U 38.5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-30 20:09
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 5pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-17 19:26
Jakub Mensik vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 3.5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-01 00:20
atp ofner assche 2026 06 20	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-20 18:46
GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: Both Teams to Score	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-23 19:04
SC Internacional vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to Score	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-17 02:00
Chicago Sky vs. Portland Fire	1	$5	5	0	+5	Chicago Sky	+$0	05-10 04:26
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Rebels Gaming - Map 2 Winner	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-22 19:58
atp augeral zheng 2026 07 03	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	07-03 20:20
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 win by submission	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	07-12 03:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 23:41:04	mlb min cle 2026 07 20 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf13608…
07-20 16:20:15	atp gadamau meza 2026 07 20 completed match	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8555b2…
07-20 14:13:42	npb han yok 2026 07 20	Yokohama BayStars	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x609c49…
07-20 11:09:37	cs2 biga ent2 2026 07 20	Entropy	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x025a57…
07-20 04:07:48	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6eede0…
07-14 04:38:56	itf webb arakawa 2026 07 14	Stefani Webb	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaec1d0…
07-14 01:28:50	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc63617…
07-13 18:54:22	over 6m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325643	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x47a72a…
07-13 14:48:20	will abnb dip to 144 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xddd5d4…
07-12 19:06:20	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12 set handicap home 2pt5	Zverev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x76b9d8…
07-12 15:36:55	itf estevez zarate 2026 07 12	Carlos Maria Zarate	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7bea4d…
07-12 05:45:25	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1d6e11…
07-12 05:06:22	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 shots breel embolo gte1	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd998d0…
07-12 04:42:10	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9185de…
07-12 03:59:38	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 totals 0pt5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb7eed4…
07-12 03:52:41	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 win by submission	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5606b9…
07-12 03:52:14	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeecce2…
07-12 01:54:28	ufc kin ter1 2026 07 11 totals 1pt5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0e5836…
07-12 00:39:20	will norway reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149743	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb1bf47…
07-11 23:48:19	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8e9e12…
07-11 23:30:31	ufc kai2 luk12 2026 07 11	Luke Riley	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc12ae9…
07-11 23:08:05	ufc wan2 tra 2026 07 11	Wang Cong	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc212c7…
07-11 20:21:23	cs2 tricks theboy 2026 07 11 game2	Tricksters	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7f84a0…
07-11 04:01:40	mlb ari lad 2026 07 10 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1632d3…
07-11 03:47:50	bra2 rec bot 2026 07 10 spread home 1pt5	Botafogo FC	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc16df0…
07-09 19:18:41	cs2 lph theboy 2026 07 09 game1	LPH Gaming	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7ec54b…
07-09 18:21:40	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xedf50a…
07-09 00:23:50	will graham platner drop out by july 8	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x337479…
07-08 17:04:49	val ff3 cgn 2026 07 08 game2	Fire Flux Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8ea091…
07-08 08:53:02	lol g2 t1 2026 07 08 game2 kill over 30pt5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7b4ce0…
07-08 08:46:14	lol g2 t1 2026 07 08 game2 kill over 33pt5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xedab0b…
07-08 03:02:55	val ts 2game 2026 07 07 game1	2GAME Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf472a5…
07-08 02:32:56	mlb bos cws 2026 07 07 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdde954…
07-08 02:25:40	mlb phi cin 2026 07 07 spread away 3pt5	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x442f51…
07-07 22:41:04	itf colby shimi 2026 07 07	Ryan Colby	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0669ad…
07-07 19:14:44	val tse pl 2026 07 07 game2	Pixel Lumina	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd295b4…
07-07 18:24:34	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 corners team away 3pt5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5cbc69…
07-07 14:31:53	val mibrlo agal 2026 07 07 game2	MIBR LOS	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x656778…
07-07 02:22:47	bra2 vln ber 2026 07 06 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2634d1…
07-07 01:59:53	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 spread away 2pt5	Belgium	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6c7da1…
07-06 21:09:55	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 penalty shootout	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5f8bee…
07-06 18:07:16	atp doubles bolevav krajmek 2026 07 05	Krajicek/Mektic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x80ba21…
07-06 07:25:04	lol blg ly 2026 07 05 game3 kill over 27pt5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x11f9b4…
