Misguided-Group — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.9%

Resolved

Trades

233

lifetime

Volume

$1.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 06-09 14:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

76% 98% +$0

Sports

22% 100% +$0

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-30 04:47
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$10	5	5	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-30 04:47
IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 1.5	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-28 16:31
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-04 04:48
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-24 16:03
O/U 2.5 Rounds	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-17 01:12
Set Handicap: Bencic (-1.5) vs Kalinskaya (+1.5)	1	$5	5	0	+5	Kalinskaya	+$0	05-10 01:57
itf souz fullana 2026 06 07	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-07 18:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-29 21:01
ITF Gaborone: Cooper Williams vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-17 14:41
UFC Fight Night: Jake Matthews vs. Carlston Harris (Welterweight, Main Card)	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-30 12:16
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Botic van de Zandschulp	1	$5	5	0	+5	Karen Khachanov	+$0	05-10 15:48
KBO: LG Twins vs. SSG Landers	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-16 11:37
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 3.5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-17 06:13
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-20 19:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-03 16:04
Will Malcolm Wellmaker win by KO or TKO?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-17 03:18
Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-24 17:20
FC Fredericia vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 3.5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-17 14:32
LoL: LOS vs Fluxo W7M (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	1	$5	5	0	+5	Fluxo W7M	+$0	05-10 21:20
Spread: Gambia (-1.5)	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-29 17:27
Stade Brestois 29 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 4.5	1	$5	5	0	+5	Under	+$0	05-13 19:01
Dinamo 1948 vs. FC Argeș Pitești: Both Teams to Score	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	05-10 18:05
Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-17 18:59
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-14 20:00
Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-2.5) vs Svajda (+2.5)	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-30 13:27
FC Hermannstadt vs. FCSB: O/U 5.5	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-18 20:07
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-17 23:57
Fight to Go the Distance?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-10 02:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 14:01:51	cs2 ruby1 rust 2026 06 09 map handicap home 1pt5	ex-RUBY	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf05438…
06-09 12:20:10	itf khayndr aydemir 2026 06 09	Defne Aydemir	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x349705…
06-09 00:21:15	col1 atn cjf 2026 06 08 spread home 2pt5	CDPJuniorFC	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x68e8b9…
06-08 21:37:12	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5a85dc…
06-08 12:03:42	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x22f993…
06-08 04:48:48	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1500 and 1510	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x64d665…
06-07 23:59:19	lol lll vks 2026 06 07 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xff02d7…
06-07 21:58:15	mlb mil col 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x669373…
06-07 19:14:03	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07 set handicap away 1pt5	Cobolli	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x10d8eb…
06-07 18:11:13	itf souz fullana 2026 06 07	Luiza Fullana	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x27725a…
06-07 17:39:01	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x661942…
06-07 00:58:55	crint can2 usa3 2026 06 06	USA	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc0d9b0…
06-06 23:09:45	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06	OpTic Texas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x46c83f…
06-06 14:19:18	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game handicap home 1pt5	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x33ada1…
06-06 12:05:57	wttmen gauzy jha 2026 06 06	Jha	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe95aee…
06-06 11:32:34	itf haavist petruze 2026 06 06	Lucie Petruzelova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaa7ce1…
06-06 11:32:30	itf jovanov davies 2026 06 06	Allegra Korpanec Davies	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x21f019…
06-05 23:58:58	mlb cws phi 2026 06 05 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x67abc0…
06-05 23:58:57	mlb cws phi 2026 06 05 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x81e350…
06-05 15:45:19	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 set handicap away 2pt5	Mensik	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3e4a80…
06-05 02:15:46	mlb tor atl 2026 06 04 spread away 3pt5	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0fbbe6…
06-05 01:47:55	fda approves arvinas vepdegestrant 06 05 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xef8403…
06-04 04:48:09	crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	Mali	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xcfb147…
06-03 16:04:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x66de1a…
06-03 11:31:44	T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: China vs Oman	Oman	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x704602…
06-03 06:26:04	T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Malaysia vs Kuwait	Malaysia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x04b9b5…
06-03 04:49:47	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeb52bd…
06-02 22:56:07	Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winner	NRG Academy	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5fa3c0…
06-02 15:24:31	Foggia: Mayar Sherif vs Carlota Martinez Cirez	Mayar Sherif	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaa4fbf…
06-01 23:52:41	Tiafoe vs. Arnaldi: Match O/U 40.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6bfda5…
06-01 14:42:48	Cobolli vs. Svajda: Match O/U 36.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd14a7e…
06-01 14:41:34	will spy reach 750 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x27765d…
06-01 01:11:07	Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x64d754…
06-01 00:20:15	Jakub Mensik vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe47cdd…
05-31 22:53:22	Ruud vs. Fonseca: Match O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6e8a63…
05-31 19:32:45	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands	Netherlands	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd38dd1…
05-31 19:25:42	Japan vs. Iceland: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd7e7b0…
