Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$315

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

0.3%

Resolved

Trades

337

lifetime

Volume

$24.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$73

Open exposure

$23

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-28 15:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

65% 33% $-314

Politics

34% 0% $-1

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	-11	$-10	92¢	$-11	$-0	06-28 15:07
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	-9	$-7	82¢	$-7	+$0	06-28 15:07
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?	No	-6	$-5	88¢	$-6	$-0	06-28 15:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 1 334	2	$7.8K	4,077	4,077	+0	open	—	03-02 03:22
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	6	$5.3K	3,066	2,881	+185	open	—	04-01 04:25
sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	10	$2.3K	1,310	1,270	+39	open	—	03-21 00:13
spx up or down on march 23 2026	3	$2.3K	1,893	1,628	+265	open	—	03-22 03:58
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?	3	$2.1K	2,476	0	+2,476	open	—	03-22 04:00
spx opens up or down on march 23 2026	3	$1.4K	1,460	1,174	+286	open	—	03-22 03:58
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?	3	$778	1,039	0	+1,039	open	—	04-11 14:57
will the percentage change in the sp 500 in q1 2026 be less than 0	5	$487	299	286	+13	open	—	03-21 00:21
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in June?	2	$305	341	0	+341	Yes	$-305	03-28 09:53
will sp 500 spx hit 6300 low in march 2026	7	$147	204	0	+204	open	—	03-21 00:30
will sp 500 spx hit 6200 low in march 2026	5	$73	93	0	+93	open	—	03-21 00:29
will sp 500 spx hit 6400 low in march 2026	6	$63	117	0	+117	open	—	03-21 00:28
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	4	$55	70	0	+70	open	—	03-02 03:29
spx opens up or down on february 23 2026	1	$50	96	0	+96	open	—	02-21 03:06
will sp 500 spx close over 6700 on the final trading day of march 2026	1	$49	65	0	+65	open	—	03-21 00:33
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	2	$41	172	172	+0	open	—	01-23 01:54
will the percentage change in the sp 500 in q1 2026 be between 0 and 2	1	$40	197	0	+197	open	—	03-14 02:44
spx opens up or down on january 23 2026	1	$40	63	0	+63	open	—	01-23 02:07
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	3	$40	45	0	+45	open	—	02-28 03:07
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	6	$37	55	0	+55	open	—	04-02 03:45
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$30	65	0	+65	open	—	03-14 02:50
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	2	$29	21	21	+0	open	—	03-01 00:26
will sp 500 spx close over 6800 on the final trading day of march 2026	1	$27	31	0	+31	open	—	03-21 00:33
will the dhs shutdown last 60 days or more 988 872 151 791 415 422	2	$26	22	22	+0	open	—	04-11 14:49
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	3	$25	32	0	+32	open	—	02-22 02:17
will sp 500 spx hit 6500 low in march 2026	2	$21	27	0	+27	open	—	03-14 02:45
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	1	$20	65	0	+65	open	—	01-06 10:06
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	1	$20	38	0	+38	open	—	02-21 03:04
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	1	$20	98	0	+98	open	—	01-06 10:09
will the denver broncos win super bowl 2026	1	$20	192	0	+192	open	—	01-06 10:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-28 15:08:37	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xdb2bc6…
06-28 15:07:47	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x34e5a9…
06-28 15:07:37	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	84¢	$7	0x3650a3…
06-28 15:07:31	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	11	88¢	$10	0x90e1b5…
06-28 15:07:20	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x7073ed…
04-11 14:57:39	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?	No	BUY	238	67¢	$158	0x890338…
04-11 14:49:57	will the dhs shutdown last 60 days or more 988 872 151 791 415 422	Yes	SELL	22	98¢	$21	0xd7ab1c…
04-02 03:53:41	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x4d0e53…
04-02 03:53:21	sp 500 breaks its losing streak this week	No	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0x2a9dcc…
04-02 03:46:35	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x66035e…
04-02 03:45:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x998f25…
04-02 03:45:27	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x09238d…
04-02 03:42:09	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xfc6764…
04-02 03:41:35	Will Netflix reach $105 in April?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x4e26ea…
04-02 03:40:31	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x38f53c…
04-02 03:40:17	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x78dc5c…
04-01 04:25:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	65	98¢	$63	0xf52025…
04-01 04:23:21	nvda above 180 on april 3 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3532d4…
04-01 04:23:17	nvda above 170 on april 3 2026	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2ade17…
04-01 04:23:13	nvda above 175 on april 3 2026	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x4fefb0…
04-01 04:22:49	Will NVIDIA dip to $148 in April?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x49d3fc…
04-01 04:22:37	Will NVIDIA reach $192 in April?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x405cbe…
04-01 04:22:33	Will NVIDIA reach $184 in April?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x375349…
04-01 04:21:55	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x3e651a…
04-01 04:21:09	will spy dip to 600 by march 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x724390…
04-01 04:21:05	will spy dip to 605 by march 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe4c898…
04-01 04:20:53	will spy reach 665 by march 30 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa5c62c…
04-01 04:19:29	sp 500 breaks its losing streak this week	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x3ed14a…
04-01 04:18:39	spx opens up or down on april 1 2026	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x3e3a35…
04-01 04:17:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x961a59…
04-01 04:17:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xcfb8d6…
04-01 04:17:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xac584e…
03-28 09:53:41	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in June?	No	BUY	316	90¢	$285	0xfc7631…
03-22 04:00:03	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?	No	BUY	1,470	89¢	$1,307	0x673e94…
03-22 03:58:29	spx opens up or down on march 23 2026	Up	SELL	1,174	43¢	$500	0x13b430…