07-06 04:26:58	lol blg ly 2026 07 05 game1 kill over 27pt5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x26900b…
07-06 00:06:02	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x83bc36…
07-05 22:56:38	will raphinha score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb2857a…
07-05 22:08:43	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 penalty shootout	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfa99a0…
07-05 22:04:23	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2d7e8b…
07-05 21:22:59	mlb nym atl 2026 07 05 spread home 1pt5	New York Mets	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2d20fa…
07-05 19:44:05	atp hurkacz struff 2026 07 05	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc219cd…
07-05 19:39:49	atp augeral fokina 2026 07 05	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa31542…
07-04 23:07:31	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 corners odd even	Even	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6e1599…
07-04 21:38:34	bra2 lon crb 2026 07 04 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xde4135…
07-04 19:50:17	bkfibaqaf sen mad 2026 07 04	Senegal	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa8e3ee…
07-04 17:53:34	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x10de95…
07-04 17:28:07	over 70m committed to the laso finance public sale	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7d2b6c…
07-04 08:30:29	lol blg t1 2026 07 04 game2 kill over 30pt5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x972cc1…
07-04 01:01:47	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 corners total 7pt5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1a5cfb…
07-04 01:00:16	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcaea81…
07-04 00:51:38	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 corners total 8pt5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcb402c…
07-03 20:20:22	atp augeral zheng 2026 07 03	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x90799c…
07-03 19:10:59	wta liu gauff 2026 07 03	Coco Gauff	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc6dff3…
07-03 18:17:14	wta sabalen ostapen 2026 07 03	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5f3ad1…
07-03 13:42:53	val mibr ge1 2026 07 03 game1	MIBR	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2621f0…
07-03 09:17:41	cs2 lg6 nip 2026 07 03 game2	NIP	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf211ce…
07-03 05:02:23	bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x148f73…
07-02 20:59:14	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x57c989…
07-01 04:01:11	Chirayu Rana divorced?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd77b98…
07-01 02:18:38	mlb stl atl 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8a7f35…
07-01 01:28:28	mlb pit phi 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbc9cd0…
07-01 01:11:58	mlb tb kc 2026 06 30 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x71cb16…
06-30 19:59:26	cs2 alkaa red7 2026 06 30 game3 round total 21pt5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x48f434…
06-30 19:16:40	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb4e1c3…
06-30 18:01:02	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1da627…
06-30 10:12:49	cs2 don for10 2026 06 30 game2	Donstu Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7713dd…
06-30 04:26:04	mlb sf ari 2026 06 29	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4a7ddd…
06-30 04:16:13	will morocco reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120744	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8ee4b2…
06-29 19:22:26	val ucam fks1 2026 06 29 game1	UCAM Esports Club	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x55c5af…
06-29 19:06:13	will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x518686…
06-29 16:45:01	cs2 berg sinqur 2026 06 29 game1	Esport BERG	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc78429…
06-29 13:52:38	will nvda reach 196 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x91e841…
06-29 09:51:56	lol dcg tl2 2026 06 29 game1 kill over 30pt5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3288ac…
06-28 17:28:43	cs2 yaw bk 2026 06 28	Yawara Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf9cb24…
06-28 04:08:32	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 corners total 8pt5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x22197f…
06-28 04:00:43	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x43dc86…
06-28 03:59:14	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3e9649…
06-28 02:24:32	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x98bbfe…
06-28 01:39:16	mlb col min 2026 06 27 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x187e1d…
06-27 20:38:19	Cap FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x985df6…
06-26 23:36:10	will tynan lawrence be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346482	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x391233…
06-26 18:59:37	crict20blastw ham yor 2026 06 26	Hampshire	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x400638…
06-26 11:53:59	wta maria ostapen 2026 06 26	Tatjana Maria	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x26d654…
06-25 22:21:11	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 assists florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xca46d6…
06-25 22:16:14	will ivory coast be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003075	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfae19d…
06-25 02:00:25	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdfdebf…
06-25 01:49:29	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf6a1a1…
06-25 00:02:38	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x837d98…
06-24 20:58:26	itf lemaitr mladen 2026 06 23	Tiphanie Lemaitre	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9a4030…
06-24 16:58:16	will bitcoin dip to 60k by december 31 2026 from june 8 887	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x92ff20…
06-24 03:15:11	mlb lad min 2026 06 23 spread away 1pt5	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb53afb…