Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$33

Unrealized P&L

+$35

Hit rate

73.5%

Resolved

Trades

299

lifetime

Volume

$1.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$67

4 positions

First seen

2026-10-15

last 11-03 09:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Politics

53% 61% +$29

Other

42% 59% +$20

Crypto

4% 38% -$21

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Sports

1% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+45	$11	100¢	$45	+$34	11-03 03:20
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	+12	$10	82¢	$10	$0	10-21 15:29
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+10	$6	86¢	$9	+$3	10-21 20:14
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+10	$5	31¢	$3	-$2	10-16 02:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	23	$173	534	534	+0	Yes	+$21	10-16 01:42
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 27, 2026?	7	$130	102	102	+0	Yes	+$21	10-27 13:34
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 26, 2026?	6	$109	87	78	+9	No	+$7	10-26 12:52
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	8	$104	85	75	+10	open	—	10-21 20:14
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 31, 2026?	2	$85	90	0	+90	Yes	+$5	10-31 16:11
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 24, 2026?	14	$82	111	111	+0	No	-$38	10-24 21:05
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	14	$72	141	118	+23	No	-$5	10-22 12:16
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	4	$65	105	60	+45	open	—	11-03 03:20
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 25, 2026?	4	$62	49	38	+10	No	+$2	10-25 16:38
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	9	$60	93	19	+74	No	+$24	10-22 18:49
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 22, 2026?	10	$58	36	25	+10	Yes	+$0	10-21 21:07
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 28, 2026?	5	$49	89	11	+77	Yes	+$48	10-28 17:45
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?	7	$41	51	0	+51	Yes	+$10	10-24 03:24
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 23, 2026?	5	$41	30	30	+0	Yes	+$3	10-23 05:14
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	2	$35	45	45	+0	No	-$19	10-28 21:33
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	4	$34	64	64	+0	Yes	-$31	10-25 20:45
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 22, 2026?	7	$34	158	158	+0	Yes	-$18	10-22 00:05
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 20, 2026?	6	$33	33	21	+12	Yes	+$1	10-20 05:45
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 21, 2026?	3	$29	30	0	+30	Yes	+$1	10-21 03:11
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	4	$29	41	7	+34	Yes	+$18	10-29 16:41
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	2	$24	22	22	+0	Yes	+$8	10-21 20:01
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	4	$24	34	0	+34	Yes	+$10	10-24 01:24
Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	4	$22	1,026	10	+1,015	Yes	-$2	10-17 01:44
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?	5	$21	13	13	+0	Yes	-$1	10-20 20:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:05 UTC	5	$14	21	12	+9	Down	+$1	10-16 12:08
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 30, 2026?	3	$14	7	7	+0	Yes	+$0	10-27 20:14
Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	2	$14	24	0	+24	No	+$10	10-21 23:52
Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	2	$13	26	0	+26	Yes	-$13	10-21 23:56
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?	2	$13	15	0	+15	Yes	+$2	10-18 20:18
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 31, 2026?	2	$12	25	0	+25	Yes	+$12	10-31 05:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 09:16:22	Will Russia target Kyiv on November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe3c868…
11-03 03:20:07	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x4d64a5…
11-03 01:36:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0xdaa3c5…
11-03 01:26:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	60	45¢	$27	0x474af9…
11-03 01:21:58	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	60	30¢	$18	0xb40222…
11-01 18:36:31	NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31?	Yes	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0xabda8c…
11-01 18:36:03	NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31?	Yes	SELL	22	25¢	$6	0xe0cf04…
10-31 16:20:07	NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xa6c64a…
10-31 16:20:01	NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x4e25b3…
10-31 16:19:55	NATO downs another Russian drone by October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$1	0x370470…
10-31 16:11:30	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x66a9ad…
10-31 16:11:07	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	94¢	$35	0xb3994f…
10-31 05:53:54	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xb71db2…
10-31 05:53:04	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0xb5f9e3…
10-29 16:41:02	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x87615e…
10-29 15:06:31	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x9a3ea3…
10-28 23:48:40	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	92¢	$7	0x8b05ac…
10-28 21:33:50	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	17¢	$8	0xb50d67…
10-28 19:05:40	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xa83817…
10-28 17:59:58	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	60¢	$27	0xbb745d…
10-28 17:45:08	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	19¢	$5	0x565362…
10-28 16:24:19	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2f0f27…
10-28 14:17:25	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	50¢	$22	0x84e875…
10-27 20:14:29	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0xe3bf3f…
10-27 19:12:05	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	85¢	$10	0x429d55…
10-27 13:34:39	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	74¢	$30	0xa169b8…
10-27 13:22:33	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x5ff037…
10-26 23:45:54	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x7336c1…