03-22 03:58:01	spx up or down on march 23 2026	Up	SELL	1,628	50¢	$807	0x34e7f5…
03-21 00:47:51	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?	No	BUY	991	77¢	$761	0xc8dd07…
03-21 00:47:45	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?	No	BUY	775	77¢	$600	0x948fed…
03-21 00:45:59	spx opens up or down on march 23 2026	Down	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0xa60019…
03-21 00:45:45	spx opens up or down on march 23 2026	Up	BUY	1,174	68¢	$800	0x48403c…
03-21 00:45:31	spx up or down on march 23 2026	Up	BUY	1,891	79¢	$1,500	0x1fbf2d…
03-21 00:39:01	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xaa80f0…
03-21 00:38:55	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in June?	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xab6a1d…
03-21 00:38:49	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?	No	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x15a421…
03-21 00:38:43	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xefc362…
03-21 00:37:59	will spx dip to 5500 in march	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x896fbf…
03-21 00:37:55	will spx dip to 5600 in march	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcd5f7a…
03-21 00:37:51	will spx dip to 5700 in march	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xea52a3…
03-21 00:36:21	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,400 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x796679…
03-21 00:36:09	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb646d9…
03-21 00:36:03	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in December?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x2c15dc…
03-21 00:34:25	will sp 500 spx close over 6600 on the final trading day of march 2026	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xdff526…
03-21 00:33:49	will sp 500 spx close over 6700 on the final trading day of march 2026	No	BUY	65	75¢	$49	0xd21443…
03-21 00:33:39	will sp 500 spx close over 6800 on the final trading day of march 2026	No	BUY	31	88¢	$27	0x15283a…
03-21 00:32:33	will sp 500 spx close over 6500 on the final trading day of march 2026	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xae49d5…
03-21 00:30:29	will sp 500 spx hit 6300 low in march 2026	No	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0xf35fe0…
03-21 00:29:55	will sp 500 spx hit 6200 low in march 2026	No	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0x8e55db…
03-21 00:29:25	will sp 500 spx hit 6300 low in march 2026	No	BUY	76	71¢	$54	0x9c490c…
03-21 00:29:25	will sp 500 spx hit 6300 low in march 2026	No	BUY	87	76¢	$66	0x04a79d…
03-21 00:28:57	will sp 500 spx hit 6400 low in march 2026	No	BUY	39	55¢	$21	0x068950…
03-21 00:28:55	will sp 500 spx hit 6400 low in march 2026	No	BUY	33	51¢	$17	0x11fb1a…
03-21 00:26:53	will sp 500 spx hit 6200 low in march 2026	No	BUY	76	78¢	$59	0x545967…
03-21 00:26:39	will sp 500 spx hit 6300 low in march 2026	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x9e71f4…
03-21 00:26:19	will sp 500 spx hit 6400 low in march 2026	No	BUY	17	50¢	$9	0x328f19…
03-21 00:21:35	will the percentage change in the sp 500 in q1 2026 be less than 0	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x89dfad…
03-21 00:20:53	spx up or down on march 23 2026	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x729810…
03-21 00:16:57	will sp 500 spx hit 6400 low in march 2026	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x93866a…
03-21 00:15:45	will sp 500 spx hit 6300 low in march 2026	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xdd2386…
03-21 00:13:33	will the percentage change in the sp 500 in q1 2026 be less than 0	Yes	SELL	286	93¢	$266	0x8e11ba…
03-21 00:13:13	sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	No	SELL	1,270	99¢	$1,259	0x8c0357…
03-21 00:13:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,881	94¢	$2,719	0x91c0c6…
03-19 01:17:25	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xe379fd…
03-19 01:16:11	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xfd4ed9…
03-19 01:15:21	spx opens up or down on march 19 2026	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x022c49…
03-19 01:14:43	sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2fe58e…
03-19 01:14:37	sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4936fb…
03-19 01:13:59	another critical cloudflare incident by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x4cd3a0…
03-19 01:13:45	aws service disrupted by march 31 623	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x58cb88…
03-19 01:11:59	Will Waymo launch in Miami by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x889e28…
03-19 01:11:35	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x24040a…
03-19 01:10:15	Meta "Mango" model released by March 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x45697a…
03-18 09:05:11	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0xd29519…
03-17 01:51:01	sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	455	92¢	$418	0x538567…
03-17 01:50:03	sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xf8844a…
03-17 01:49:17	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x471a55…
03-17 01:48:55	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc5c0e3…
03-17 01:48:37	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x767926…
03-17 01:48:29	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xf5bf6a…
03-17 01:47:53	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x0ef364…
03-17 01:46:45	will freecash get paid real money be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 20	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x4d985e…
03-17 01:45:57	will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 20	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x352293…
03-17 01:45:49	north korea missile testlaunch by march 31	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x35c8e7…
03-17 01:45:23	chatgpt full outage by march 31	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xaf0825…
03-17 01:45:13	chatgpt full outage by march 31	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xe5c6fd…
03-17 01:44:57	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase march 17 23	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x975e89…
03-17 01:44:51	US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1f5b4a…
03-17 01:44:45	US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x959e68…
03-16 01:25:57	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x01bfad…
03-16 01:25:31	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x057e39…
03-16 01:25:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xa006ff…