05-31 19:09:27	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x596710…
05-31 15:26:44	Set Handicap: Jodar (-2.5) vs Busta (+2.5)	Busta	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x233f3b…
05-31 14:19:37	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - FRAGgg Playoffs	HOTU	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4ec6a9…
05-30 20:09:57	Cerundolo vs. Landaluce: Match O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x312019…
05-30 20:08:14	Cerundolo vs. Landaluce: Match O/U 36.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1de65a…
05-30 17:58:00	Set Handicap: Tabilo (-2.5) vs Kouame (+2.5)	Kouame	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x398da9…
05-30 14:25:14	PAOK vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa538fa…
05-30 13:27:36	Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-2.5) vs Svajda (+2.5)	Svajda	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7609b3…
05-30 12:16:35	UFC Fight Night: Jake Matthews vs. Carlston Harris (Welterweight, Main Card)	Jake Matthews	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xefa29a…
05-30 10:49:10	UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)	Jose Henrique	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x23d0c2…
05-30 07:45:25	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcd3aaa…
05-30 04:47:58	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf72d07…
05-30 04:47:58	ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5e2695…
05-29 21:58:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa0c17b…
05-29 21:05:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfb3f2c…
05-29 21:01:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x21353d…
05-29 19:20:07	Fonseca vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc11ebe…
05-29 19:08:06	LoL: Ronaldo Team vs Bubliki - Game 1 Winner	Bubliki	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2b2986…
05-29 17:27:45	Spread: Gambia (-1.5)	IR Iran	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe2b63b…
05-29 13:57:01	Borges vs. Rublev: Match O/U 36.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xed707c…
05-29 09:03:46	ITF Tsaghkadzor: Kristina Kroitor vs Sevil Yuldasheva	Kristina Kroitor	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x439edc…
05-28 16:52:17	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x13059f…
05-28 16:31:17	IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2142b7…
05-28 16:30:41	IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdb8d8c…
05-28 16:13:30	Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Wadi Degla SC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2f6b82…
05-28 16:01:10	Counter-Strike: xept vs STEP - Map 1 Winner	xept	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0de279…
05-28 12:33:02	Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Cerundolo	Sinner	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4a6b8d…
05-28 02:32:33	Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x308a49…
05-27 20:01:04	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf10f03…
05-27 19:58:04	Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x81c3c5…
05-26 13:17:59	Tallon Griekspoor vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6e530b…
05-25 10:12:42	Enhanced Games: Hafthor Bjornsson Heaviest Deadlift Over 510 Kg?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7598a4…
05-25 08:09:07	T20 Series Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A, Women: Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A	New Zealand A	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3db50f…
05-25 04:48:19	Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb4bbfe…
05-24 22:57:05	Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x71e92a…
05-24 19:24:10	Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Mattia Bellucci	Quentin Halys	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf612e5…
05-24 17:24:12	Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Machac vs Zizou Bergs	Tomas Machac	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0397e6…
05-24 17:20:25	Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3dd334…
05-24 16:03:00	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3df43d…
05-24 15:30:05	AC Sparta Praha vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x54bb8b…
05-24 08:02:48	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Supah Hot	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeebf6e…
05-24 04:52:10	Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)	Colorado Rockies	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3bbcfe…
05-24 00:32:06	Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2c4f00…
05-23 19:04:51	GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb44864…
05-23 17:47:07	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbe2b4b…
05-23 16:16:07	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winner	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdca6eb…
05-23 13:51:41	SK Sigma Olomouc vs. MFK Karviná: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x33367d…
05-23 12:56:35	Nedic vs. Sanchis: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5f1d73…
05-23 01:24:49	Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0f99fc…
05-22 20:37:17	Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)	ACF Fiorentina	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf99ff3…
05-22 19:58:40	Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Rebels Gaming - Map 2 Winner	FOKUS	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd0c570…
05-22 10:23:28	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2f9672…
05-22 09:38:02	Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (+1.5)	T1 Academy	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9efee9…
05-22 04:27:07	Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 11.5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb14691…
05-21 20:33:41	Pallacanestro Reggiana vs. Olimpia Milano	Olimpia Milano	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfd22d5…
05-21 14:24:59	Internationaux de Strasbourg (Doubles): Joint/Perez vs Eikeri/Gleason	Eikeri/Gleason	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb813d2…
05-21 11:20:09	ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xba7841…
05-20 21:23:17	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x621e54…
05-20 21:22:33	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x152e11…
05-20 21:17:32	Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xee5fd6…
05-20 20:54:29	Pyramids FC vs. Smouha SC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9b6a30…
05-20 19:13:52	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc44fbc…
05-20 16:08:53	Spread: Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5)	Qingdao Hainiu FC	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5031ec…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hilarious-Grid 0xbed5…3285	175	$899	181	06-08 21:37
Blind-Divine 0xf2b2…d779	161	$834	169	06-09 12:20
Abandoned-Nursery 0x10e1…355c	160	$824	166	06-09 12:20
Pale-Account 0xc013…653b	156	$8.03K	169	06-09 12:20
Famous-Coupon 0x66f4…abde	155	$1.60K	160	06-09 12:20
Tragic-Economics 0x5e9d…6a86	151	$7.76K	163	06-08 12:03
Ignorant-Altar 0x399e…89a4	150	$1.55K	156	06-08 21:37
Snappy-Embossing 0x8cc4…39b8	150	$829	168	06-08 21:37