10-26 23:18:27	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x743ebc…
10-26 20:39:57	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	43	12¢	$5	0x8820be…
10-26 19:19:08	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbc3fd0…
10-26 12:52:26	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	78	74¢	$58	0x5f4c62…
10-26 10:00:06	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa9784e…
10-26 04:10:09	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb41df1…
10-25 20:59:59	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0xe6235a…
10-25 20:59:26	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0x6550ad…
10-25 20:46:27	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0x1b69e3…
10-25 20:45:56	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	64	3¢	$2	0x26d5df…
10-25 16:38:47	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	83¢	$32	0x158a63…
10-25 14:47:12	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	42	40¢	$17	0x47c3ee…
10-25 09:20:53	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	57¢	$35	0x8a0095…
10-24 21:05:09	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	8¢	$7	0x2aeef2…
10-24 19:05:08	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0xc2f07b…
10-24 19:04:51	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xbc9693…
10-24 18:28:09	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x09042d…
10-24 17:13:17	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$1	0xbd81db…
10-24 12:05:09	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x57f486…
10-24 11:28:39	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x7e803f…
10-24 09:43:29	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	50¢	$9	0x6f8d64…
10-24 08:48:03	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xb1745b…
10-24 07:19:35	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x14b23e…
10-24 06:46:45	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0xcedf7c…
10-24 04:31:42	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x1da452…
10-24 03:48:36	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x129dbf…
10-24 03:24:05	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xc1b7f3…
10-24 03:21:30	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x44ae35…
10-24 02:58:50	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	7	22¢	$1	0x79f283…
10-24 01:24:21	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x72f891…
10-24 00:58:03	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xf6fc53…
10-24 00:49:48	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x7033fa…
10-24 00:48:17	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xc66bed…
10-24 00:46:50	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x465fc8…
10-24 00:46:27	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xbb6cc1…
10-23 23:13:59	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x5bdf1f…
10-23 19:46:35	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x155b35…
10-23 19:34:38	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	70¢	$14	0x0f3d6b…
10-23 17:29:08	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	66¢	$12	0x6ca7a4…
10-23 05:14:30	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	72¢	$22	0x602fb0…
10-23 04:36:59	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x5b76a1…
10-23 04:00:27	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x6e799b…
10-23 03:15:26	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0x79a8c9…
10-23 03:03:23	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0xfc0c39…
10-23 02:13:09	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x5d9a76…
10-23 01:46:35	Will Trump say "Veteran" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x095ad0…
10-23 01:05:21	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x7b366c…
10-23 00:43:27	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf2d8ea…
10-23 00:32:05	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xacfdeb…
10-23 00:14:32	Will Trump say "Meat" or "Steak" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xf9d0fa…
10-22 21:27:32	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x825516…
10-22 18:49:32	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x71529f…
10-22 18:15:39	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xe155bf…
10-22 17:30:57	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x8825bf…
10-22 17:05:36	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x3e6084…
10-22 15:41:39	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	56¢	$4	0xddbb6b…
10-22 15:19:42	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x948b65…
10-22 15:19:18	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x02aca7…
10-22 14:48:48	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xc9b9d1…
10-22 12:16:45	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0xc5ffdf…
10-22 03:23:26	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x33f6d8…
10-22 01:31:38	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	16¢	$10	0xa851b2…
10-22 00:34:12	Will Trump say "Tax" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	No	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x9d9896…
10-22 00:05:09	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 22, 2026?	No	SELL	150	0¢	$0	0x5b47db…
10-21 23:56:20	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	No	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x9d2f1e…
10-21 23:52:50	Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x726f78…
10-21 23:50:26	Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x06ffa8…
10-21 23:50:03	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	No	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x8e26cd…
10-21 23:49:50	Will Trump say "Tax" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	No	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x2c4543…
10-21 23:18:24	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xa4d8c8…
10-21 23:17:21	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x2eae5f…
10-21 21:29:35	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	49	24¢	$12	0xb0a351…