Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

18.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$211

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-06-19

last 10-08 09:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

55% 33% -$12

Politics

45% 0% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No		+3	$3	96¢	$3	$0	10-08 09:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
NATO article 5 before 2027?	2	$881	476	476	+0	open	—	07-01 07:25
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by august 31 2026	2	$877	455	455	+0	No	+$0	07-27 07:37
israeli forces enter beirut by july 31	2	$877	469	469	+0	No	-$14	07-01 08:33
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	2	$874	480	480	+0	open	—	07-24 07:43
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	2	$853	448	448	+0	open	—	07-13 11:02
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	2	$853	442	442	+0	No	+$0	07-14 02:13
will farsi hengam hormuz or kharg island no longer be under iranian control by september 30 2026 20260804165426111	2	$626	328	328	+0	No	+$2	08-11 07:57
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?	3	$86	665	665	+0	No	-$7	06-19 07:28
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	3	$82	665	665	+0	open	—	06-20 06:37
will iran target ukraine by august 31 2026 20260727234956917	3	$61	876	876	+0	No	+$0	08-03 10:45
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	5	$51	651	651	+0	open	—	06-20 05:17
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	10-08 09:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 09:45:23	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xfdcc70…
08-11 07:57:51	will farsi hengam hormuz or kharg island no longer be under iranian control by september 30 2026 20260804165426111	No	SELL	328	96¢	$314	0x2a8ced…
08-11 07:12:24	will farsi hengam hormuz or kharg island no longer be under iranian control by september 30 2026 20260804165426111	No	BUY	328	95¢	$312	0x60c632…
08-03 10:45:38	will iran target ukraine by august 31 2026 20260727234956917	Yes	SELL	876	4¢	$31	0x40394e…
08-03 09:17:05	will iran target ukraine by august 31 2026 20260727234956917	Yes	BUY	426	4¢	$15	0xb92cad…
08-03 09:17:05	will iran target ukraine by august 31 2026 20260727234956917	Yes	BUY	450	4¢	$16	0x20245c…
07-27 07:37:34	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by august 31 2026	No	SELL	455	96¢	$439	0xc22d49…
07-27 07:00:45	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by august 31 2026	No	BUY	455	96¢	$439	0xb68ea3…
07-24 07:43:28	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	No	SELL	480	91¢	$437	0xfb6b88…
07-24 06:49:31	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	No	BUY	480	91¢	$437	0x1e7076…
07-14 02:13:07	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	442	96¢	$427	0xb30d3d…
07-14 01:36:52	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	442	96¢	$427	0xdd957b…
07-13 11:02:26	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	448	95¢	$426	0x74a68c…
07-13 09:23:29	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	448	95¢	$427	0xbfca62…
07-01 08:33:58	israeli forces enter beirut by july 31	No	SELL	469	92¢	$431	0x7fbca6…
07-01 08:00:44	israeli forces enter beirut by july 31	No	BUY	469	95¢	$446	0x7979a6…
07-01 07:25:17	NATO article 5 before 2027?	No	SELL	476	93¢	$443	0x0d720c…
07-01 06:21:05	NATO article 5 before 2027?	No	BUY	476	92¢	$438	0x1b3170…
06-20 06:37:08	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	665	6¢	$41	0xb15bc0…
06-20 05:41:32	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	345	6¢	$21	0x12a33d…
06-20 05:41:29	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	320	6¢	$20	0xc3a6d4…
06-20 05:17:26	Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	Yes	SELL	42	4¢	$2	0xff34fa…
06-20 05:16:40	Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	Yes	SELL	273	4¢	$12	0x419fb6…
06-20 05:16:40	Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	Yes	SELL	336	4¢	$15	0x05a7e6…
06-20 03:25:58	Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	Yes	BUY	315	4¢	$11	0x1bcaf4…
06-20 03:23:56	Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	Yes	BUY	336	3¢	$12	0x5e88af…
06-19 07:28:38	Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?	Yes	SELL	665	6¢	$39	0x8e9528…
06-19 03:25:25	Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?	Yes	BUY	345	7¢	$24	0xa05227…
06-19 03:25:23	Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?	Yes	BUY	320	7¢	$22	0x0c8488…