Medical-Armadillo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

+$67

Hit rate

40.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$274

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$191

11 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-17 00:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

88% 38% $-17

Other

7% — —

Politics

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves	Boston Red Sox	+62	$20	100¢	$62	+$42	05-17 00:27
Sabres vs. Canadiens	Sabres	+48	$20	98¢	$46	+$26	05-17 00:23
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins	Milwaukee Brewers	+41	$20	100¢	$41	+$21	05-17 00:27
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Dodgers	+18	$10	64¢	$12	+$2	05-17 00:27
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	+10	$10	98¢	$10	+$0	05-10 02:13
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	+2,500	$10	0¢	$6	$-4	05-17 00:06
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	+6	$6	100¢	$6	+$0	05-17 00:21
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	+5	$5	99¢	$5	$-0	05-17 00:21
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	+200	$1	1¢	$1	+$0	05-10 02:13
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	+125	$2	1¢	$1	$-1	05-10 02:13
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	New York Yankees	+51	$20	0¢	$0	$-20	05-17 00:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 00:27:40	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xbb8cc7…
05-17 00:27:22	New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	New York Yankees	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xa02b43…
05-17 00:27:19	Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves	Boston Red Sox	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x658533…
05-17 00:27:12	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x27652a…
05-17 00:23:28	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Sabres	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xd3c6bf…
05-17 00:23:19	New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	New York Yankees	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x151eb5…
05-17 00:23:14	Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves	Boston Red Sox	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x575b99…
05-17 00:23:05	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x19281c…
05-17 00:21:50	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x605adf…
05-17 00:21:43	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc288c6…
05-17 00:06:31	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0x085a2e…
05-10 02:15:35	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Sabres	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x401b2a…
05-10 02:15:31	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Golden Knights	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x9f8f07…
05-10 02:15:26	Avalanche vs. Wild	Avalanche	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x0627d7…
05-10 02:15:26	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Sabres	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x8c6a7e…
05-10 02:15:07	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xdf4f34…
05-10 02:15:03	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x86ac14…
05-10 02:14:56	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x3d59df…
05-10 02:13:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x9d4f9b…
05-10 02:13:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	125	2¢	$2	0x201fd5…
05-10 02:13:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xfab44c…
05-10 02:06:55	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0x0daa49…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	16	$21.4K	118	05-17 02:08
Agitated-Bricklaying 0x84cf…2f63	13	$169.2K	2,237	05-17 02:33
Cuddly-Will 0x7fea…8f74	13	$17.8K	122	05-17 02:08
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	12	$83.1K	308	05-17 02:17
Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7	12	$25.5K	363	05-17 02:22
(anonymous) 0x82a5…674e	12	$1.03K	161	05-17 01:53
Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea	11	$10.9K	30	05-17 01:43
Unkempt-Image 0xd106…c79c	11	$10.4K	49	05-17 01:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Sabres vs. Canadiens	1	$20	40	+40	Sabres	+$20	05-10 02:15
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	1	$20	54	+54	Timberwolves	+$34	05-10 02:15
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins	2	$20	41	+41	open	—	05-17 00:27
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	1	$20	49	+49	Cavaliers	$-20	05-10 02:15
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves	2	$20	62	+62	open	—	05-17 00:27
Thunder vs. Lakers	1	$20	182	+182	Thunder	$-20	05-10 02:06
Knicks vs. 76ers	1	$20	38	+38	Knicks	+$18	05-10 02:14
Golden Knights vs. Ducks	1	$20	38	+38	Ducks	$-20	05-10 02:15
Sabres vs. Canadiens	1	$20	43	+43	Canadiens	$-20	05-10 02:15
Sabres vs. Canadiens	1	$20	48	+48	open	—	05-17 00:23
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	2	$20	51	+51	open	—	05-17 00:27
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	1	$10	2,500	+2,500	open	—	05-17 00:06
Avalanche vs. Wild	1	$10	111	+111	Wild	$-10	05-10 02:15
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels	1	$10	18	+18	open	—	05-17 00:27
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	05-10 02:13
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	05-17 00:21
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-17 00:21
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$2	125	+125	open	—	05-10 02:13
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$1	200	+200	open	—	05-10 02:13